Big, durable frame, body to eat 200 innings; easy, simple motion with good tempo, framework for repeatable delivery with adjustments; tends to alter three-quarters slot, upper and lower halves fall out of sync at times; stiff front side, firm strike; clean arm path, low-mileage arm
Easy velocity, effective life down in zone, slight arm-side run, induces ground balls when kept down; shows confidence to work both sides, inconsistent life according to command, flattens and loses life up, catches too much plate at times, below-average command
Enough bite and depth to project above-average, flashes plus; shape wanders between 1-7 and 2-8, flashes downward, two-plane break; above-average bite, depth when tight; inconsistent spin, can show early at times, fringe-average command
Developing well; average sink when turned over, slightly firm from the hand, good arm action sells the pitch despite fringe movement; quickly developing feel for pitch, fringe-average command
Newcomb's strengths and weaknesses are obvious from the beginning of a look. He has the strength and body to log 200 innings, and he consistently sits 92-94, touching 97 from an easy motion. Add the fact he's a left-hander, and the ceiling is high. But Newcomb struggles with control and command, and it's enough to side-track entire outings. A stiff lead side and rotational delivery can cause his delivery to fall out of sync at times, leading to missed spots, especially within the zone. An advantage for Newcomb is his low-mileage arm and relative inexperience with pro instruction; he requires extra patience despite his age. The potential outcome is that of a front-line starter, but there is significant variance here, as command inconsistencies are just as likely to limit him to a mid-rotation starter or a little less.