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Humberto Quintero
Houston Astros [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 29
5' 9"
215 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
Baseball Prospectus DT Player Card
baseball-reference Player Card

Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Astros Depth Chart (updated: 08-09)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
C 8 Humberto Quintero 25 55 .222 4 1 5 0 .256 .303 -1.9
1   2009 Total 25 55 .222 4 1 5 0 .256 .303 -1.9

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 ROU AAA 322 39 21 2 4 37 19 48 4 0 0.5 .298 .352 .425 -.161 .255 .301 .379 .238 -3.8 78-C 5 1.4
2006 HOU MLB 22 2 2 0 0 2 1 3 0 0 0.2 .333 .364 .429 .079 .333 .364 .429 .275 1.1 6-C 2 0.3
2007 ROU AAA 188 22 12 1 5 22 4 21 0 2 0.0 .333 .355 .497 -.114 .272 .296 .411 .240 0.3 45-C 7 1.3
2007 HOU MLB 57 2 2 0 0 1 2 13 0 0 -1.4 .226 .281 .264 -.367 .226 .281 .264 .188 -2.2 17-C 1 0.0
2008 CCH AA 12 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0.0 .250 .250 .417 -.633 .167 .167 .250 .098 -1.8 -0.2
2008 ROU AAA 124 13 2 2 3 18 5 15 0 2 -1.1 .237 .274 .364 -.501 .185 .218 .269 .151 -14.0 30-C 1 -0.7
2008 HOU MLB 183 16 6 0 2 12 6 34 0 0 0.0 .226 .270 .298 -.328 .229 .272 .306 .200 -7.0 51-C 6 0.3


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 8:36 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 289 34 14 1 6 30 15 47 1 1 -1.0 .278 .323 .405 -.049 .281 .325 .415 .254 8.2 70-C 3 2.0
75o 272 27 13 1 4 27 13 45 1 1 -0.9 .262 .305 .374 -.134 .266 .308 .384 .238 2.3 67-C 3 1.5
60o 260 24 12 1 4 24 12 44 1 1 -0.8 .252 .293 .354 -.192 .256 .296 .363 .226 -1.3 64-C 3 1.1
50o 253 22 11 1 3 23 11 43 1 1 -0.8 .247 .287 .343 -.221 .250 .289 .352 .220 -3.0 63-C 3 0.9
40o 242 19 10 1 3 21 10 42 1 1 -0.7 .238 .277 .325 -.270 .241 .279 .334 .209 -5.7 60-C 3 0.6
25o 228 16 9 1 2 19 9 40 1 1 -0.7 .227 .265 .305 -.328 .231 .267 .313 .195 -8.4 57-C 3 0.3
10o 180 8 6 0 1 12 5 33 1 1 -0.5 .197 .228 .244 -.495 .200 .230 .251 .147 -13.7 46-C 3 -0.4
Weighted Mean 236 19 10 1 3 22 10 40 1 1 -0.8 .247 .287 .343 -.223 .250 .289 .352 .219 -1.2 59-C 3 1.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

41%

60%

18%

39%

0.83

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 29) 236 19 10 1 3 22 10 40 1 1 -0.8 .247 .287 .343 -.223 .250 .289 .352 .219 -1.2 59-C 3 1.0
2010 (age 30) 245 20 10 1 3 22 12 43 1 0 -0.6 .237 .281 .331 -.271 .237 .279 .336 .213 -3.6 61-C 4 0.7
2011 (age 31) 194 14 8 1 2 17 10 34 1 0 -0.5 .240 .286 .331 -.261 .240 .284 .335 .215 -2.6 49-C 2 0.6
2012 (age 32) 218 17 10 1 3 20 11 38 1 0 -0.4 .243 .290 .336 -.243 .243 .288 .341 .219 -1.8 55-C 3 0.6
2013 (age 33) 156 10 7 1 2 15 7 27 0 0 -0.2 .238 .279 .335 -.267 .238 .277 .340 .213 -1.8 41-C 1 0.3
2014 (age 34) 185 13 9 1 2 18 9 33 0 0 -0.2 .237 .283 .335 -.262 .237 .281 .339 .215 -1.4 47-C 3 0.3
2015 (age 35) 146 9 6 0 2 13 8 26 0 0 -0.1 .242 .292 .329 -.251 .242 .290 .334 .217 -0.7 38-C 3 0.2

