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Curtis Thigpen
Toronto Blue Jays [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 25
5' 11"
190 lbs.

Player Profile

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Blue Jays Depth Chart (updated: 04-24)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
C 9 Curtis Thigpen 10 61 .247 6 1 6 0 .315 .376 0.1
1   2008 Total 10 61 .247 6 1 6 0 .315 .376 0.1

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 LNS 1B 352 41 18 2 5 35 54 34 5 0 0.1 .287 .397 .413 .161 .242 .333 .343 .244 0.6 58-C 5 2.7
2005 NHP 2A 157 18 8 0 4 15 9 19 0 0 0.9 .284 .340 .426 .102 .257 .310 .375 .238 0.7 30-C 6 1.3
2006 NHP 2A 373 49 25 5 5 36 52 61 5 1 -2.1 .259 .370 .421 .138 .240 .341 .407 .263 11.1 73-C -4 2.4
2006 SYR 3A 56 3 3 0 1 9 2 9 0 1 0.1 .264 .304 .377 -.065 .245 .286 .340 .210 -1.3 14-C -4 0.1
2007 SYR 3A 202 20 10 0 3 20 17 23 1 0 -0.6 .285 .348 .391 .016 .260 .318 .365 .242 1.0 39-C -10 0.5
2007 TOR MJ 110 13 5 0 0 11 8 17 2 0 0.5 .238 .294 .287 -.295 .240 .303 .290 .216 -3.8 14-C 3 0.1


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 8:00 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 282 40 19 1 7 32 29 44 3 1 -0.2 .285 .364 .451 .088 .283 .366 .456 .290 15.0 69-C -6 2.6
75o 264 32 16 1 5 28 24 42 3 1 -0.2 .263 .336 .408 -.032 .262 .338 .412 .267 6.5 65-C -5 1.8
60o 255 28 14 1 5 26 22 41 2 1 -0.1 .253 .322 .386 -.091 .251 .324 .390 .255 2.6 63-C -5 1.5
50o 247 25 13 1 4 25 20 40 2 1 -0.1 .244 .311 .369 -.137 .243 .313 .373 .245 -0.2 61-C -5 1.2
40o 240 22 12 1 4 23 19 39 2 1 -0.1 .237 .300 .353 -.181 .235 .302 .357 .236 -2.7 60-C -4 1.0
25o 229 19 11 1 3 21 17 38 2 1 -0.1 .226 .286 .332 -.242 .225 .287 .335 .222 -6.0 57-C -4 0.7
10o 194 11 7 0 2 15 11 33 1 1 -0.1 .196 .243 .271 -.414 .195 .244 .274 .177 -13.0 49-C -3 0.0
Weighted Mean 253 26 14 1 5 26 21 40 2 1 -0.1 .247 .315 .376 -.120 .246 .317 .379 .248 0.6 62-C -3 1.9

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

30%

51%

27%

32%

1.04

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 25) 253 26 14 1 5 26 21 40 2 1 -0.1 .247 .315 .376 -.120 .246 .317 .379 .248 0.6 62-C -3 1.9
2009 (age 26) 248 27 13 1 5 26 23 39 3 1 -0.1 .253 .328 .384 -.084 .256 .335 .396 .257 2.8 61-C -3 1.6
2010 (age 27) 238 26 12 1 5 25 22 36 3 1 -0.1 .261 .333 .394 -.057 .263 .339 .406 .262 3.6 59-C -4 1.5
2011 (age 28) 199 20 11 1 4 21 19 31 2 1 -0.1 .255 .331 .396 -.060 .258 .338 .408 .261 2.9 50-C -4 1.2
2012 (age 29) 219 24 12 1 5 25 21 34 2 1 -0.1 .259 .333 .399 -.050 .262 .340 .411 .263 3.1 55-C -4 1.2
2013 (age 30) 229 24 11 1 5 26 20 34 2 1 -0.1 .252 .320 .386 -.096 .255 .327 .397 .254 1.4 57-C -6 0.9
2014 (age 31) 212 19 10 1 4 21 17 33 1 1 -0.1 .235 .298 .355 -.185 .238 .305 .365 .235 -1.4 53-C -6 0.6

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .264 .337 .405
vs RHP .242 .306 .359
Split +.022 +.031 +.046
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.5 1.5 1.9 $2,500,000 2.2 4.0
2009 0.6 1.0 1.6 $2,500,000 4.0 6.9
2010 0.6 0.8 1.5 $2,600,000 4.7 6.2
2011 0.5 0.7 1.2 $2,150,000 3.3 5.0
2012 0.6 0.6 1.2 $2,275,000 3.4 4.9
2013 0.4 0.5 0.9 $1,550,000 1.1 3.7
2014 0.1 0.5 0.6 $950,000 -1.9 1.0
Peak 8.4 $9,450,000 18.6 30.8


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .267 .245 .222 .248
2009 .272 .242 .217 .257
2010 .264 .247 .228 .262
2011 .271 .247 .227 .261
2012 .283 .251 .217 .263
2013 .281 .252 .209 .254
2014 .262 .234 .205 .235


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 32% 0% 30%
2009 44% 11% 36%
2010 51% 22% 35%
2011 56% 27% 31%
2012 60% 32% 35%
2013 65% 37% 31%
2014 69% 47% 22%

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

Thigpen, who played mostly first base at Texas behind Taylor Teagarden, has gone from being a bit of novelty to an organizational favorite. His defense is surprisingly well-regarded, and, while the home runs haven`t come yet, he`s hit for enough doubles to project for 10-15 homers annually in the big leagues to go with a decent OBP. He`s not a future All-Star, but could be a future big league regular, and, given the lack of catching depth in Toronto, that chance could come sooner rather than later.

2006

Primarily a first baseman in college (Taylor Teagarden was doing the catching for the Texas Longhorns), Thigpen has endeared himself to the Jays with very impressive plate discipline and the hints of power to come. He`s one of the youngest hitters in the system to reach Double-A, and another solid season could put him on the road to Toronto, where just like everywhere else, it`s impossible to have too many catchers who can hit.


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