3/4 arm slot; big, strong frame with broad shoulders; has the body to handle big starter workload; will have to ensure body doesn’t get out of control down the line; high leg kick; arm itself works very well; clean action; excellent arm speed; stiff front side/landing leg and often falls over it towards first, especially when throwing the fastball.
Fastball: 93-97 (T98). Command: below average present, average future. Movement: good weight and life down in zone. Easy velocity; can flash an 80 fastball for extended stretches on occasion; very strong; still worked 93-95 after surpassing the 100-pitch mark in the seventh inning; does more overpowering with velocity than pitching with fastball at present; stiff landing/fall towards first causes side-to-side misses and gives me some pause about the future command profile.
Slider: 82-87. Command: average present, solid-average future. Movement: late with some length to break and outstanding depth. Swing-and-miss pitch that he relied upon heavily; command wasn’t pinpoint, but showed to both sides of plate against both left- and right-handed hitters; displayed idea to use and locate it; already a plus; could get to plus-plus given the sharpness and feel.
Changeup: 79-82. Command: below average present, average future. Movement: some fade and sink. Threw for strikes with consistency; has a feel; mechanics are presently inconsistent; should be fine with further refinement; slows and drops arm on occasion.
Pitched backward much of the game, often starting hitters with sliders and finishing with the fastball; would have liked to see a more aggressive approach with fastball, but many pitchers attacked Texas like this this season, and many (if not all) of these pitch calls were coming from the dugout.
A power arm with a hulking 6-foot-4 frame, Gray is a name everybody knows at this point, and he’s likely to be off the board within the top few picks. The right-hander’s stuff is undeniable; his fastball is at least a 70 pitch, his present slider is an easy 60, and he shows feel for a projected quality changeup. All the tools are there for Gray to become a front-line starter, and he could zoom through the minor leagues, but there is some development needed. Right now, Gray shows a better feel for pitching with his slider than his fastball; he often relies on the overpowering velocity to get by with the heater. That’s not surprising given the success against college hitters, but he’ll need to refine the command. His arm action is fine, but the stiff landing may cause a few more command problems than his current college numbers (22 BB in 119 IP) suggest. On Friday, one day after he’s drafted, you’ll be able to see Gray on ESPN (7:00 p.m. EST) in the NCAA Super Regional against LSU.