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .263 .305 .368
vs RHP .242 .280 .331
Split +.021 +.025 +.038
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 -3.7 3.0 1.0 $1,250,000 1.1 1.8
2010 -5.3 4.0 0.7 $1,000,000 -1.5 2.1
2011 -3.7 2.0 0.6 $925,000 -1.6 1.9
2012 -3.4 3.0 0.6 $1,050,000 -0.7 1.4
2013 -3.3 1.0 0.3 $825,000 -1.3 0.9
2014 -3.7 3.0 0.3 $975,000 -0.4 0.9
2015 -2.5 3.0 0.2 $900,000 0.0 0.6
Peak 3.5 $2,875,000 0.0 8.9


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .238 .220 .195 .219
2010 .242 .220 .189 .213
2011 .242 .220 .177 .215
2012 .242 .212 .194 .219
2013 .241 .196 .176 .213
2014 .236 .203 .183 .215
2015 .241 .221 .197 .217


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 39% 0% 41%
2010 49% 20% 33%
2011 61% 24% 36%
2012 67% 39% 28%
2013 82% 52% 25%
2014 84% 62% 20%
2015 90% 70% 19%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

51

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Robert Machado 2003 48 11 Bob Kearney 1986 39
2 Russ Gibson 1969 47 12 Gary Bennett 2002 39
3 Ed Fitz Gerald 1954 45 13 Yorvit Torrealba 2008 39
4 Jose Molina 2005 44 14 Mike Matheny 2000 38
5 Vance Wilson 2003 43 15 Dixie Howell 1950 38
6 Joe Girardi 1994 42 16 Skip Jutze 1976 37
7 Dick Bertell 1965 41 17 Danny Kravitz 1960 37
8 Hal Smith 1961 40 18 Mike Difelice 1999 36
9 Geronimo Gil 2005 40 19 Andy Allanson 1991 35
10 Bob Melvin 1991 39 20 Greg Myers 1996 34

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2008

Quintero is more or less what the Astros think Ausmus is, a defense-first catcher with a strong arm and good mechanics behind the plate. Quintero's arm is a true deterrent: thieves were just 9-for-28 against him at Triple-A last year. His bat would be comparable to, or maybe a bit worse than Ausmus's, but the overall package would be better. With Ausmus back, Quintero will return to Triple-A and wait.

2007

Quintero is the quintessential backup catcher. He doesn`t mind carrying his own bag, he`s quiet, doesn`t eat the last of the good salami from the postgame spread, and he showers regularly. What he can`t do is play every day or hit enough to push even Brad Ausmus aside. Guys like Quintero don`t dream of being Ivan Rodriguez someday; they dream of being Henry Blanco. One wonders if that fan club has a newsletter.

2006

Quintero has a tremendous throwing arm and had some moderate success with the bat in the minors, though not enough to knock anyone`s socks off. If he`s going to have a major league career, he needs to either find the right golfing buddy, a la Raul Chavez, or get about 10% better with the bat. He`s already got the defensive skills to fall into the eight-year backup catcher role somewhere if he`s lucky.

2005

In spring training last year Quintero picked off two unsuspecting baserunners and threw out another would-be basestealer with David Wells on the mound. Asked after the game what he thought of his battery mate, Wells played the role of campaign manager: "It's stupid; he's showing me up. He's throwing 110 (mph) down to first and I'm only pitching 88 to home plate. I'm retiring if they don't take him with us." Wells reneged on his vow after Quintero started the year in Triple-A, but at least the young backstop finally hit better in addition to terrorizing baserunners. He profiles as a low-strikeout, low-walk hitter with modest pop, but the Pads are wishcasting for some .290 seasons with doubles power. With Ramon Hernandez's contract up at year's end, they may give Quintero his shot sooner than expected.


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