Wil Nieves

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Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time
Nationals Depth Chart (updated: 08-09)

Pos Order Name PT% PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP

C 8 Wil Nieves 45 100 .228 8 0 9 0 .280 .280 -3.2

1 2009 Total 45 100 .228 8 0 9 0 .280 .280 -3.2

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/8/09 12:21 AM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	215	30	11	1	3	20	17	28	1	0	-0.8	.300	.358	.409	.047	.304	.361	.428	.275	11.1	54-C -2	1.5
75^o	194	19	7	1	2	16	13	27	1	0	-0.6	.257	.311	.336	-.173	.260	.313	.351	.233	0.0	49-C -2	0.4
60^o	186	16	6	1	1	15	12	26	1	0	-0.6	.241	.293	.310	-.251	.245	.296	.324	.216	-3.4	47-C -2	0.1
50^o	180	14	6	1	1	14	11	25	1	0	-0.5	.230	.280	.290	-.309	.233	.283	.303	.203	-5.7	46-C -2	0.0
40^o	169	11	4	0	1	12	9	24	1	0	-0.5	.212	.260	.260	-.400	.215	.262	.271	.180	-9.0	44-C -2	-0.5
25^o	152	7	3	0	0	9	8	23	1	0	-0.4	.189	.233	.221	-.514	.192	.235	.231	.145	-12.1	40-C -2	-0.8
10^o	92	2	1	0	0	3	4	15	0	0	-0.2	.152	.188	.157	-.707	.154	.189	.164	.021	-11.5	26-C -1	-0.9
Weighted Mean	153	11	5	0	1	12	9	22	1	0	-0.5	.228	.278	.287	-.327	.231	.280	.299	.199	-4.4	40-C -1	0.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
38%	54%	40%	59%	1.12

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2009 (age 31)	153	11	5	0	1	12	9	22	1	0	-0.5	.228	.278	.287	-.327	.231	.280	.299	.199	-4.4	40-C -1	0.0
2010 (age 32)	182	14	5	0	1	15	12	26	1	0	-0.4	.225	.278	.281	-.342	.225	.277	.290	.198	-5.1	46-C -1	0.0
2011 (age 33)	145	10	4	0	1	12	9	21	0	0	-0.2	.222	.272	.282	-.355	.222	.270	.291	.195	-3.3	38-C -2	0.0
2012 (age 34)	139	10	5	0	1	12	8	21	0	0	-0.1	.233	.282	.301	-.304	.233	.280	.310	.207	-1.6	37-C -2	0.0
2013 (age 35)	-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 36)	-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 37)	-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.244	.297	.318
vs RHP	.223	.271	.275
Split	+.020	+.026	+.043
LgAvg	+.020	+.024	+.038

Valuation

Year	BRAA	FRAA	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2009	-5.0	-1.0	0.0	$400,000	-6.9	1.0
2010	-6.1	-1.0	0.0	$400,000	-6.8	0.2
2011	-5.2	-2.0	0.0	$400,000	-5.0	0.1
2012	-3.6	-2.0	0.0	$400,000	-2.8	0.1
2013	-- out of baseball --
2014	-- out of baseball --
2015	-- out of baseball --
Peak			0.0	0.0	0.0	1.6

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2009	.233	.203	.145	.199
2010	.229	.208	.159	.198
2011	.232	.209	.172	.195
2012	.254	.204	.162	.207
2013	-- out of baseball --
2014	-- out of baseball --
2015	-- out of baseball --

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2009	59%	0%	38%
2010	60%	20%	30%
2011	81%	36%	28%
2012	88%	57%	31%
2013	95%	68%	28%
2014	96%	86%	23%
2015	97%	90%	16%

46

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Jerry Zimmerman	1966	58		11	Kirt Manwaring	1997	36
2	Mickey Grasso	1952	51		12	Russ Gibson	1971	35
3	Gary Bennett	2004	50		13	John Boccabella	1973	35
4	Mike Roarke	1962	50		14	Johnny Oates	1977	34
5	Alberto Castillo	2001	46		15	Dick Billings	1974	33
6	Dixie Howell	1952	45		16	Valmy Thomas	1960	32
7	Joe Girardi	1996	44		17	Matt Walbeck	2001	31
8	Keith Osik	2000	43		18	Hal Naragon	1960	31
9	Steve Lake	1988	42		19	Mike Matheny	2002	31
10	Jeff Torborg	1973	42		20	Bob Barton	1973	31

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2008

It took some spectacularly pollyannaish, panglossian thinking to conclude that Wil Nieves could hit well enough to be of any service to a major league team. He can't.

2007

Wil Nieves made the Opening Day roster because the Yankees were worried about losing him on waivers if they sent him down; replacement-level catchers turned out to be in greater supply than they thought. Compare Nieves`s .244/.271/.308 PECOTA to the line in the Fasano comment above, then consider that the man he`ll be battling for the backup catcher spot this spring is his top PECOTA comp, Raul Chavez. It doesn`t matter who wins, nothing ever changes.

2000

Keep an eye on this guy. Nieves put up All-Star numbers at Rancho Cucamonga in 1999, and he�s turned himself into a legitimate prospect. He made the jump from Clinton without a hitch and will be tried at Las Vegas next season. If he�s for real, the Padres might want to think about trading Davis; Nieves was that good in 1999. Pitchers like working with him.

Pos	Order	Name	PT%	PA	AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB	OBP	SLG	VORP
C	8	Wil Nieves	45	100	.228	8	0	9	0	.280	.280	-3.2
1		2009 Total	45	100	.228	8	0	9	0	.280	.280	-3.2

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2006	COH	AAA	348	29	13	0	5	34	18	29	2	1	-0.1	.259	.298	.346	-.382	.218	.255	.294	.189	-26.4	79-C -7	-2.0
2007	SWB	AAA	98	5	1	2	1	8	6	10	1	0	-0.4	.256	.306	.344	-.382	.209	.255	.297	.193	-7.4	26-C 1	0.0
2007	NYA	MLB	66	6	4	0	0	8	2	9	0	0	-0.1	.164	.190	.230	-.615	.164	.190	.230	.127	-6.6	19-C -3	-0.9
2008	COH	AAA	29	3	1	0	0	2	3	6	1	0	-1.6	.240	.321	.280	-.434	.192	.276	.231	.194	-2.6	8-C 1	0.0
2008	WAS	MLB	196	15	9	1	1	20	13	29	0	1	-0.6	.261	.309	.341	-.185	.264	.311	.343	.230	-1.3	51-C -1	0.0

Projected Playing Time

Historical Stats