Guillermo Rodriguez

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Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2005	SJO	1C	241	36	14	3	9	43	12	50	5	1	-0.1	.273	.332	.498	.115	.211	.255	.367	.218	-8.0	64-C 5	2.0
2005	NRW	2A	20	1	1	0	0	1	3	4	0	0	0.2	.267	.400	.333	.069	.250	.381	.312	.268	0.1		0.1
2006	SJO	1C	91	20	6	1	5	21	10	12	2	0	0.2	.364	.451	.662	.744	.309	.374	.593	.317	10.5		1.0
2006	FRE	3A	145	20	8	1	8	16	12	25	0	1	-0.2	.220	.303	.488	.025	.233	.303	.496	.266	5.8	35-C -1	1.5
2007	FRE	3A	119	15	6	0	1	16	11	8	1	0	0.4	.243	.319	.330	-.199	.257	.331	.324	.241	-0.4	29-C 9	1.5
2007	SFN	MJ	98	10	6	0	1	14	10	17	0	1	-1.0	.253	.327	.356	-.109	.256	.337	.349	.243	0.6	25-C 2	1.1

EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 6:25 PM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	261	38	15	1	8	31	23	40	4	1	-0.2	.287	.356	.460	.065	.285	.357	.475	.284	15.7	64-C 2	3.2
75^o	246	31	13	1	6	28	20	39	4	1	-0.2	.270	.338	.426	-.025	.268	.338	.440	.268	9.6	61-C 2	2.6
60^o	237	28	12	1	6	27	19	38	4	1	-0.2	.260	.327	.406	-.079	.258	.327	.419	.258	6.3	59-C 1	2.2
50^o	230	25	11	1	5	26	18	38	3	1	-0.2	.252	.319	.391	-.118	.250	.319	.404	.251	3.9	57-C 1	2.0
40^o	217	21	10	1	4	24	16	36	3	1	-0.1	.238	.304	.364	-.190	.237	.304	.376	.237	0.0	54-C 1	1.6
25^o	195	15	8	1	3	21	14	34	3	1	-0.1	.216	.279	.320	-.307	.214	.279	.330	.212	-5.3	49-C 1	1.0
10^o	153	8	5	1	1	15	10	29	2	0	-0.1	.181	.240	.252	-.487	.180	.241	.260	.167	-10.6	40-C 0	0.2
Weighted Mean	217	23	11	1	5	25	17	36	3	1	-0.1	.250	.316	.386	-.130	.248	.317	.399	.247	5.0	54-C 2	2.2

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
20%	49%	38%	32%	1.01

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2008 (age 30)	217	23	11	1	5	25	17	36	3	1	-0.1	.250	.316	.386	-.130	.248	.317	.399	.247	5.0	54-C 2	2.2
2009 (age 31)	229	23	11	1	5	23	19	38	2	1	-0.1	.236	.307	.364	-.186	.231	.303	.369	.235	0.1	57-C 2	1.3
2010 (age 32)	205	21	10	1	5	23	16	34	2	1	-0.1	.254	.318	.399	-.106	.248	.314	.405	.251	2.6	52-C 1	1.1
2011 (age 33)	205	21	9	1	5	23	16	33	2	1	-0.1	.249	.319	.386	-.127	.244	.315	.392	.248	1.5	52-C 0	0.8
2012 (age 34)	140	12	7	1	3	15	11	23	1	0	-0.1	.246	.309	.385	-.148	.241	.304	.391	.242	0.7	37-C 1	0.6
2013 (age 35)	163	15	7	1	4	18	13	27	1	1	-0.1	.250	.323	.381	-.125	.244	.319	.387	.247	1.0	42-C 0	0.5
2014 (age 36)	116	8	5	0	1	11	9	19	1	0	0.0	.246	.318	.339	-.192	.241	.314	.344	.234	0.0	32-C 1	0.5

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.264	.331	.409
vs RHP	.245	.309	.373
Split	+.019	+.022	+.037
LgAvg	+.020	+.024	+.038

Valuation

Year	OWARP	DWARP	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2008	0.4	1.8	2.2	$3,600,000	6.9	7.2
2009	0.1	1.1	1.3	$1,700,000	1.7	3.7
2010	0.3	0.8	1.1	$1,850,000	3.1	4.3
2011	0.2	0.6	0.8	$1,350,000	1.7	2.5
2012	0.1	0.5	0.6	$1,050,000	1.1	2.4
2013	0.1	0.4	0.5	$1,050,000	1.0	2.0
2014	0.0	0.4	0.5	$875,000	0.4	0.6
Peak			6.6	$7,300,000	15.6	22.1

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2008	.268	.251	.212	.247
2009	.261	.238	.208	.235
2010	.275	.249	.229	.251
2011	.267	.243	.227	.248
2012	.266	.239	.218	.242
2013	.281	.241	.217	.247
2014	.280	.236	.171	.234

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2008	32%	0%	20%
2009	43%	19%	12%
2010	62%	35%	17%
2011	67%	46%	11%
2012	81%	55%	7%
2013	79%	60%	9%
2014	89%	75%	8%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

59

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong! Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Miguel Ojeda	1992	40		11	Jorge Brito	2003	33
2	Alex Trevino	1979	36		12	Cesar Devarez	1971	33
3	Bob Natal	1981	36		13	Wiki Gonzalez	1982	33
4	Valmy Thomas	1970	36		14	Andy Etchebarren	1960	33
5	Nelson Santovenia	1973	35		15	Robert Machado	2007	32
6	Benito Santiago	1992	35		16	Steve Yeager	1975	32
7	Blake Barthol	1975	34		17	Mike Rivera	1969	32
8	Matt Batts	1975	34		18	Randy Hundley	2000	31
9	A.J. Hinch	1957	34		19	Earl Averill	1979	30
10	Buck Martinez	1998	33		20	Bill Plummer	2005	30

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