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Red Stocking. Nu?
I think of GB as how many times you would have to beat the other team in order to tie them in record. You're 81-81, and they're 98-64? Then you need to beat them 17 times until you're both 98-81, so you're 17 games behind them.
Where would you put Billy Hamilton? What more would you want to see from him before he can crack your top 10?
I think we also take for granted the quality of todays game. Look at all those errors and bad hops. Yikes.
No mention of Buchholz's super-low BABIP and strikeout rate? Seems to me like a performance that won't be replicated. (Though I'm a Yankee fan, so maybe I'm looking at the Sox through whatever is the opposite of rose-colored glasses.)
Hey Will, thanks for everything over the years. Best of luck with whatever you do in the future; I'll definitely be reading.
I expected more strikeouts per PA in the second table. I feel like that would have had more predictive value than straight-up OPS. I feel like most of these are just bad luck on balls in play.
Chill out?! No way! This is the Internets! This am serious thread! Everything on the Interwebs is so important!
Nice ad hominem, Chuck. I presented an argument that objective fielding metrics disagree about whether Cano is above average, below average, or in the middle. What's wrong with that?
Joe, why are you convinced that Cano is a bad fielder? FRAA on the DT cards has him as an above-average fielder, UZR as below average, and the Fielding Bible is split (dead-last in 2008, but Top 5 in 2007).
Hey Will, those graphic links in the Pujols section are going to the same photo. (Thanks for the blood 'n' guts, btw.) Was there meant to be a second picture?
Any chance that some or all of the pre-packaged reports can have a more thorough description when you scroll over them, similar to how in the standard articles, if you scroll over the word "OBP" it will tell you what the acronym stands for and what it is? Thanks!
Uh, it was 144 for Todd Helton before he only played in 83 games last season.
Are we going to get excerpts from the worst articles too, kind of like the Idols auditions?
Dave, I disagree about the Sox ceiling -- if anything, how good the division is will force them to trade for even better players at the deadline.
I'm less sanguine about the Padres predictions -- the '07 Nationals showed how easy it is for a terrible team to luckbox into 70-something wins. Granted, they only put it off a year, but still...
I think it\'s more than just that -- if you have two young players with identical PECOTAs splitting playing time at a position, PECOTA is going to give each of them half the playing time at their 50% projections. But what\'s more likely to happen is that one hits his 70% projection, another hits the 30% projection, and the 70% player gets more playing time. It\'s selection bias on the part of the manager.
Now multiply that by about 40, and you get the Marlins.