Matt Treanor

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2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 8:17 PM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	252	32	11	1	4	25	23	46	2	1	-0.8	.280	.356	.398	.000	.279	.358	.410	.273	10.1	62-C -2	1.7
75^o	238	27	9	1	4	22	21	44	1	1	-0.8	.263	.339	.369	-.081	.263	.341	.381	.258	5.1	59-C -2	1.2
60^o	228	23	9	1	3	20	20	43	1	1	-0.7	.252	.327	.349	-.137	.252	.329	.360	.247	1.9	57-C -2	0.9
50^o	219	21	8	1	3	19	19	42	1	1	-0.7	.242	.316	.332	-.186	.242	.318	.342	.237	-0.7	55-C -1	0.7
40^o	212	19	8	1	2	18	18	41	1	1	-0.6	.235	.308	.319	-.222	.234	.310	.330	.230	-2.4	53-C -1	0.5
25^o	195	15	6	0	2	15	15	38	1	0	-0.6	.218	.290	.289	-.306	.217	.292	.299	.211	-6.0	49-C -1	0.1
10^o	163	9	5	0	1	10	12	34	1	0	-0.4	.190	.259	.242	-.441	.190	.261	.249	.176	-10.1	42-C -1	-0.4
Weighted Mean	210	20	8	1	3	18	18	40	1	1	-0.6	.244	.319	.336	-.166	.244	.321	.347	.239	0.1	53-C 0	0.8

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
20%	42%	31%	41%	0.83

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2009 (age 33)	210	20	8	1	3	18	18	40	1	1	-0.6	.244	.319	.336	-.166	.244	.321	.347	.239	0.1	53-C 0	0.8
2010 (age 34)	174	15	6	1	3	15	14	35	1	0	-0.4	.245	.316	.343	-.155	.248	.322	.358	.239	0.2	45-C -1	0.5
2011 (age 35)	156	13	5	1	2	13	12	32	1	0	-0.3	.246	.312	.340	-.166	.249	.318	.356	.237	0.0	41-C -1	0.3
2012 (age 36)	144	11	5	0	2	12	13	29	1	0	-0.2	.232	.311	.314	-.211	.235	.317	.328	.229	-0.7	38-C -1	0.1
2013 (age 37)	-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 38)	-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 39)	-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.259	.335	.360
vs RHP	.240	.311	.325
Split	+.019	+.024	+.036
LgAvg	+.020	+.024	+.038

Valuation

Year	BRAA	FRAA	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2009	0.9	0.0	0.8	$1,025,000	-0.3	1.7
2010	0.9	-1.0	0.5	$800,000	-0.8	2.0
2011	0.4	-1.0	0.3	$725,000	-0.9	1.5
2012	-0.7	-1.0	0.1	$575,000	-1.3	0.5
2013	-- out of baseball --
2014	-- out of baseball --
2015	-- out of baseball --
Peak			1.7	$1,400,000	0.0	6.6

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2009	.258	.237	.211	.239
2010	.256	.237	.201	.239
2011	.263	.230	.204	.237
2012	.252	.230	.171	.229
2013	-- out of baseball --
2014	-- out of baseball --
2015	-- out of baseball --

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2009	41%	0%	20%
2010	63%	23%	14%
2011	74%	39%	20%
2012	85%	58%	13%
2013	91%	78%	12%
2014	95%	83%	10%
2015	98%	88%	9%

58

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Steve Decker	1999	56		11	Mike Matheny	2004	47
2	Jerry McNertney	1969	55		12	Joe Astroth	1955	46
3	Andy Etchebarren	1976	54		13	Joe Girardi	1998	45
4	Al Evans	1950	52		14	Matt Batts	1955	45
5	Lenny Webster	1998	50		15	Brad Ausmus	2002	45
6	Mickey Grasso	1953	50		16	Tom Wilson	2004	44
7	Chris Cannizzaro	1971	49		17	Jose Molina	2008	44
8	Tony Eusebio	2000	48		18	Ray Murray	1951	43
9	Gary Bennett	2005	47		19	John Boccabella	1974	43
10	Steve Lake	1990	47		20	Ed Fitz Gerald	1957	42

Player Comments

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2008

We're contractually obligated to remind you that Treanor is married to volleyball star Misty May. (The enforcing clause in that contract states that if we don't, Treanor will come to one of our events wearing his wife's work clothes. No one wants that.) Treanor is a catch-and-throw backup who will play a bit more this season now that Mike Rabelo is the nominal starter.

2007

Misty May`s husband is pretty much your run-of-the-mill, nondescript backup catcher. Though Treanor was praised for working with a young, inexperienced staff in Miami, Scott Olsen was really the only pitcher he worked with regularly. His league-average OBP was boosted by four intentional walks and a decent amount of time batting eighth, where even the unintentional walks are somewhat intentional.

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2006	FLO	MLB	185	12	6	1	2	14	19	34	0	1	-0.7	.229	.328	.318	-.213	.228	.326	.316	.232	-2.7	49-C 5	0.7
2007	FLO	MLB	198	16	7	1	4	19	19	29	0	0	-0.9	.269	.357	.392	.009	.275	.362	.415	.273	7.2	50-C -6	0.5
2008	JUP	A+	23	7	1	0	1	5	6	3	0	0	0.1	.313	.478	.563	-.017	.222	.348	.444	.280	0.7		0.1
2008	FLO	MLB	234	18	7	0	2	23	18	53	1	0	1.0	.238	.306	.301	-.247	.240	.310	.308	.224	-3.7	59-C 1	0.2

Historical Stats