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Any of the following sims comes highly recommended: Strat-o-Matic, APBA, Dynasty League, or Diamond Mind.
Pick out an old season and learn a little history at the same time.
Non-baseball thought: "Blue Highways" was great! Just read it two years ago and really enjoyed it.
I get that theory. I just don't think it's useful. If a player picks up a homer in his 3rd PA of a game, he's probably only got one more chance to pick up a 2nd HR in that game. So the window of opportunity to see a "bunching" trend is pretty limited.
I understand why it's "less computationally intensive". I just want somebody to do that heavy lifting! ;-)
Good article. Thanks Ben!
As others have posted, I'd be curious in seeing something like the following...
Following a game in which a player homered, what is the predicted chance he will home in the following game and what is the actual chance he homered in the following game?
Repeat for the chances (predicted and actual) that he would/did homer within either of the next TWO games.
And, maybe for good measure, extend that out to the next 3 or 4 games.
That's what I'd be more curious to see rather than chance of them having multi-homer games.
If he played for a large market team, he'd be considered a "superstar". That line was ridiculous.
The panel with Thorn was the highlight of the conference. I mean... not including the panel you were on, of course.
But I know what you mean about some of the other discussions. Some of the non-panel folks needed to bone up on their presentation skills or take courses on public speaking or something.
Funny. But David Dellucci pinch ran for Mark Grace and was thrown out at 3rd in the 9th inning of the 2001 WS.
Agreed. Bullpen Gospels was one of the best baseball-themed books I've ever read. (And I've read quite a few.)
Maybe the best thing I've ever read on BP. Great job.