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Mike Rivera
Milwaukee Brewers [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 31
6' 2"
220 lbs.

Player Profile

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Brewers Depth Chart (updated: 04-24)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
C 8 Mike Rivera 30 191 .244 19 7 25 2 .293 .424 3.1
1   2008 Total 30 191 .244 19 7 25 2 .293 .424 3.1

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 NAS 3A 228 34 12 1 16 43 9 37 3 1 0.6 .285 .320 .575 .202 .249 .276 .498 .257 7.5 55-C -3 1.8
2006 NAS 3A 236 30 11 0 10 46 13 40 3 3 -0.6 .296 .339 .488 .158 .269 .308 .444 .256 7.5 51-C -1 1.7
2006 MIL MJ 158 16 9 0 6 24 10 21 0 0 -0.1 .268 .325 .458 .029 .261 .318 .451 .264 5.3 40-C -1 1.5
2007 NAS 3A 382 37 15 0 19 61 24 71 5 5 -3.2 .215 .270 .421 -.179 .217 .267 .393 .225 -7.2 74-C 5 2.6
2007 MIL MJ 15 2 0 0 2 3 1 3 0 0 -0.1 .231 .286 .692 .249 .231 .286 .692 .299 1.4 0.2


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 6:15 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 341 51 18 1 17 53 21 59 4 2 -0.8 .296 .345 .525 .144 .295 .342 .529 .288 24.4 82-C -1 4.0
75o 312 37 15 1 14 44 19 58 4 2 -0.7 .263 .312 .461 -.028 .262 .310 .464 .259 9.8 76-C -1 2.6
60o 297 32 13 0 12 39 17 57 4 2 -0.6 .247 .296 .430 -.111 .247 .294 .433 .244 3.6 72-C -1 2.0
50o 291 30 13 0 11 38 17 57 4 2 -0.6 .241 .290 .419 -.139 .241 .288 .422 .239 1.6 71-C -2 1.9
40o 278 26 11 0 10 34 16 56 4 2 -0.5 .228 .277 .393 -.207 .228 .275 .396 .226 -2.9 68-C -2 1.4
25o 266 23 10 0 9 31 15 55 4 2 -0.5 .216 .265 .370 -.265 .216 .264 .373 .214 -6.4 65-C -2 1.0
10o 247 18 9 0 7 26 13 53 3 2 -0.4 .199 .248 .336 -.353 .199 .246 .339 .195 -11.0 61-C -2 0.5
Weighted Mean 273 28 12 0 11 36 16 53 4 2 -0.6 .244 .293 .424 -.126 .244 .291 .427 .239 4.5 67-C -1 2.3

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

19%

41%

36%

38%

0.88

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 31) 273 28 12 0 11 36 16 53 4 2 -0.6 .244 .293 .424 -.126 .244 .291 .427 .239 4.5 67-C -1 2.3
2009 (age 32) 263 26 11 0 11 36 15 54 4 1 -0.4 .237 .283 .416 -.158 .234 .277 .411 .234 0.4 65-C -1 1.3
2010 (age 33) 202 18 10 0 7 27 12 40 3 1 -0.4 .247 .297 .421 -.121 .243 .290 .416 .241 1.8 51-C -1 1.1
2011 (age 34) 237 22 10 0 9 32 13 47 3 1 -0.3 .240 .286 .420 -.146 .236 .279 .415 .236 0.6 59-C -2 0.8
2012 (age 35) 208 18 8 0 8 26 11 43 2 1 -0.2 .239 .284 .403 -.173 .235 .277 .399 .230 -0.2 52-C -3 0.5
2013 (age 36)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 37)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .259 .313 .451
vs RHP .239 .285 .405
Split +.020 +.028 +.046
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.4 1.9 2.3 $3,175,000 3.3 6.0
2009 0.2 1.1 1.3 $1,500,000 -0.7 4.0
2010 0.3 0.9 1.1 $1,450,000 0.6 2.7
2011 0.1 0.7 0.8 $1,000,000 -0.6 0.8
2012 0.0 0.4 0.5 $700,000 -1.8 0.7
2013 0.1 0.3 0.4 $650,000 0.0 1.1
2014 0.0 0.3 0.3 $625,000 -0.4 0.1
Peak 6.4 $5,550,000 0.8 15.3


