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Geovany Soto
Chicago Cubs [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 25
6' 1"
230 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
Baseball Prospectus DT Player Card
baseball-reference Player Card

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Cubs Depth Chart (updated: 04-24)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
C 7 Geovany Soto 80 530 .274 66 20 73 1 .353 .476 25.7
1   2008 Total 80 530 .274 66 20 73 1 .353 .476 25.7

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 IOW 3A 345 30 14 0 4 39 48 77 0 1 1.8 .253 .357 .342 -.130 .221 .317 .298 .220 -9.4 86-C 0 1.8
2005 CHN MJ 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 .000 .000 .000 -1.255 .000 .000 .000 .000 -0.3 0.0
2006 IOW 3A 391 34 21 0 6 38 41 74 0 1 0.0 .272 .353 .386 -.001 .247 .323 .353 .240 0.4 96-C -2 2.6
2006 CHN MJ 26 1 1 0 0 2 0 5 0 0 -0.1 .200 .231 .240 -.499 .200 .231 .240 .145 -2.3 -0.2
2007 IOW 3A 449 75 31 3 26 109 53 94 0 0 -3.1 .353 .424 .652 .528 .296 .371 .563 .311 49.7 70-C 0 5.9
2007 CHN MJ 60 12 6 0 3 8 5 14 0 0 -0.1 .389 .433 .667 .621 .370 .417 .667 .351 10.9 14-C 2 1.2


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 7:26 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 514 76 31 1 24 78 57 110 2 1 -1.1 .297 .378 .531 .204 .291 .372 .521 .299 40.1 121-C 0 6.5
75o 487 66 28 1 21 71 53 105 2 1 -1.0 .286 .366 .504 .139 .280 .360 .495 .288 30.8 115-C -1 5.5
60o 474 61 26 1 19 68 51 102 2 1 -1.0 .281 .360 .491 .107 .274 .354 .482 .283 26.4 112-C -1 5.1
50o 459 56 25 1 18 64 48 100 2 1 -1.0 .275 .353 .477 .073 .269 .348 .468 .277 22.1 109-C -1 4.6
40o 442 51 23 1 16 60 46 96 1 1 -0.9 .268 .345 .460 .031 .262 .340 .451 .269 17.1 105-C -2 4.1
25o 415 44 21 1 14 54 42 91 1 1 -0.8 .257 .334 .435 -.029 .252 .329 .427 .259 10.4 99-C -2 3.4
10o 360 31 16 1 10 43 34 81 1 1 -0.7 .238 .312 .388 -.144 .232 .307 .380 .236 -0.5 87-C -3 2.1
Weighted Mean 495 63 27 1 19 70 52 108 2 1 -0.9 .274 .353 .476 .071 .268 .348 .467 .276 24.3 117-C 0 4.9

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

11%

47%

18%

22%

0.75

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 25) 495 63 27 1 19 70 52 108 2 1 -0.9 .274 .353 .476 .071 .268 .348 .467 .276 24.3 117-C 0 4.9
2009 (age 26) 503 67 29 1 21 74 53 110 2 1 -0.9 .280 .359 .494 .109 .270 .348 .476 .282 23.4 119-C -2 4.4
2010 (age 27) 472 61 25 1 21 73 50 104 2 1 -0.8 .278 .356 .494 .103 .268 .345 .476 .281 21.7 112-C -2 4.2
2011 (age 28) 552 78 30 1 24 82 61 118 2 1 -0.8 .281 .363 .497 .121 .270 .352 .479 .285 21.4 130-C -5 3.8
2012 (age 29) 471 64 24 1 21 73 58 101 2 1 -0.7 .281 .372 .503 .143 .271 .361 .485 .290 20.6 111-C -1 3.8
2013 (age 30) 567 82 31 1 25 89 62 120 2 1 -0.7 .287 .365 .505 .140 .276 .354 .486 .287 19.0 133-C -4 3.4
2014 (age 31) 464 57 24 1 20 71 51 98 2 1 -0.6 .267 .348 .477 .057 .257 .337 .459 .273 11.9 110-C -5 2.7

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .290 .372 .499
vs RHP .269 .343 .457
Split +.021 +.029 +.041
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 2.1 2.8 4.9 $11,100,000 24.4 27.0
2009 2.3 2.1 4.4 $10,575,000 22.4 29.1
2010 2.1 2.1 4.2 $10,875,000 21.6 28.4
2011 2.1 1.8 3.8 $10,275,000 19.3 25.9
2012 2.0 1.8 3.8 $11,400,000 21.1 31.6
2013 1.8 1.6 3.4 $10,500,000 18.4 24.9
2014 1.3 1.4 2.7 $7,600,000 10.7 17.6
Peak 24.5 $51,850,000 127.2 166.9


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .288 .277 .259 .276
2009 .300 .277 .259 .282
2010 .303 .278 .260 .281
2011 .304 .279 .263 .285
2012 .311 .276 .249 .290
2013 .309 .288 .271 .287
2014 .299 .265 .223 .273


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 22% 0% 11%
2009 26% 9% 17%
2010 36% 13% 21%
2011 44% 26% 18%
2012 52% 27% 18%
2013 56% 37% 18%
2014 61% 38% 12%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

45

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong!
Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Charles Johnson 1992 40 11 Tony Derosso 2003 33
2 Steve Bilko 1979 36 12 John Ellis 1971 33
3 James Bonnici 1981 36 13 Todd Zeile 1982 33
4 Bobby Estalella 1970 36 14 Pat Burrell 1960 33
5 Geronimo Gil 1973 35 15 Carmelo Martinez 2007 32
6 Ryan Garko 1992 35 16 Jim Pagliaroni 1975 32
7 Ramon Hernandez 1975 34 17 Dick Gernert 1969 32
8 Tim Laudner 1975 34 18 George Scott 2000 31
9 Mike Macfarlane 1957 34 19 Craig Worthington 1979 30
10 Jody Davis 1998 33 20 Shon Ashley 2005 30

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

Soto got the barest look-see from the Cubs last September, as Baker chose to run Blanco out there every day after Barrett`s injury rather than give Soto a chance. Soto didn`t show much and really shouldn`t have been expected to, but it would have been nice to see the Cubs at least try to evaluate young guys like him while playing out the string. If Henry Blanco goes 10-for-20 in the last week of September, it`s fun for his family but does nothing for the future of the franchise.

2006

A nimble backstop with a strong arm, Soto might be ready to replace Henry Blanco right now, not that that`s much of a standard. The question is whether Soto`s quick bat and decent patience at the plate will be good enough to make him more than a career reserve. He also has some experience at the infield and outfield spots, a quirky (or Quirk-y) virtue for a backup catcher.

2005

Soto, who has a fine arm and a good defensive reputation, hit just enough at West Tennessee to get himself designated as the team's de jure catcher of the future and added to the 40-man roster. His numbers weren't anything special, but he had a better season than Jeff Goldbach, who hit .233 for the Joliet Jackhammers, or Pat Cline, who was June's Employee of the Month at the Topeka Bed, Bath and Beyond.


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