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Markakis and Reimold missed the age cutoff by a few months. Where would they have ranked on the top 10 talents? #2 and #6?
Assuming the Orioles draft a pitcher at #5 overall, is this be the most lopsided system in baseball?
Depending on how highly you rate Snyder, the Orioles top 10 prospects could all be starting pitchers.
Buchholz/Bowden is the third best starting duo in the International League by FIP:
Wow on Patton. I can't remember the last time I saw an EAR below 1.00.
He's already that player. He's taking more pitches. He's walking more. He's striking out less. He's hitting more line drives.
You just don't see it in his numbers because he's been so BABIP-unlucky this year. His predicted line based on his batted ball splits is a pretty decent .263/.341/.400.
I'd like to put 10 bucks on "Any other carbon-based life form".
The has to be a better than 0.2% chance that Strasburg blows out his arm before the draft or the Nats do draft him but fail to sign him.
Probably the just-added AL/NL adjustment.
How do you allocate unearned runs?
Based on the depth charts, the Rays are projected to allow 690 earned runs in 1460 innings. On the summary page, they are expected to allow 728 runs, which implies 38 unearned runs.
Doing the same calcs for the Orioles, they are projected to allow 826 earned runs in 1460 innings. On the summary page, they are expected to allow 925 runs, which implies 99 unearned runs.
At first I thought this was due to after-the-fact opponent adjustments, but the Orioles and Rays should have a nearly identical strength of schedule for their pitching because they are in the same division and they have similar offensive strength.