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Rudy Seanez
Philadelphia Phillies [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Pitcher
Throws R
Age 40
6'
225 lbs.

Player Profile

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Most Comparable Pitchers | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA DEF ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2006 BOS MLB 2 1 0 41 0 46.7 51 26 48 6 31% .336 5 1.65 4.82 0 5.13 9.1 4.8 8.0 1.0 4.2 -1.1 0.6
2006 SDN MLB 1 2 0 8 0 6.3 7 6 6 2 38% .263 -23 2.05 5.71 1 7.71 9.0 6.4 6.4 2.6 0.1 -0.9 -0.2
2007 LAN MLB 6 3 1 73 0 76.0 78 27 73 10 39% .324 18 1.38 3.79 -3 3.20 8.8 2.7 8.1 1.1 16.4 0.8 3.1
2008 LWD A 1 0 0 1 0 1.0 2 0 1 0 0% .400 -32 2.00 0.00 -2 13.50 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1.1 0.0 -0.2
2008 LEH AAA 1 0 0 1 0 1.0 0 0 1 0 0% .000 36 0.00 0.00 1 0.00 0.0 0.0 9.0 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.2
2008 PHI MLB 5 4 0 42 0 43.3 38 25 30 2 49% .283 -12 1.45 3.53 4 5.44 8.0 4.4 5.4 0.4 3.3 0.1 0.8


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/10/09 5:49 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA DEF ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
90o 3 2 2 40 0 47.0 42 19 40 5 41% .276 6 1.29 3.00 0 3.08 7.9 3.2 6.5 0.9 13.9 1.1 1.8
75o 2 2 1 35 0 41.7 41 19 35 5 41% .294 2 1.45 4.17 0 4.31 8.8 3.6 6.5 1.1 6.4 0.5 1.0
60o 2 2 1 32 0 37.7 40 19 32 5 42% .308 -1 1.56 5.07 0 5.25 9.4 4.0 6.5 1.2 1.7 0.1 0.5
50o 2 2 1 31 0 37.0 40 19 31 5 42% .311 -2 1.59 5.25 0 5.44 9.6 4.1 6.5 1.3 0.9 0.0 0.4
40o 2 2 1 29 0 34.7 39 19 29 5 42% .319 -4 1.65 5.77 0 5.99 10.0 4.3 6.5 1.4 -1.4 -0.1 0.2
25o 2 2 1 28 0 33.3 38 19 28 5 42% .324 -5 1.70 6.12 0 6.35 10.2 4.4 6.5 1.4 -2.8 -0.2 0.0
10o 1 2 0 24 0 29.0 36 18 24 5 43% .340 -9 1.85 7.31 0 7.58 11.0 4.9 6.5 1.6 -6.5 -0.5 -0.4
Weighted Mean 2 2 1 29 0 34.3 36 17 29 5 42% .306 -1 1.55 4.98 0 5.17 9.4 4.0 6.5 1.2 1.9 0.1 0.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

13%

32%

49%

32%

0.93

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA DEF ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2009 (age 40) 2 2 1 29 0 34.3 36 17 29 5 42% .306 -1 1.55 4.98 0 5.17 9.4 4.0 6.5 1.2 1.9 0.1 0.4
2010 (age 41) 2 2 1 28 0 33.7 34 16 26 4 42% .291 -4 1.48 4.67 0 4.88 8.9 3.8 5.9 1.0 1.4 0.2 0.2
2011 (age 42)
-- out of baseball --
2012 (age 43)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 44)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 45)
-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 46)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHB .252 .360 .407
vs RHB .240 .330 .369
Split +.012 +.031 +.038
LgAvg +.009 +.034 +.039

Valuation

Year WARP MORP Mean VORP Upside
2009 0.4 $800,000 1.5 0.9
2010 0.2 $675,000 1.2 0.1
2011
-- out of baseball --
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --
Peak 0.7 $650,000 2.7 1.3


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 4.31 5.44 6.35 5.17
2010 4.35 5.08 6.24 4.88
2011
-- out of baseball --
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 32% 0% 13%
2010 74% 55% 3%
2011 78% 73% 3%
2012 98% 84% 6%
2013 100% 94% 3%
2014 99% 99% 2%
2015 100% 100% 2%

