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Jarrod Saltalamacchia
Texas Rangers [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats B
Age 24
6' 4"
195 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
Baseball Prospectus DT Player Card
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Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Rangers Depth Chart (updated: 08-09)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
C 8 Jarrod Saltalamacchia 70 155 .252 19 5 18 0 .322 .404 1.9
1   2009 Total 70 155 .252 19 5 18 0 .322 .404 1.9

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 MIS AA 377 30 18 1 9 39 55 71 0 1 -2.2 .230 .353 .380 -.134 .220 .326 .382 .250 -1.8 80-C 1 1.4
2007 MIS AA 94 18 7 0 6 13 13 17 2 0 0.0 .309 .404 .617 .192 .277 .362 .554 .304 8.7 20-C -1 0.9
2007 TEX MLB 176 28 7 1 7 21 9 47 0 0 1.0 .251 .290 .431 -.104 .247 .290 .440 .246 1.8 23-1B -1 21-C -4 -0.3
2007 ATL MLB 153 11 6 0 4 12 10 28 0 0 -1.4 .284 .333 .411 -.013 .286 .340 .421 .264 4.8 21-C -1 12-1B -2 0.2
2008 OKL AAA 64 10 3 1 2 13 7 15 0 0 -0.2 .291 .391 .491 -.001 .250 .344 .446 .272 2.1 15-C 0 0.4
2008 TEX MLB 230 27 13 0 3 26 31 74 0 2 -1.7 .253 .352 .364 -.072 .250 .357 .372 .258 3.2 52-C -6 0.2


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 11:57 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 390 59 22 1 17 56 45 92 2 1 -0.9 .280 .368 .507 .143 .276 .366 .513 .299 27.4 93-C -7 3.6
75o 364 49 19 1 15 49 40 88 1 1 -0.8 .265 .350 .472 .055 .261 .348 .478 .284 18.1 87-C -6 2.7
60o 348 43 18 1 13 45 37 85 1 1 -0.8 .255 .339 .450 .000 .251 .337 .455 .274 12.8 84-C -6 2.2
50o 327 36 16 1 11 40 33 82 1 1 -0.7 .244 .325 .424 -.066 .240 .324 .429 .262 7.0 79-C -6 1.6
40o 315 33 15 1 10 38 31 80 1 1 -0.7 .237 .318 .410 -.101 .234 .316 .415 .255 4.2 76-C -5 1.3
25o 295 28 14 1 9 34 28 76 1 1 -0.6 .227 .305 .385 -.162 .223 .304 .390 .243 -0.3 72-C -5 0.8
10o 236 16 10 1 5 22 20 64 0 0 -0.5 .199 .272 .322 -.322 .196 .270 .326 .208 -9.0 59-C -4 -0.2
Weighted Mean 331 38 17 1 12 43 34 82 1 1 -0.7 .249 .332 .436 -.011 .245 .330 .442 .267 9.6 80-C -5 1.8

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

32%

53%

18%

30%

0.84

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 24) 331 38 17 1 12 43 34 82 1 1 -0.7 .249 .332 .436 -.011 .245 .330 .442 .267 9.6 80-C -5 1.8
2010 (age 25) 383 49 19 1 14 49 41 91 1 1 -0.7 .254 .338 .446 .009 .253 .340 .456 .272 11.3 92-C -4 2.1
2011 (age 26) 407 59 22 1 16 55 45 91 1 1 -0.7 .270 .355 .474 .088 .269 .358 .485 .286 18.0 97-C -4 2.8
2012 (age 27) 434 63 22 1 17 58 49 99 1 1 -0.7 .262 .348 .466 .058 .261 .350 .477 .281 16.3 103-C -6 2.5
2013 (age 28) 386 55 20 1 16 51 46 87 1 1 -0.6 .264 .355 .475 .084 .264 .358 .486 .286 17.1 92-C -6 2.5
2014 (age 29) 385 50 19 1 14 50 42 84 1 1 -0.4 .256 .340 .441 .009 .255 .343 .452 .271 9.8 92-C -6 1.7
2015 (age 30) 354 48 18 1 15 49 40 77 1 0 -0.4 .267 .353 .475 .083 .266 .355 .486 .284 13.8 85-C -7 1.8