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .259 .239 .214 .239
2009 .253 .238 .201 .234
2010 .263 .236 .204 .241
2011 .265 .241 .201 .236
2012 .252 .224 .213 .230
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 38% 0% 19%
2009 54% 24% 14%
2010 67% 31% 13%
2011 73% 48% 12%
2012 81% 59% 8%
2013 91% 71% 7%
2014 93% 80% 4%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

49

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong!
Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Keith Mcdonald 1992 40 11 John Bateman 2003 33
2 Orlando Mercado 1979 36 12 Chris Widger 1971 33
3 Nelson Santovenia 1981 36 13 Joe Oliver 1982 33
4 Jorge Toca 1970 36 14 Rod Barajas 1960 33
5 Brian Johnson 1973 35 15 Bob Schmidt 2007 32
6 Javy Lopez 1992 35 16 Benito Santiago 1975 32
7 Jeff Newman 1975 34 17 Don Leppert 1969 32
8 Andres Galarraga 1975 34 18 Bill Haselman 2000 31
9 Bo Diaz 1957 34 19 Jose Molina 1979 30
10 Todd Greene 1998 33 20 Izzy Molina 2005 30

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

Prior to the season, Rivera was a career emergency catcher with a .218/.255/.315 batting line. Called up because the Brewers finally gave up on Chad Moeller, Rivera responded to his first big league service time since 2003 by showing the pop he can deliver when he`s at his best. With Miller and Estrada around, Rivera won`t get a chance to show that wasn`t a fluke unless someone gets injured or traded.

2003

Traded to the Padres in mid-November for Gene Kingsale because the Tigers theoretically have a surplus of catching talent and a deficit of unproven speedy outfielders that can’t hit, neither of which is true. Rivera isn’t a blue-chip prospect, but he has real power and should easily replace the departed Tom Lampkin and resident floater Wiki Gonzalez as San Diego’s regular backstop. While his defense is questionable, Bruce Bochy should be able to tutor Rivera to enable the team to benefit from his bat. Unfortunately for Rivera, too many teams refuse to start subpar defensive catchers who can thump the ball. In most cases, the best solution is to play the hitter and find a good catch-and-throw guy (they’re easy to come by) as a reserve. By using the catch-and-throw receiver as a late-inning defensive replacement and spot-starting him against opponents who run a lot, a team can maximize its offensive production from the position while minimizing the defensive damage. Even assuming that Kingsale has value, they had other options in center and didn’t have to give Rivera away. A Rivera/Inge "platoon" could have been a big plus for Detroit.

2002

Rivera nearly doubled his career-high in walks, and presto!, he was the best hitter in the organization and was named the best power-hitting prospect in the Eastern League. The Tigers suddenly have a peck of catchers. Even ignoring Fick and Meluskey, the Tigers must decide between Inge, a terrific backstop who does less damage at the plate than Lara Flynn Boyle, and Rivera, who can mash but whose glove has more holes than the lone-gunman theory. As always, bet on defense to win out in the spring and for offense to take over in the summer.

2001

It’s a credit to roving catching instructor Glenn Ezell that the Tigers have a bushel of fair catching prospects while hopefuls at other positions die on the vine. This abundance may help rationalize--but certainly doesn’t validate--moving Munson to first base. Mike Rivera’s bat is his ticket to The Show, so his initial dislike of Double-A pitching isn’t encouraging. He needs to learn to be more selective at the plate, a course of study that hasn’t been a prerequisite to playing in Comerica Park.


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