<< PECOTA Home Player Search     

Kurt Suzuki
Oakland Athletics [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 25
6'
205 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
Baseball Prospectus DT Player Card
baseball-reference Player Card

Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Athletics Depth Chart (updated: 08-09)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
C 5 Kurt Suzuki 80 193 .273 22 4 21 2 .325 .389 4.3
1   2009 Total 80 193 .273 22 4 21 2 .325 .389 4.3

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 MID AA 444 64 26 1 7 55 58 50 5 3 -0.5 .285 .392 .415 -.142 .241 .333 .356 .245 -2.8 87-C -1 1.2
2007 SAC AAA 240 32 9 0 3 27 21 41 0 0 0.0 .280 .351 .365 -.173 .257 .325 .336 .238 -3.5 43-C 2 0.6
2007 OAK MLB 248 27 13 0 7 39 24 39 0 0 -0.8 .249 .327 .408 -.053 .250 .333 .420 .264 7.9 60-C 1 1.3
2008 OAK MLB 588 54 25 1 7 42 44 69 2 3 -1.7 .279 .346 .370 -.036 .286 .355 .384 .260 14.9 136-C 5 3.2


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 10:16 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 448 62 24 1 12 54 46 60 3 1 -1.2 .302 .385 .459 .185 .309 .393 .489 .306 37.6 106-C -1 5.0
75o 418 48 21 1 9 47 39 57 2 1 -1.0 .278 .355 .415 .052 .285 .362 .442 .282 22.0 100-C -1 3.6
60o 402 42 20 1 8 44 35 56 2 1 -1.0 .267 .340 .393 -.016 .273 .346 .418 .269 14.8 96-C -1 2.9
50o 392 38 19 1 7 41 33 55 2 1 -0.9 .260 .330 .379 -.057 .265 .337 .404 .261 10.6 94-C -1 2.4
40o 383 35 18 1 7 40 31 54 2 1 -0.9 .253 .322 .367 -.093 .259 .328 .391 .254 7.1 92-C -1 2.1
25o 367 30 16 1 6 36 27 52 2 1 -0.8 .242 .307 .347 -.157 .248 .313 .369 .241 1.3 88-C -1 1.5
10o 339 23 14 1 4 31 22 50 1 1 -0.7 .225 .283 .314 -.258 .230 .289 .334 .219 -6.8 82-C -1 0.6
Weighted Mean 415 43 20 1 8 45 36 58 2 1 -0.9 .264 .336 .387 -.058 .270 .342 .412 .265 12.5 99-C 0 2.6

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

34%

59%

18%

30%

0.99

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 25) 415 43 20 1 8 45 36 58 2 1 -0.9 .264 .336 .387 -.058 .270 .342 .412 .265 12.5 99-C 0 2.6
2010 (age 26) 368 36 17 1 7 39 32 52 2 1 -0.8 .259 .335 .380 -.030 .269 .346 .410 .263 10.5 88-C 0 2.4
2011 (age 27) 408 42 19 1 8 43 36 56 2 1 -0.8 .259 .334 .385 -.024 .269 .346 .415 .264 11.4 97-C 0 2.5
2012 (age 28) 374 37 18 1 7 40 35 50 1 1 -0.6 .261 .338 .389 -.012 .271 .349 .419 .266 10.9 90-C -1 2.2
2013 (age 29) 397 40 19 1 7 41 36 57 2 1 -0.5 .258 .335 .379 -.032 .267 .346 .409 .263 9.0 95-C 0 2.0
2014 (age 30) 405 40 18 1 8 42 35 55 2 1 -0.4 .255 .326 .376 -.056 .264 .336 .406 .258 6.7 97-C -1 1.7
2015 (age 31) 330 28 15 1 6 33 28 45 1 0 -0.3 .250 .320 .367 -.083 .259 .330 .396 .253 4.0 80-C -1 1.3

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .278 .354 .412
vs RHP .259 .327 .372
Split +.019 +.027 +.040
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 12.9 0.0 2.6 $4,175,000 13.7 18.0
2010 10.4 0.0 2.4 $4,000,000 12.2 17.1
2011 12.1 0.0 2.5 $4,600,000 12.9 18.7
2012 12.0 -1.0 2.2 $4,275,000 11.4 17.1
2013 11.3 0.0 2.0 $4,125,000 9.9 16.3
2014 9.4 -1.0 1.7 $3,650,000 7.7 11.4
2015 5.8 -1.0 1.3 $2,775,000 4.8 9.1
Peak 13.4 $18,350,000 67.8 98.6


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .282 .261 .241 .265
2010 .280 .261 .230 .263
2011 .286 .257 .232 .264
2012 .284 .261 .240 .266
2013 .280 .253 .219 .263
2014 .276 .251 .226 .258
2015 .276 .243 .210 .253


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 30% 0% 34%
2010 37% 3% 35%
2011 33% 4% 38%
2012 43% 9% 40%
2013 44% 12% 35%
2014 52% 25% 28%
2015 61% 33% 26%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

59

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Cam Carreon 1963 65 11 Michael Barrett 2002 48
2 Jerry May 1969 62 12 Jody Davis 1982 48
3 Jim Sundberg 1977 55 13 Buck Rodgers 1964 47
4 Fred Kendall 1974 54 14 Brad Ausmus 1995 45
5 Bruce Benedict 1981 53 15 Hal Smith 1956 44
6 Gene Green 1959 52 16 Randy Hundley 1968 43
7 Bill Nahorodny 1979 50 17 Mike Sweeney 1999 42
8 Ramon Hernandez 2002 49 18 Joe Ginsberg 1952 42
9 Glenn Borgmann 1976 49 19 Todd Zeile 1991 42
10 Tom Nieto 1986 49 20 Milt May 1976 41

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2008

When the A's finally found a way to get rid of the grisly remains of Jason Kendall (and somehow get a decent prospect for him, to boot), Suzuki became the starting catcher, a position he will likely retain so for some time. What you saw in his first 68 big league games is real in the sense that he should be good for 10 to 15 home runs a year and a healthy walk rate, but based on his scouting reports and minor league track record, his batting average is more likely to be in the .280 range. Still, that makes him one of the better-hitting catchers in the American League.

2007

It was an up-and-down season for the former second-round pick, as Suzuki batted .362 in April, .238 in May, .341 in June, .215 in July, and then .333 in five August games before leaving to play for Team USA. He`s still on schedule to take over from Jason Kendall in 2008, which is particularly appropriate given Suzuki`s tendencies to draw walks, make a lot of contact, and hit the ball over the fence just occasionally. He made great strides throwing out baserunners this year. If the A`s are fated to have a Kendall-type backstop, at least he`ll be a cheap Kendall-type backstop.

2006

Suzuki doesn`t impress scouts very much, but unlike some of the other A`s prospects, he`s athletic and has other skills to round out his plate discipline. He has some upside in the mold of Ramon Hernandez, but it`s a bit early to be penciling him into the 2007 lineup. In person, he looks shorter than his listed height of 6`0`. He`ll get a fair shake in this organization.


Baseball Prospectus Home  |  Terms of Service  |  Privacy Policy  |  Contact Us
Copyright © 1996-2009 Prospectus Entertainment Ventures, LLC.