Most Comparable Pitchers

Similarity Index

18

Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend
1 Al Worthington 1969 56 11 Doug Bair 1990 37
2 Jose Mesa 2007 50 12 Art Fowler 1963 36
3 Mike Remlinger 2006 49 13 Jeff Fassero 2003 34
4 Virgil Trucks 1958 49 14 Trevor Hoffman 2008 31
5 Doug Brocail 2008 47 15 Chris Hammond 2006 29
6 Tony Fossas 1998 46 16 Roy Face 1968 28
7 Woodie Fryman 1980 44 17 Don McMahon 1970 28
8 Roberto Hernandez 2005 41 18 Harry Gumbert 1950 28
9 Steve Reed 2005 39 19 Stu Miller 1968 27
10 Al Brazle 1954 37 20 Ellis Kinder 1955 27

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2008

Twenty-one years after being drafted by the Indians and on his third go-round with the Dodgers, ol' Traction Action-or was that Transaction Action-set career highs in appearances, innings pitched, and strikeouts in 2007. As his leverage score (0.89) indicates, he wasn't doing much heavy lifting; 24 appearances came with the team down one to three runs, seven came when up one to three runs, and 23 came when the margin was greater than four runs in either direction. After umpteen trips to the DL and a wait on the unemployment line, Seanez wasn't in a position to complain.

2007

`Traction Action` (given the number of teams he`s pitched for, maybe `Transaction Action` has become more apt) has long been a house fave hereabouts. It`s not a Goth thing because he`s seemingly deathless, but more a matter of his outlasting failed expectations of greatness to become a reliably unreliable commodity. You never know when Seanez will be healthy enough to help, but, for a few weeks at a time, he can show up, pump gas, and help a team win. Joining the Padres for a fourth tour in his third trading deadline team change in the last six years (no, really), he`s now made the playoffs in two different stints two different teams (the other being the Braves).

2006

`Traction Action` used to feature the kind of repertoire we make fun of clubs for coveting: 100-mph heat, a walk per inning, and Brad Pennington-ish results. Forget about that guy--Seanez is now one of the better relievers in the majors, though he can`t be counted on too heavily due to his extensive injury history. The Red Sox are taking a risk signing him for setup-man money, but they`ve certainly got the resources to compensate if it doesn`t work out.

2005

The guy Chad Fox aspires to be, Seanez not only carted himself to the mound enough times to make a roster, he actually managed to pick up some trade value, getting swapped to Florida at midseason. He's had a 13-year career with a peak of 53 2/3 innings in a single season, thanks mostly to a body that keeps betraying him. His hard stuff down makes him difficult to hit, as the numbers above show. He'll be in his third tour of duty with the Padres in '05.

2002

Seanez is in danger of becoming the Braves’ version of what Darryl Strawberry was to the Yankees for a few years. Is the team in need of some help down the stretch? Heck, dig up old what’s his face—he’s never very expensive, everybody knows him, and the staff knows what he can do. Seanez’s primary value to anyone other than the Braves is that he might bring you a live arm out of Macon or Myrtle Beach on the last day of July.

2001

Tough break for "Traction Action," whose back remained healthy long enough for his elbow to blow. Coming off midseason Tommy John surgery, he'll be hard-pressed to have any value in 2001.

2000

This is one of the great triumphs of the Cox/Mazzone Braves, taking the oft-maligned Seanez and getting 90 good innings from him over two seasons. Losing him to a broken elbow in September was what led to Cox’s interesting pitcher usage in October, using three starters out of the pen and essentially ignoring McGlinchy and Russ Springer in meaningful situations. Seanez is expected to be healthy in the spring.

1999

The man Bill James once described as “the worst pitching prospect in the history of the world” proved to be another feather in the cap for Cox and Mazzone. He commanded unconditional surrender from right-handed batters, who hit .125 with nary an extra-base hit all season. I wouldn’t count on him to repeat that, due to a health record that can only be seen if you’re over 18 and have a major credit card.

1998

Probably can still throw 130 mph or so, but still can’t get people out. You have to admire his tenacity. He’s been a flamethrowing prospect since the late Cretaceous, and he’s partially shaken the “can’t pitch” rap a couple of times now. This time, no one’s going to listen when someone cries, “Wolf.”

1997

Seanez doesn’t throw 141 mph anymore and he still can’t find the strike zone. At some point, you just have to give up. I mean, how long is “it feels so good when I stop” a good reason to do something? The Dodgers need to just say no.

1996

Another one of Fred Claire's bad ideas: giving Rudy Seanez a two-year contract. He's never been healthy because of a chronic back problem, he's never had control anywhere for any period of time, but he's got that big heater so he gets a shot without proving he knows how to pitch. When he flopped last season, the Dodgers questioned his makeup, which is a smokescreen for being surprised that he can't pitch well consistently.


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