Paul Phillips

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Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time
Rockies Depth Chart (updated: 08-09)

Pos Order Name PT% PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP

C 7 Paul Phillips 5 11 .224 1 0 1 0 .275 .304 -0.4

1 2009 Total 5 11 .224 1 0 1 0 .275 .304 -0.4

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 1:54 PM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	261	27	13	1	5	25	16	36	0	0	-0.9	.262	.309	.385	-.199	.246	.294	.365	.227	-1.7	64-C 0	0.8
75^o	249	21	10	0	4	23	15	36	0	0	-0.8	.238	.286	.340	-.311	.223	.272	.322	.202	-8.0	62-C 0	0.2
60^o	239	18	9	0	3	21	14	35	0	0	-0.8	.221	.269	.308	-.389	.207	.256	.291	.183	-12.0	59-C 0	-0.3
50^o	234	16	8	0	3	20	13	35	0	0	-0.7	.213	.260	.292	-.427	.200	.248	.277	.172	-13.8	58-C 0	-0.5
40^o	230	15	7	0	3	20	13	35	0	0	-0.7	.206	.253	.279	-.459	.193	.241	.264	.163	-15.2	57-C 0	-0.6
25^o	211	11	5	0	2	17	12	33	0	0	-0.6	.182	.229	.234	-.569	.171	.218	.221	.123	-19.2	53-C 1	-1.1
10^o	161	6	3	0	1	11	9	28	0	0	-0.4	.166	.213	.203	-.643	.156	.202	.192	.020	-17.4	42-C 1	-1.2
Weighted Mean	221	14	7	0	3	20	13	33	0	0	-0.7	.209	.257	.285	-.378	.196	.244	.270	.166	-12.4	55-C 2	-0.2

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
39%	47%	40%	42%	1.23

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2009 (age 32)	221	14	7	0	3	20	13	33	0	0	-0.7	.209	.257	.285	-.378	.196	.244	.270	.166	-12.4	55-C 2	-0.2
2010 (age 33)	256	17	8	0	3	22	15	40	0	0	-0.5	.205	.253	.277	-.475	.189	.237	.259	.160	-10.3	63-C 1	-0.3
2011 (age 34)	251	18	9	0	3	23	15	37	0	0	-0.3	.214	.265	.290	-.433	.197	.249	.271	.173	-6.3	62-C 1	0.0
2012 (age 35)	-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 36)	-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 37)	-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 38)	-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.226	.279	.317
vs RHP	.205	.249	.273
Split	+.022	+.030	+.044
LgAvg	+.020	+.024	+.038

Valuation

Year	BRAA	FRAA	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2009	-12.8	2.0	-0.2	$400,000	-12.1	0.3
2010	-15.9	1.0	-0.3	$400,000	-10.5	0.0
2011	-13.3	1.0	0.0	$400,000	-6.3	0.0
2012	-- out of baseball --
2013	-- out of baseball --
2014	-- out of baseball --
2015	-- out of baseball --
Peak			0.0	0.0	0.0	1.0

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2009	.202	.172	.123	.166
2010	.198	.171	.120	.160
2011	.218	.176	.129	.173
2012	-- out of baseball --
2013	-- out of baseball --
2014	-- out of baseball --
2015	-- out of baseball --

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2009	42%	0%	39%
2010	56%	36%	29%
2011	71%	53%	23%
2012	86%	71%	21%
2013	95%	84%	20%
2014	99%	92%	18%
2015	98%	97%	14%

53

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Barry Lyons	1992	62		11	Juan Espino	1988	44
2	Dax Norris	2004	61		12	Ned Yost	1987	42
3	Chris Ashby	2007	57		13	Jason Phillips	2008	42
4	Mike Mahoney	2005	56		14	Chris Coste	2005	41
5	Jamie Burke	2003	54		15	Craig Colbert	1997	40
6	Joe Depastino	2005	53		16	Rick Wrona	1996	40
7	Chris Heintz	2006	50		17	Jerry Zimmerman	1966	40
8	Hector Ortiz	2001	49		18	Chad Moeller	2007	39
9	Mike Stefanski	2001	49		19	Robinson Cancel	2008	38
10	Mark Dalesandro	2000	44		20	Julio Mosquera	2004	37

Player Comments

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2008

Paul Phillips has appeared in just 58 major league games over the last four years, is now 31, and stopped hitting even Triple-A pitching two years ago. He was designated for assignment in December.

2007

Paul Phillips has stayed healthy the last three years, but his performance has declined in each of the last two. Taken off the 40-man after the season, his defense could make him a marginal backup somewhere.

2005

Phillips was the Royals' best catching prospect in 2000, but he injured his elbow so badly that he was able to play in a grand total of 13 games over the next three years. Finally coming back, he was not only able to stay healthy for most of 2004, he put up the best offensive numbers of his career in his first crack at Triple-A. The Royals like him a lot, having kept him on the 40-man roster throughout his ordeal, and Phillips has only NRI Alberto Castillo to beat out for the role of backup catcher.

Pos	Order	Name	PT%	PA	AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB	OBP	SLG	VORP
C	7	Paul Phillips	5	11	.224	1	0	1	0	.275	.304	-0.4
1		2009 Total	5	11	.224	1	0	1	0	.275	.304	-0.4

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2006	OMA	AAA	375	43	11	1	9	39	22	37	0	0	-2.0	.243	.286	.359	-.452	.191	.229	.288	.173	-36.4	86-C -4	-2.2
2006	KCA	MLB	69	8	3	0	1	5	1	8	0	0	0.9	.277	.284	.369	-.270	.262	.269	.338	.212	-1.4	12-C 2	0.1
2007	OMA	AAA	224	21	7	0	2	14	17	25	0	0	-1.1	.238	.294	.302	-.509	.184	.238	.233	.157	-24.8	56-C 0	-1.3
2007	KCA	MLB	15	2	1	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	0.5	.143	.200	.214	-.623	.143	.200	.214	.112	-1.6	4-C 0	-0.2
2008	CHR	AAA	274	22	15	0	2	17	17	32	0	0	-1.5	.269	.317	.352	-.404	.211	.257	.277	.182	-23.1	72-C 3	-0.6

Projected Playing Time

Historical Stats