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .240 .315 .424
vs RHP .252 .340 .446
Split -.013 -.025 -.022
LgAvg +.004 -.004 +.007

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 8.9 -5.0 1.8 $2,500,000 7.5 10.5
2010 12.3 -4.0 2.1 $3,450,000 10.7 13.8
2011 19.6 -4.0 2.8 $6,050,000 18.3 24.8
2012 18.4 -6.0 2.5 $5,425,000 14.9 20.0
2013 18.6 -6.0 2.5 $5,850,000 15.2 22.6
2014 12.2 -6.0 1.7 $3,775,000 8.5 11.7
2015 16.5 -7.0 1.8 $4,925,000 11.2 17.2
Peak 13.4 $20,275,000 78.9 110.0


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .284 .262 .243 .267
2010 .285 .266 .246 .272
2011 .300 .282 .251 .286
2012 .301 .276 .255 .281
2013 .298 .269 .247 .286
2014 .282 .264 .223 .271
2015 .297 .276 .239 .284


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 30% 0% 32%
2010 28% 9% 33%
2011 29% 9% 50%
2012 24% 14% 39%
2013 34% 14% 39%
2014 46% 20% 27%
2015 52% 24% 39%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

38

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Jim Pagliaroni 1962 45 11 Les Moss 1949 24
2 Derrek Lee 1999 33 12 Lance Parrish 1980 24
3 Earl Battey 1959 31 13 Greg Goossen 1970 24
4 Ken Henderson 1970 30 14 Ed Herrmann 1970 24
5 Dave Duncan 1969 29 15 Ken Singleton 1971 23
6 Joe Garagiola 1950 28 16 Dale Murphy 1980 23
7 Marc Hill 1976 27 17 Mark Bailey 1986 23
8 Ben Davis 2001 25 18 Bill Sudakis 1970 23
9 Glenn Borgmann 1974 25 19 Dick Brown 1959 22
10 Todd Hundley 1993 25 20 Del Crandall 1954 22

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2008

Ignore the sub-par showing; Saltalamacchia is still a future star. He was pressed into an extremely difficult situation last year, as he was first blocked at his primary position in Atlanta, then had to replace the best hitter on a team mired in a disappointing season after being traded to Texas. He'll get a chance to settle in behind the plate this year, so we should get a better idea as to his true performance level. Salty is no great shakes defensively, but he's good enough, and his bat will more than make up for it, as he'll be one of the few catchers from whom you can expect a .280-plus batting average and 25 home runs annually.

2007

Salty suffered a setback at the plate in 2006 as a hand injury deepened an early slump, but he managed to pick it up as the season wore on, hitting .338/.474/.649 over the last two months. His BABIP was well below average, and should rebound this season, improving all of his numbers the way a rising tide raises all boats. Saltalamacchia also destroyed the ball in a short AFL stint, suggesting he`s back to being one of the best catching prospects in the game. The other good news is that he improved behind the plate, throwing out 36 percent of opposing runners, so talk of moving him to first should be quieted. He`s unlikely to displace McCann, but he gives the Braves options; it`ll be interesting to see which way Schuerholz jumps.

2006

In a system deep in young catching talent, `Salty` has the Braves licking their chops. With Francouer`s graduation to the majors and Marte`s trade, he now rates as the Braves` top prospect, as well as one of the top catching prospects anywhere. Tall for a catcher--leading some to speculate he`ll eventually be moved--he has drawn comparisons to Joe Mauer, but switch-hitting Jason Varitek might be a more accurate comp. He`s got a sweet swing, good plate discipline, and plenty of power. He has also improved defensively, despite nabbing only 26 percent of baserunners. With McCann and Pena, the Braves can afford to take their time with him.


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