Mike Rabelo

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Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time
Marlins Depth Chart (updated: 04-24)

Pos Order Name PT% PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP

C 7 Mike Rabelo 50 326 .247 31 5 33 2 .309 .371 3.8

1 2008 Total 50 326 .247 31 5 33 2 .309 .371 3.8

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2005	ERI	2A	314	33	18	1	2	26	18	42	0	1	0.0	.273	.334	.365	-.029	.240	.295	.328	.217	-7.5	53-C 2	1.2
2006	ERI	2A	242	31	13	1	6	28	19	38	2	1	0.8	.277	.361	.432	.134	.257	.328	.422	.258	7.8	54-C 6	2.4
2006	TOL	3A	153	19	12	0	3	22	11	33	1	1	0.7	.270	.333	.423	.111	.268	.327	.435	.262	5.8	37-C -2	1.4
2006	DET	MJ	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.0	.000	.000	.000	-1.394	.000	.000	.000	.000	-0.3		0.0
2007	DET	MJ	185	14	10	2	1	18	6	41	0	0	-2.4	.256	.300	.357	-.163	.263	.307	.371	.238	0.4	44-C -1	0.9

EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 3:44 PM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	329	42	19	2	8	38	24	65	3	1	-0.4	.283	.348	.442	.024	.284	.347	.452	.272	16.1	80-C -3	3.0
75^o	309	34	16	1	7	34	22	62	2	1	-0.4	.263	.327	.404	-.079	.264	.326	.413	.253	7.6	75-C -3	2.3
60^o	299	31	15	1	6	32	20	60	2	1	-0.3	.254	.317	.385	-.128	.255	.316	.394	.244	3.9	73-C -3	1.9
50^o	293	29	15	1	5	31	20	59	2	1	-0.3	.249	.311	.375	-.156	.249	.310	.384	.238	1.9	71-C -3	1.7
40^o	282	25	13	1	5	28	19	57	2	1	-0.3	.239	.301	.357	-.203	.240	.300	.365	.228	-1.4	69-C -2	1.4
25^o	263	20	11	1	4	25	17	54	1	1	-0.3	.224	.284	.326	-.286	.224	.283	.334	.210	-6.4	65-C -2	0.9
10^o	219	12	8	1	2	18	13	46	0	0	-0.2	.194	.251	.267	-.441	.194	.250	.274	.170	-13.4	55-C -1	0.1
Weighted Mean	299	29	15	1	5	31	20	60	2	1	-0.3	.247	.309	.371	-.166	.247	.308	.380	.235	3.5	73-C -2	2.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
11%	42%	36%	33%	0.97

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2008 (age 28)	299	29	15	1	5	31	20	60	2	1	-0.3	.247	.309	.371	-.166	.247	.308	.380	.235	3.5	73-C -2	2.1
2009 (age 29)	304	30	15	1	6	31	21	59	2	1	-0.3	.246	.306	.370	-.174	.242	.300	.372	.234	0.7	74-C -1	1.7
2010 (age 30)	276	26	13	1	5	27	19	54	2	1	-0.3	.249	.310	.368	-.166	.246	.305	.370	.235	0.9	68-C -1	1.3
2011 (age 31)	256	23	13	1	5	26	17	49	1	1	-0.2	.248	.310	.375	-.159	.245	.304	.377	.237	1.1	63-C -2	1.1
2012 (age 32)	224	18	11	1	4	22	14	43	1	1	-0.2	.242	.300	.361	-.198	.239	.295	.363	.228	-0.5	56-C -1	0.8
2013 (age 33)	255	23	11	1	4	26	19	50	1	1	-0.1	.246	.314	.362	-.168	.242	.309	.364	.235	0.4	63-C -3	0.7
2014 (age 34)	193	14	8	1	3	19	13	39	1	0	-0.1	.236	.301	.342	-.226	.233	.295	.344	.224	-0.9	49-C -3	0.5

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.257	.313	.383
vs RHP	.243	.307	.365
Split	+.013	+.006	+.018
LgAvg	+.004	-.004	+.007

Valuation

Year	OWARP	DWARP	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2008	0.2	1.9	2.1	$2,550,000	1.0	4.1
2009	0.2	1.5	1.7	$1,925,000	-0.7	3.1
2010	0.2	1.2	1.3	$1,600,000	-0.6	2.3
2011	0.2	1.0	1.1	$1,425,000	-0.4	2.8
2012	0.0	0.8	0.8	$1,100,000	-1.6	1.5
2013	0.1	0.6	0.7	$975,000	-0.5	1.7
2014	0.0	0.5	0.5	$800,000	-1.9	0.6
Peak			7.7	$6,275,000	0.0	15.4

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2008	.253	.238	.210	.235
2009	.256	.240	.215	.234
2010	.255	.235	.211	.235
2011	.256	.235	.203	.237
2012	.252	.224	.199	.228
2013	.259	.237	.207	.235
2014	.247	.217	.193	.224

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2008	33%	0%	11%
2009	31%	8%	17%
2010	49%	18%	17%
2011	54%	30%	14%
2012	67%	38%	8%
2013	74%	54%	10%
2014	82%	60%	6%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

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Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong! Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Buck Rodgers	1992	40		11	Barry Lyons	2003	33
2	Matt Walbeck	1979	36		12	Dutch Dotterer	1971	33
3	Javier Valentin	1981	36		13	Jerry May	1982	33
4	Geronimo Gil	1970	36		14	Paul Bako	1960	33
5	Brian Johnson	1973	35		15	Brian Schneider	2007	32
6	Brad Ausmus	1992	35		16	Duane Josephson	1975	32
7	Bob Kearney	1975	34		17	Tom Pagnozzi	1969	32
8	Pete Daley	1975	34		18	Greg Myers	2000	31
9	Brent Mayne	1957	34		19	Ray Katt	1979	30
10	Raul Casanova	1998	33		20	Bob Melvin	2005	30

Player Comments

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A 2001 fourth-rounder, Mike Rabelo isn`t really a prospect, but he`s on the 40-man as the homegrown third catcher-designate.

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