Taylor Teagarden

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Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time
Rangers Depth Chart (updated: 08-09)

Pos Order Name PT% PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP

C 8 Taylor Teagarden 25 55 .225 7 2 7 0 .307 .409 0.6

1 2009 Total 25 55 .225 7 2 7 0 .307 .409 0.6

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 11:58 PM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	399	57	19	1	19	50	48	121	2	1	-0.5	.256	.353	.482	.066	.252	.351	.487	.287	20.9	95-C -2	3.8
75^o	375	47	17	1	15	44	43	120	2	1	-0.4	.236	.332	.439	-.039	.232	.331	.444	.268	10.5	90-C -3	2.7
60^o	360	41	15	1	14	41	41	119	2	1	-0.4	.224	.320	.415	-.100	.221	.318	.420	.257	5.0	87-C -3	2.0
50^o	346	37	14	1	12	37	38	118	1	1	-0.4	.214	.309	.393	-.155	.211	.307	.397	.247	0.4	83-C -4	1.5
40^o	322	29	12	1	10	32	35	115	1	1	-0.3	.196	.290	.356	-.246	.193	.289	.360	.228	-6.5	78-C -4	0.6
25^o	305	25	11	1	8	29	32	113	1	1	-0.3	.185	.278	.331	-.307	.182	.276	.335	.214	-10.4	74-C -5	0.1
10^o	258	16	9	1	5	20	25	104	1	1	-0.2	.157	.248	.273	-.450	.155	.246	.276	.178	-17.4	64-C -6	-1.0
Weighted Mean	355	38	15	1	12	39	39	121	1	1	-0.3	.213	.308	.391	-.133	.210	.307	.396	.246	0.3	85-C -4	1.3

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
31%	50%	36%	33%	1.07

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2009 (age 25)	355	38	15	1	12	39	39	121	1	1	-0.3	.213	.308	.391	-.133	.210	.307	.396	.246	0.3	85-C -4	1.3
2010 (age 26)	368	40	15	1	13	41	41	123	2	1	-0.3	.211	.307	.391	-.148	.211	.309	.400	.245	0.0	88-C -5	1.1
2011 (age 27)	359	36	15	1	11	40	37	117	1	1	-0.2	.209	.296	.375	-.189	.209	.298	.384	.235	-2.4	86-C -5	0.7
2012 (age 28)	383	41	16	2	13	43	41	125	2	1	-0.2	.208	.303	.382	-.168	.208	.305	.391	.241	-1.1	92-C -7	0.8
2013 (age 29)	401	46	16	2	15	49	45	125	1	1	-0.1	.212	.308	.396	-.138	.212	.311	.405	.247	0.4	96-C -6	0.8
2014 (age 30)	356	35	15	1	11	41	39	104	1	1	-0.1	.204	.298	.367	-.200	.204	.300	.375	.234	-1.9	85-C -7	0.4
2015 (age 31)	301	31	12	1	11	36	34	80	1	0	0.0	.216	.310	.396	-.132	.216	.312	.405	.248	0.4	73-C -4	0.4

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.229	.329	.415
vs RHP	.209	.300	.377
Split	+.020	+.029	+.038
LgAvg	+.020	+.024	+.038

Valuation

Year	BRAA	FRAA	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2009	0.4	-4.0	1.3	$1,500,000	1.7	4.5
2010	0.1	-5.0	1.1	$1,425,000	0.9	4.8
2011	-3.4	-5.0	0.7	$1,025,000	-1.8	3.3
2012	-1.5	-7.0	0.8	$1,325,000	-0.6	6.1
2013	1.1	-6.0	0.8	$1,450,000	1.0	5.1
2014	-3.9	-7.0	0.4	$975,000	-1.7	2.3
2015	1.1	-4.0	0.4	$1,225,000	0.8	2.9
Peak			5.1	$4,250,000	1.0	26.1

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2009	.268	.247	.214	.246
2010	.271	.238	.221	.245
2011	.270	.238	.202	.235
2012	.290	.241	.213	.241
2013	.285	.243	.186	.247
2014	.268	.209	.150	.234
2015	.283	.235	.198	.248

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2009	33%	0%	31%
2010	36%	16%	24%
2011	49%	27%	24%
2012	54%	37%	25%
2013	62%	43%	22%
2014	70%	55%	19%
2015	83%	68%	18%

52

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Dave_F Schmidt	1982	53		11	Kevin Brown	1998	36
2	Kelly Shoppach	2005	48		12	Creighton Gubanich	1997	36
3	Ozzie Virgil	1982	45		13	Randy Asadoor	1988	35
4	George Bjorkman	1982	42		14	Jayhawk Owens	1994	35
5	Mike Rubel	1985	42		15	Tim Laudner	1983	35
6	Jeff Bailey	2004	41		16	Chris Haas	2002	33
7	Earl Battey	1960	41		17	Nick Esasky	1985	33
8	Eric Wedge	1993	40		18	Glenn Murray	1996	33
9	Ed Bailey	1956	40		19	Joe Lis	1972	33
10	Jayson Werth	2004	37		20	Ben Petrick	2002	33

Player Comments

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2008

A frustrating prospect, Teagarden has been a Three True Outcomes hero with 34 home runs, 107 walks, and 167 strikeouts in 147 minor league games, but he lost nearly all of 2006 to Tommy John surgery, and continuing elbow soreness limited him to part-time duty behind the plate last year. When Teagarden is behind the dish, he's one of the top defensive catchers around. If he can stay there, he's Mickey Tettleton with defensive chops.

2007

The great-grand nephew of classic jazz trombonist Jack Teagarden had a difficult full season debut, missing most of it after undergoing Tommy John surgery. He entered the year as a top prospect, highly regarded on both sides of the ball. With the TJ procedure, his ability to cut down the running game is thrown into question, but he`s a very good handler of pitchers, so he still has something to offer behind the plate. It`s the lost development time that`s going to be most difficult to recover from. That first full year out of college is crucial to a prospect`s development. The majors look forward to `Swingin` on a Teagarden Gate.`

Pos	Order	Name	PT%	PA	AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB	OBP	SLG	VORP
C	8	Taylor Teagarden	25	55	.225	7	2	7	0	.307	.409	0.6
1		2009 Total	25	55	.225	7	2	7	0	.307	.409	0.6

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2006	RNG	Rk	29	4	0	0	0	1	9	7	1	0	-0.2	.050	.345	.050	-.832	.042	.207	.042	.000	-15.3		-0.7
2007	BAK	A+	364	75	25	0	20	67	65	89	2	1	-1.4	.315	.448	.606	-.017	.235	.346	.439	.271	10.6	29-C 0	1.5
2007	FRI	AA	115	19	3	0	7	16	10	39	0	0	0.6	.294	.357	.529	-.038	.260	.313	.452	.262	2.7	14-C -3	0.0
2008	FRI	AA	68	6	2	0	2	6	8	23	1	0	0.3	.169	.279	.305	-.450	.148	.246	.279	.186	-6.5	10-C 1	-0.2
2008	OKL	AAA	218	26	5	3	7	16	28	59	0	1	-1.9	.225	.332	.396	-.251	.199	.298	.340	.224	-8.1	55-C 1	0.3
2008	TEX	MLB	53	10	5	0	6	17	5	19	0	0	0.5	.319	.396	.809	.682	.319	.396	.851	.371	9.9	11-C -1	0.9

Projected Playing Time

Historical Stats