Colt Morton

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Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time
Padres Depth Chart (updated: 04-24)

Pos Order Name PT% PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP

C 8 Colt Morton 5 31 .223 3 1 4 0 .311 .409 0.8

1 2008 Total 5 31 .223 3 1 4 0 .311 .409 0.8

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 2:25 PM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	202	25	10	0	9	29	23	51	1	0	-0.7	.248	.339	.469	.017	.255	.347	.502	.284	11.5	51-C -1	2.3
75^o	190	22	9	0	8	26	21	50	1	0	-0.6	.237	.327	.442	-.049	.243	.334	.473	.272	7.7	48-C -1	1.9
60^o	178	18	8	0	7	23	19	49	1	0	-0.6	.226	.314	.417	-.111	.232	.322	.445	.260	4.5	46-C -1	1.5
50^o	173	17	7	0	7	22	18	48	1	0	-0.6	.221	.309	.405	-.139	.227	.316	.433	.255	3.2	44-C -1	1.4
40^o	166	15	7	0	6	20	17	47	1	0	-0.5	.215	.302	.391	-.173	.221	.309	.418	.248	1.7	43-C -1	1.2
25^o	150	12	6	0	5	17	15	44	1	0	-0.4	.202	.287	.360	-.248	.208	.293	.385	.232	-1.3	39-C -2	0.8
10^o	127	8	4	0	4	12	12	40	0	0	-0.4	.185	.267	.321	-.344	.190	.273	.343	.211	-4.1	34-C -2	0.4
Weighted Mean	176	18	7	0	7	22	19	49	1	0	-0.5	.223	.311	.409	-.129	.229	.318	.437	.256	4.7	45-C -1	1.5

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
33%	60%	17%	20%	0.85

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2008 (age 26)	176	18	7	0	7	22	19	49	1	0	-0.5	.223	.311	.409	-.129	.229	.318	.437	.256	4.7	45-C -1	1.5
2009 (age 27)	169	16	7	0	6	21	18	47	1	0	-0.4	.219	.310	.400	-.144	.222	.312	.420	.253	2.2	44-C -2	1.0
2010 (age 28)	203	22	9	0	8	26	22	57	1	0	-0.3	.224	.315	.420	-.106	.227	.317	.441	.260	2.8	51-C -1	0.9
2011 (age 29)	154	15	6	0	7	21	16	42	0	0	-0.3	.228	.316	.434	-.083	.231	.318	.456	.265	2.8	40-C -1	0.8
2012 (age 30)	122	11	5	0	5	15	14	31	1	0	-0.2	.240	.331	.430	-.054	.243	.333	.451	.271	2.1	33-C 0	0.6
2013 (age 31)	-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 32)	-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.239	.328	.434
vs RHP	.218	.303	.393
Split	+.020	+.025	+.042
LgAvg	+.020	+.024	+.038

Valuation

Year	OWARP	DWARP	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2008	0.5	1.0	1.5	$2,100,000	3.2	4.3
2009	0.3	0.7	1.0	$1,250,000	0.9	2.2
2010	0.3	0.6	0.9	$1,425,000	2.0	3.0
2011	0.3	0.5	0.8	$1,400,000	2.1	3.6
2012	0.2	0.3	0.6	$1,150,000	1.8	3.1
2013	0.1	0.1	0.2	$550,000	-0.2	0.7
2014	0.1	0.2	0.3	$725,000	0.4	0.6
Peak			5.1	$4,825,000	9.8	16.8

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2008	.272	.255	.232	.256
2009	.276	.254	.235	.253
2010	.281	.265	.237	.260
2011	.285	.252	.237	.265
2012	.284	.253	.231	.271
2013	-- out of baseball --
2014	-- out of baseball --

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2008	20%	0%	33%
2009	44%	20%	24%
2010	57%	40%	30%
2011	64%	50%	25%
2012	79%	59%	19%
2013	84%	76%	16%
2014	89%	82%	13%

24

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong! Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Jeff Bailey	1992	40		11	Mike Daniel	2003	33
2	Bobby Hughes	1979	36		12	Shelley Duncan	1971	33
3	Bucky Jacobsen	1981	36		13	Tim Laudner	1982	33
4	Kevin Brown	1970	36		14	Steve Jackson	1960	33
5	Nick Delvecchio	1973	35		15	Jonathan Aceves	2007	32
6	Creighton Gubanich	1992	35		16	Andy Hartung	1975	32
7	Chris Haas	1975	34		17	Eric Chavez	1969	32
8	Joe Freitas	1975	34		18	Steve Goodell	2000	31
9	Tagg Bozied	1957	34		19	Bobby Estalella	1979	30
10	Craig Ansman	1998	33		20	Brad Cresse	2005	30

Player Comments

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2007

Morton`s a monster-sized backstop who`s surprisingly decent behind the plate and can throw. If you remember the debate over whether or not Jayson Werth would stick as a catcher because he was so much larger than most--as it turned out, he didn`t--Morton is even larger than Werth. There`s something to be said for the theory that a large human being is ill-suited for the squatting that catching requires; it`s like asking an especially beefy Scotsman to toss the caber 160 times in three hours--then bat and run the bases. Appropriately for someone so Bunyanesque, what he hits goes really far when he connects, but his approach is Kingman-esque; he swings at everything and hopes for the best. He`s not a prospect, but if you like your players improbable and unique, you should root for him.

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2005	FTW	1B	265	27	15	0	10	46	35	57	0	0	-2.7	.261	.362	.464	.172	.220	.302	.379	.239	-1.4	59-C -5	1.2
2005	LEL	1C	113	19	4	0	9	19	14	30	0	1	-0.9	.323	.407	.646	.452	.242	.319	.455	.261	3.9	23-C -4	0.8
2006	LEL	1C	222	30	15	0	5	22	36	44	0	1	-1.8	.227	.374	.398	.020	.188	.308	.317	.225	-6.2	45-C 3	1.3
2006	MOB	2A	152	15	10	0	6	21	11	44	0	0	-1.1	.266	.329	.468	.152	.248	.303	.447	.254	4.2	37-C 2	1.5
2007	PDR	0R	41	9	4	0	0	8	5	11	0	0	0.0	.290	.366	.419	.080	.176	.225	.235	.173	-10.2		-0.2
2007	LEL	1C	30	5	7	0	3	8	4	3	0	0	0.1	.500	.600	1.167	1.741	.423	.500	.923	.432	9.4		0.7
2007	SAN	2A	116	17	3	0	6	19	15	34	0	0	-2.1	.266	.383	.489	.266	.235	.330	.439	.267	3.9	20-C 2	1.1
2007	SDN	MJ	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0	.000	.000	.000	-1.305	.000	.000	.000	.000	-0.3		0.0

Pos	Order	Name	PT%	PA	AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB	OBP	SLG	VORP
C	8	Colt Morton	5	31	.223	3	1	4	0	.311	.409	0.8
1		2008 Total	5	31	.223	3	1	4	0	.311	.409	0.8

Projected Playing Time

Historical Stats