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Miguel Perez
Pittsburgh Pirates [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 25
6' 3"
190 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
Baseball Prospectus DT Player Card
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Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 CHT AA 434 33 16 0 3 33 19 88 5 1 0.4 .241 .290 .305 -.367 .223 .264 .290 .194 -31.0 106-C 4 -0.6
2007 RDS Rk 13 4 1 0 1 3 1 2 0 0 -0.3 .417 .462 .750 .441 .333 .385 .667 .336 5.6 0.2
2007 SAR A+ 116 12 5 0 4 18 6 19 0 0 -0.7 .324 .353 .481 -.178 .255 .282 .391 .232 -2.0 27-C -6 -0.5
2007 CHT AA 26 3 1 0 3 4 0 3 0 0 0.0 .269 .269 .654 .077 .231 .231 .654 .267 1.5 6-C -1 0.0
2008 ALT AA 187 14 4 0 2 22 9 32 1 1 -2.3 .281 .330 .339 -.270 .247 .290 .316 .212 -8.4 44-C 0 -0.3


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 10:37 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 341 34 15 1 9 39 17 68 2 1 -1.0 .262 .307 .400 -.100 .261 .307 .413 .247 5.4 82-C -1 1.6
75o 322 27 13 1 7 33 15 68 1 1 -0.9 .239 .282 .352 -.227 .238 .282 .364 .221 -4.5 78-C -2 0.6
60o 314 24 12 1 6 30 15 68 1 1 -0.9 .229 .272 .333 -.278 .228 .272 .344 .210 -8.1 76-C -2 0.2
50o 305 21 11 1 5 27 14 67 1 1 -0.8 .219 .262 .313 -.330 .218 .261 .324 .198 -11.5 74-C -2 -0.2
40o 299 19 10 0 4 25 13 67 1 1 -0.8 .212 .254 .299 -.366 .211 .254 .310 .189 -13.9 73-C -2 -0.4
25o 291 17 9 0 4 23 13 67 1 0 -0.8 .205 .246 .284 -.406 .204 .246 .294 .178 -16.2 71-C -2 -0.7
10o 274 13 8 0 3 19 12 66 1 0 -0.7 .190 .230 .255 -.483 .189 .230 .264 .155 -20.2 67-C -3 -1.2
Weighted Mean 299 21 11 1 5 28 14 65 1 1 -0.8 .223 .266 .321 -.305 .222 .265 .332 .202 -8.7 73-C -2 0.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

19%

34%

49%

18%

1.04

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 25) 299 21 11 1 5 28 14 65 1 1 -0.8 .223 .266 .321 -.305 .222 .265 .332 .202 -8.7 73-C -2 0.1
2010 (age 26) 293 21 11 1 5 28 13 63 2 1 -0.6 .228 .271 .327 -.304 .224 .267 .333 .207 -6.7 72-C 0 0.3
2011 (age 27) 302 22 11 0 6 29 15 64 1 1 -0.5 .225 .271 .329 -.303 .220 .267 .336 .207 -5.4 74-C -1 0.3
2012 (age 28) 222 13 7 0 4 21 11 47 1 0 -0.4 .217 .263 .307 -.351 .213 .259 .314 .196 -6.1 55-C 0 0.3
2013 (age 29) 289 21 9 0 5 29 15 60 1 0 -0.4 .231 .278 .327 -.289 .227 .274 .333 .210 -3.6 71-C -1 0.4
2014 (age 30) 244 16 9 0 4 22 12 52 1 0 -0.3 .224 .270 .325 -.311 .220 .266 .331 .205 -3.5 60-C -1 0.1
2015 (age 31) 226 15 7 0 4 24 11 46 1 0 -0.1 .231 .282 .332 -.275 .227 .277 .339 .214 -1.5 56-C -1 0.1

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .240 .285 .350
vs RHP .219 .259 .308
Split +.021 +.026 +.042
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 -10.6 -2.0 0.1 $400,000 -9.9 0.5
2010 -9.2 0.0 0.3 $400,000 -7.1 1.2
2011 -9.5 -1.0 0.3 $400,000 -5.7 1.5
2012 -9.1 0.0 0.3 $400,000 -5.3 1.2
2013 -8.2 -1.0 0.4 $675,000 -3.3 1.5
2014 -8.0 -1.0 0.1 $400,000 -3.8 0.2
2015 -5.6 -1.0 0.1 $700,000 -1.7 0.4
Peak 1.4 $1,150,000 0.0 6.2


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .221 .198 .178 .202
2010 .230 .194 .176 .207
2011 .240 .216 .185 .207
2012 .242 .197 .161 .196
2013 .250 .201 .179 .210
2014 .233 .202 .174 .205
2015 .242 .214 .191 .214


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 18% 0% 19%
2010 38% 15% 18%
2011 52% 35% 24%
2012 64% 37% 21%
2013 63% 46% 18%
2014 66% 54% 12%
2015 83% 67% 11%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

57

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Alex Delgado 1996 64 11 Omir Santos 2007 42
2 Wil Nieves 2003 55 12 Ramon Lora 1981 42
3 Wilfredo Tejada 1988 54 13 Jim Gaudet 1981 41
4 Guillermo Garcia 1998 48 14 Sandy Madera 2006 40
5 Guillermo Rodriguez 2004 48 15 Toby Hernandez 1984 40
6 Jose Monzon 1994 46 16 Guillermo Quiroz 2007 40
7 Gabby Torres 2003 45 17 Roger Hansen 1987 40
8 Cesar Devarez 1995 44 18 Robert Machado 1999 39
9 John Pachot 2000 43 19 Keith Foley 1988 39
10 Raul Chavez 1998 42 20 Mike Knapp 1990 37

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2008

Miguel Perez's impressive stat line was little more than a 23-year-old returning to High-A after a year in the Southern League. The touted catch-and-throw guy is a minor league free agent searching for an organization that's less well-stocked behind the plate.

2007

Miguel Perez can`t hit and won`t, but the game always has space for its catch-and-throw types.

2005

Considered the best catching prospect in the system by scouts, you'd like to see the numbers start to match up. The observational crowd point to his strong 6'3", 190-pound frame and his projectable swing and see a future power hitter; we see two homers in his four-year pro career. Of course there are mitigating factors in play, or he wouldn't be in this book: Perez doesn't turn 22 until September, catchers tend to master hitting later, and the Reds rave about his catch-and-throw ability. That would be a lot handier if teams actually tried to steal bases anymore. But this is the same team still getting over taking Chris Gruler #3 overall in '02, ahead of Zach Greinke, Prince Fielder, Khalil Greene, Scott Kazmir and many others—maybe they're due for those rose-colored glasses to start paying dividends.


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