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Jose Reyes
Baltimore Orioles [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats B
Age 26
5' 11"
180 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
Baseball Prospectus DT Player Card
baseball-reference Player Card

Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 WTN AA 156 15 3 0 0 11 9 25 0 1 -2.5 .229 .275 .250 -.491 .204 .245 .231 .148 -17.3 38-C 1 -1.0
2006 IOW AAA 126 10 6 0 0 11 14 11 0 1 -2.4 .250 .347 .306 -.300 .225 .312 .270 .208 -6.4 28-C -2 -0.5
2007 BIN AA 142 12 5 0 3 21 13 26 2 0 -0.3 .214 .284 .325 -.477 .171 .232 .271 .172 -14.8 30-C -3 -1.2


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 12:52 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 279 19 10 0 3 23 19 57 0 0 -1.2 .203 .263 .284 -.382 .201 .263 .288 .190 -13.7 68-C -1 -0.3
75o 266 15 8 0 3 20 18 56 0 0 -1.1 .188 .246 .254 -.460 .186 .246 .257 .167 -17.9 65-C -1 -0.8
60o 243 11 6 0 2 16 15 55 0 0 -1.0 .168 .224 .215 -.562 .167 .224 .219 .132 -22.2 60-C -1 -1.4
50o 235 9 5 0 1 15 14 54 0 0 -0.9 .162 .217 .204 -.593 .161 .217 .206 .117 -23.1 58-C -1 -1.5
40o 224 8 4 0 1 13 13 53 0 0 -0.8 .156 .209 .191 -.625 .155 .210 .194 .099 -23.6 56-C -1 -1.6
25o 176 5 3 0 1 7 10 47 0 0 -0.6 .151 .203 .182 -.652 .150 .203 .185 .022 -19.7 45-C -1 -1.6
10o 176 5 3 0 1 7 10 47 0 0 -0.6 .151 .203 .182 -.652 .150 .203 .185 .022 -19.7 45-C -1 -1.6
Weighted Mean 240 10 5 0 1 16 15 55 0 0 -0.9 .164 .219 .208 -.551 .163 .220 .211 .120 -21.8 59-C -1 -1.2

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

12%

19%

69%

34%

1.20

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 26) 240 10 5 0 1 16 15 55 0 0 -0.9 .164 .219 .208 -.551 .163 .220 .211 .120 -21.8 59-C -1 -1.2
2010 (age 27) 251 12 6 0 2 17 16 54 0 0 -0.6 .176 .233 .225 -.518 .177 .236 .231 .141 -11.3 62-C -1 -0.5
2011 (age 28) 213 8 4 0 1 14 14 48 0 0 -0.4 .159 .218 .199 -.588 .159 .221 .204 .113 -10.3 53-C 0 -0.5
2012 (age 29)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 30)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 31)
-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 32)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .164 .216 .205
vs RHP .164 .220 .209
Split -.000 -.004 -.003
LgAvg +.004 -.004 +.007

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 -20.6 -1.0 -1.2 $400,000 -22.8 0.0
2010 -18.7 -1.0 -0.5 $400,000 -11.4 0.3
2011 -18.8 0.0 -0.5 $400,000 -10.2 0.0
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --
Peak 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .167 .117 .022 .120
2010 .189 .155 .072 .141
2011 .168 .101 .055 .113
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 34% 0% 12%
2010 54% 43% 15%
2011 65% 53% 12%
2012 75% 69% 9%
2013 84% 79% 10%
2014 84% 80% 9%
2015 88% 84% 12%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

43

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Sammy Rodriguez 2001 40 11 James Cecchini 1986 27
2 Tino Sanchez 2005 40 12 Matt Morgan 2007 26
3 Fernando Lunar 2003 38 13 Eleutero Encarnacion 1995 25
4 Mandy Romero 1994 37 14 Tim Marx 1995 25
5 Mike Knapp 1991 33 15 Doug Lindsey 1994 24
6 Lance Rice 1993 32 16 Jon Loy 1988 23
7 Roger Miller 1993 31 17 Craig Wiley 1990 23
8 Homar Rojas 1990 30 18 Mike Fox 1989 22
9 Steve Morales 2004 30 19 Chairon Isenia 2005 22
10 Clemente Alvarez 1994 28 20 Mike Micucci 1999 22

Player Comments

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2007

Jose Reyes will only be confused with the Mets` shortstop in alphabetical listings; he`s your basic catch-and-throw type.


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