Shawn Riggans

<< PECOTA Home

Player Search

Player Profile

Other References
Baseball Prospectus DT Player Card
baseball-reference Player Card

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 11:48 PM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	272	32	15	1	10	35	20	58	0	0	-0.7	.270	.331	.457	.049	.274	.335	.481	.278	13.9	67-C -4	1.9
75^o	254	24	12	1	8	31	17	56	0	0	-0.6	.243	.302	.405	-.097	.247	.305	.425	.252	4.3	63-C -5	0.9
60^o	247	22	11	1	7	29	16	55	0	0	-0.6	.233	.290	.384	-.154	.236	.294	.404	.240	0.9	61-C -5	0.6
50^o	242	20	11	1	7	28	16	54	0	0	-0.6	.225	.282	.369	-.194	.229	.285	.388	.232	-1.4	60-C -5	0.3
40^o	235	18	10	1	6	26	15	53	0	0	-0.6	.217	.272	.352	-.243	.220	.275	.370	.222	-4.0	58-C -5	0.0
25^o	225	16	9	1	5	24	14	51	0	0	-0.5	.205	.259	.329	-.305	.208	.262	.346	.208	-7.2	56-C -5	-0.3
10^o	193	10	6	0	3	18	10	46	0	0	-0.4	.172	.220	.264	-.484	.175	.223	.278	.160	-14.2	49-C -6	-1.2
Weighted Mean	246	21	11	1	7	28	16	55	0	0	-0.6	.226	.282	.370	-.197	.229	.286	.389	.232	-0.9	61-C -5	0.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
37%	56%	25%	43%	1.10

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2009 (age 28)	246	21	11	1	7	28	16	55	0	0	-0.6	.226	.282	.370	-.197	.229	.286	.389	.232	-0.9	61-C -5	0.4
2010 (age 29)	202	16	9	0	5	24	12	44	0	0	-0.5	.232	.283	.373	-.168	.238	.290	.397	.234	-0.5	51-C -3	0.4
2011 (age 30)	218	17	9	0	6	23	15	49	0	0	-0.4	.223	.282	.359	-.196	.229	.289	.382	.229	-1.5	55-C -4	0.2
2012 (age 31)	197	14	8	0	5	21	13	45	0	0	-0.3	.225	.284	.355	-.195	.232	.291	.378	.229	-1.1	50-C -5	0.1
2013 (age 32)	189	14	8	0	5	21	12	43	0	0	-0.2	.224	.279	.359	-.199	.231	.287	.382	.227	-1.0	48-C -4	0.0
2014 (age 33)	171	13	7	0	5	20	12	37	0	0	-0.2	.229	.289	.374	-.156	.236	.297	.398	.237	0.0	44-C -4	0.1
2015 (age 34)	157	11	6	0	5	19	11	39	0	0	-0.1	.215	.278	.357	-.211	.221	.285	.379	.226	-0.8	41-C -4	0.0

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.242	.300	.396
vs RHP	.221	.276	.356
Split	+.020	+.024	+.040
LgAvg	+.020	+.024	+.038

Valuation

Year	BRAA	FRAA	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2009	-1.1	-5.0	0.4	$400,000	-4.4	2.1
2010	-0.6	-3.0	0.4	$625,000	-2.6	2.4
2011	-1.7	-4.0	0.2	$425,000	-3.6	1.8
2012	-1.5	-5.0	0.1	$400,000	-3.4	0.6
2013	-1.7	-4.0	0.0	$400,000	-2.8	0.4
2014	0.0	-4.0	0.1	$650,000	-1.3	0.7
2015	-1.7	-4.0	0.0	$475,000	-2.0	0.3
Peak			1.2	$1,000,000	0.0	7.9

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2009	.252	.232	.208	.232
2010	.254	.231	.197	.234
2011	.253	.220	.191	.229
2012	.256	.225	.187	.229
2013	.253	.213	.188	.227
2014	.255	.226	.172	.237
2015	.262	.208	.145	.226

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2009	43%	0%	37%
2010	53%	11%	33%
2011	58%	25%	29%
2012	68%	36%	28%
2013	78%	51%	25%
2014	86%	57%	23%
2015	88%	67%	22%

68

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Pete Daley	1958	68		11	Bob Schmidt	1962	61
2	Brian Johnson	1996	68		12	Nelson Santovenia	1990	58
3	Bob Melvin	1990	68		13	Randy Knorr	1997	58
4	Jerry Moses	1975	66		14	Jerry May	1972	57
5	Chad Moeller	2004	64		15	Robert Machado	2002	57
6	Harry Chiti	1961	63		16	Dave Ross	2006	57
7	Ray Katt	1956	62		17	Geronimo Gil	2004	57
8	Jason LaRue	2003	62		18	Bob Kearney	1985	56
9	Duffy Dyer	1974	62		19	John Orsino	1967	56
10	Chris Widger	2000	62		20	Mike Difelice	1998	56

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2008

Shawn Riggans used to profile as a potential offense-first catcher, but he missed most of 2007 with elbow problems and will turn 28 this year, so his window is closing

2007

Riggans is a good defensive catcher who`s a bit long in the tooth to be a real prospect. He won`t get much better than he is now, but he`s a contact hitter who has added a bit of power as he`s matured. He`s a better option than Josh Paul right now, and, with Paul arbitration-eligible, it`s worth a gamble to see if a Navarro-Riggans tandem can outperform a Navarro-Paul one.

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2006	DUR	AAA	453	43	26	2	11	54	27	88	2	2	-1.0	.293	.341	.444	-.136	.252	.297	.404	.240	-2.3	85-C -6	0.1
2006	TBA	MLB	33	3	1	0	0	1	4	7	0	0	-0.5	.172	.273	.207	-.592	.138	.242	.172	.131	-2.8	7-C 2	0.0
2007	VRO	A+	31	3	2	0	0	5	1	5	0	0	0.0	.300	.323	.367	-.646	.167	.194	.200	.085	-5.2	4-C -1	-0.5
2007	DUR	AAA	133	10	9	1	4	16	4	30	0	3	0.0	.281	.333	.471	-.174	.234	.278	.411	.231	-2.0	30-C 1	0.3
2007	TBA	MLB	10	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	0.0	.100	.100	.100	-.982	.100	.100	.100	.000	-1.9		-0.2
2008	TBA	MLB	152	21	7	0	6	24	12	30	0	0	1.1	.222	.287	.407	-.145	.224	.293	.418	.246	1.0	38-C -7	-0.3

Historical Stats