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A.J. Pierzynski
Chicago White Sox [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats L
Age 31
6' 3"
240 lbs.

Player Profile

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

White Sox Depth Chart (updated: 04-24)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
C 7 A.J. Pierzynski 70 459 .260 44 11 53 1 .304 .396 4.0
1   2008 Total 70 459 .260 44 11 53 1 .304 .396 4.0

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 CHA MJ 497 61 21 0 18 56 23 68 0 2 0.0 .257 .308 .420 -.057 .256 .315 .432 .254 11.9 123-C 3 4.1
2006 CHA MJ 543 65 24 0 16 64 22 72 1 0 -2.9 .295 .333 .436 -.005 .288 .332 .437 .264 18.3 126-C -8 3.9
2007 CHA MJ 509 54 24 0 14 50 25 66 1 1 -1.8 .263 .309 .403 -.092 .262 .313 .418 .252 9.6 119-C 4 3.9


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 3:29 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 415 51 22 0 14 55 23 59 2 1 -1.0 .288 .335 .463 .060 .284 .334 .467 .277 20.2 99-C -2 3.9
75o 391 43 20 0 12 49 20 55 2 1 -0.9 .275 .320 .430 -.019 .271 .319 .434 .263 11.7 93-C -2 3.0
60o 367 35 17 0 10 44 18 52 2 1 -0.9 .262 .306 .399 -.095 .259 .305 .403 .248 4.4 88-C -2 2.3
50o 355 32 16 0 9 41 17 50 1 1 -0.8 .256 .299 .384 -.131 .253 .298 .388 .240 1.2 85-C -3 1.9
40o 344 29 15 0 8 39 16 48 1 1 -0.8 .251 .293 .372 -.162 .247 .292 .375 .233 -1.4 83-C -3 1.6
25o 323 25 13 0 6 34 14 45 1 1 -0.7 .241 .281 .347 -.221 .238 .280 .350 .220 -5.8 78-C -3 1.1
10o 267 15 9 0 3 24 10 37 1 1 -0.5 .218 .254 .292 -.355 .215 .253 .295 .186 -13.3 66-C -3 0.1
Weighted Mean 384 38 18 0 10 45 19 54 2 1 -0.8 .260 .304 .396 -.103 .257 .303 .399 .244 3.4 92-C -2 2.7

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

10%

32%

42%

29%

0.95

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 31) 384 38 18 0 10 45 19 54 2 1 -0.8 .260 .304 .396 -.103 .257 .303 .399 .244 3.4 92-C -2 2.7
2009 (age 32) 255 20 11 0 7 30 13 37 1 1 -0.6 .255 .299 .390 -.123 .256 .303 .402 .241 1.4 63-C -1 1.7
2010 (age 33) 293 25 13 0 7 33 16 42 2 1 -0.5 .262 .306 .388 -.109 .264 .310 .400 .243 2.0 72-C -2 1.5
2011 (age 34) 228 17 11 0 5 26 12 33 1 1 -0.4 .259 .304 .390 -.111 .260 .308 .402 .243 1.3 57-C -3 1.1
2012 (age 35) 198 14 8 0 5 21 10 30 1 0 -0.3 .250 .294 .375 -.156 .251 .297 .386 .234 -0.3 50-C -2 0.7
2013 (age 36)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 37)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .235 .271 .348
vs RHP .270 .320 .432
Split -.035 -.049 -.085
LgAvg -.035 -.040 -.079

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.6 2.1 2.7 $3,775,000 3.2 6.7
2009 0.4 1.3 1.7 $2,275,000 1.6 7.1
2010 0.4 1.1 1.5 $2,100,000 1.8 4.6
2011 0.3 0.8 1.1 $1,425,000 0.6 2.3
2012 0.1 0.6 0.7 $975,000 -0.6 2.4
2013 0.0 0.3 0.4 $675,000 -0.6 0.8
2014 0.2 0.3 0.5 $975,000 0.7 1.7
Peak 8.0 $7,900,000 5.9 24.0


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .263 .240 .220 .244
2009 .259 .235 .201 .241
2010 .261 .242 .214 .243
2011 .259 .238 .209 .243
2012 .264 .223 .199 .234
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 29% 0% 10%
2009 57% 13% 14%
2010 58% 24% 16%
2011 73% 38% 11%
2012 83% 44% 11%
2013 92% 70% 9%
2014 92% 77% 11%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

40

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong!
Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Terry Kennedy 1992 40 11 Daryle Ward 2003 33
2 Javy Lopez 1979 36 12 Pat Borders 1971 33
3 Greg Myers 1981 36 13 Mike Difelice 1982 33
4 John Bateman 1970 36 14 Scott Servais 1960 33
5 Sandy Alomar 1973 35 15 Ben Molina 2007 32
6 Eddie Taubensee 1992 35 16 Bill Fahey 1975 32
7 Don Leppert 1975 34 17 Ebba St. Claire 1969 32
8 Ed Herrmann 1975 34 18 Joe Oliver 2000 31
9 Mike Scioscia 1957 34 19 Ramon Hernandez 1979 30
10 Brian Johnson 1998 33 20 Bill Haselman 2005 30

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

Pierzynski is best known for his Zelig-like propensity to find himself in situations where he just doesn`t belong, such as on the receiving end of Michael Barrett`s right hook, or on Joe Cowley`s MVP ballot. He`s perhaps more remarkable, though, for an extremely unusual statistical profile. Most players who put the ball in play as often as Pierzynski tend to be Juan Pierre types who run pretty well. Pierzynski, on the other hand, runs like Juan Berenguer . . . after a big meal. He remains a valuable asset to the White Sox, but may need to work deeper into the count as he ages, as his profile is not very well hedged against any decline in bat speed.

2006

How many other players would have bothered to run on that dropped third strike? Eliminate the 30 percent who are too lazy, the 40 percent who are too bashful, and the 29 percent who are too mature to try a stunt like that, and you`re left with? A.J. Pierzysnki, Orlando Hudson, and Milton Bradley by our count. Pierzynski`s career perfectly illustrates the point that clubhouse chemistry is a distillation of winning, and not the other way around. Performance-wise, he`s a risk, but he seldom strikes out so he should get that batting average up a few points. His contract extension ($3 million for five years) drew some criticism, but league average catchers don`t grow on trees.

2005

Two unfair but true rules of baseball: 1) What you do in April gets scrutinized a lot more than what you do in June or July; 2) hard-nosed players who produced are called gamers—hard-nose players who don't are thrown under the bus. After a brutal April in which he hit .246/.267/.250, one teammate said: "He's the cancer in here. The pitchers aren't happy with him. If they can trade him, that would be fine with me." Pierzynski played at his career norms the rest of the season, but when an arbitration decision came due at season's end, the Giants decided they didn't need his personality anymore. You could forgive the Giants for not wanting to pay the $5 million or so it would have cost to retain him. Pierzynski's a better player than half the starting catchers in baseball, and he's a great short-term fix for the White Sox's continual catching problems. Meanwhile the Giants will pay $10.5 million over three years to a more genial and helpless Mike Matheny.

2003

One of the game’s great carmine kiesters, A. J. Pierzynski is never going to win a popularity contest around the league, but he doesn’t need to. Nobody liked Clint Courtney either, but 50 years later, everybody still talks about him. Pierzynski is a good catcher—his percentages throwing out runners aren’t amazing, but the Twins control the running game as well as anybody—and as a guy who can make contact and drive the ball, he’s a pest at the bottom of the order. As the man who holds the job until/if/when Joe Mauer is ready, he’s the best placeholder in the game.

2002

He was presented with an opportunity, and he seized it. Pierzynski is essentially the same ballplayer as Shea Hillenbrand in Boston. He will hit for a reasonable average, show some line-drive power, but draw only three walks a month, so he will have to hit .300 or close to it to help the team and keep his job. Depending on the skew of the new management regime, even that might not be enough. Pierzynski had a nice 2001 season, though, and it moved him into the column of MLB-approved catchers. Ask the next guy how much money that's worth.

2001

A.J. Pierzynski has the Greg Myers skill set: he’s a left-handed-hitting line-drive machine with a strong arm. He’d make a nice caddy for LeCroy if LeCroy wins the job and a nice platoon mate for Ardoin if LeCroy doesn’t. If the Twins keep Moeller, Pierzyski could get 400 plate appearances. The Twins are divided into a group of left-handed hitters who get on base, left-handed hitters who hit for good averages, and Ron Coomer. Pierzynski just adds another body to group two.

2000

He’s a young catcher with a reputation for good glove work. Pierzynski would make an ideal caddy for LeCroy if the Twins trade Javier Valentin. He will end up catching somewhere in the major leagues someday.

1999

Big guy, but he hits like Joel Skinner. Pierzynski could be the Twins' starting catcher on Opening Day, but he's just keeping the seat warm for Matt LeCroy. If it was me, I'd push Chad Moeller to the majors, get a veteran caddy for him, keep Pierzynski at Triple-A to back up LeCroy, and plan for LeCroy to be my catcher in 2000.

1998

Pierzynski continues to show improvement. The consensus is that Javier Valentin is the Twins’ catcher of the future, but Pierzynski is a year younger and ready to step up if Valentin falters.

1997

A good catching prospect with the misfortune of being in an organization with a better one (Jose Valentin). He’s a good prospect in his own right, having shown good power at an early age.


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