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Miguel Montero
Arizona Diamondbacks [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats L
Age 25
5' 11"
195 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
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Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Diamondbacks Depth Chart (updated: 08-09)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
C 8 Miguel Montero 50 111 .266 13 4 14 0 .337 .446 2.7
1   2009 Total 50 111 .266 13 4 14 0 .337 .446 2.7

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 TEN AA 337 24 18 0 10 46 39 44 0 3 0.0 .270 .362 .436 -.083 .244 .326 .410 .255 3.6 73-C -1 1.3
2006 TUC AAA 154 21 5 0 7 29 14 21 1 1 -3.2 .321 .396 .515 .046 .277 .348 .460 .277 6.7 28-C -3 0.7
2006 ARI MLB 17 0 1 0 0 3 1 3 0 0 -0.1 .250 .294 .313 -.267 .250 .294 .312 .211 -0.6 5-C 0 0.0
2007 ARI MLB 244 30 7 0 10 37 20 35 0 0 -1.1 .224 .292 .397 -.208 .216 .288 .380 .236 0.7 57-C -5 -0.3
2008 TUC AAA 38 3 2 0 1 5 5 3 0 0 -1.3 .281 .395 .438 -.114 .242 .342 .364 .251 0.0 7-C 1 0.2
2008 ARI MLB 207 24 16 1 5 18 19 49 0 0 0.8 .255 .330 .435 -.060 .245 .320 .435 .260 6.5 46-C -1 0.6


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 12:33 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 326 55 21 1 16 51 38 50 0 0 -1.2 .313 .401 .569 .268 .305 .393 .555 .318 33.3 79-C -3 4.0
75o 299 41 17 1 13 44 31 47 0 0 -1.0 .283 .367 .499 .097 .275 .359 .487 .289 18.7 73-C -3 2.6
60o 287 36 15 1 11 41 29 46 0 0 -0.9 .270 .352 .469 .025 .263 .344 .458 .276 13.1 70-C -3 2.0
50o 284 34 15 1 11 41 28 46 0 0 -0.9 .267 .348 .462 .007 .260 .340 .451 .272 11.8 70-C -3 1.9
40o 278 32 14 1 10 39 27 45 0 0 -0.9 .260 .340 .446 -.033 .253 .332 .435 .265 8.9 68-C -3 1.6
25o 262 26 12 1 8 36 24 44 0 0 -0.8 .244 .321 .410 -.122 .238 .314 .400 .247 3.1 64-C -3 1.0
10o 227 17 9 0 5 28 18 40 0 0 -0.6 .213 .282 .337 -.302 .207 .276 .329 .208 -6.8 57-C -3 0.0
Weighted Mean 281 34 15 1 11 40 28 45 0 0 -0.9 .268 .350 .466 .062 .261 .342 .454 .272 14.2 69-C -3 1.9

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

45%

70%

14%

25%

1.07

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 25) 281 34 15 1 11 40 28 45 0 0 -0.9 .268 .350 .466 .062 .261 .342 .454 .272 14.2 69-C -3 1.9
2010 (age 26) 314 40 17 1 12 44 31 50 0 0 -0.9 .269 .351 .465 -.001 .259 .339 .448 .273 12.8 76-C -3 2.1
2011 (age 27) 264 31 14 0 10 36 27 43 0 0 -0.7 .264 .348 .465 -.010 .253 .336 .448 .271 10.7 65-C -4 1.7
2012 (age 28) 263 32 14 1 11 38 28 42 0 0 -0.6 .270 .355 .480 .023 .259 .342 .462 .277 11.8 65-C -4 1.7
2013 (age 29) 249 28 13 0 9 35 25 42 0 0 -0.6 .262 .346 .458 -.024 .252 .334 .441 .269 8.8 62-C -3 1.6
2014 (age 30) 249 28 12 0 10 36 25 40 0 0 -0.5 .264 .343 .466 -.016 .254 .331 .449 .269 8.1 61-C -3 1.4
2015 (age 31) 264 31 14 0 11 38 26 42 0 0 -0.4 .266 .343 .468 -.014 .255 .330 .451 .269 7.4 65-C -4 1.2

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .243 .324 .416
vs RHP .278 .364 .519
Split -.035 -.040 -.104
LgAvg -.035 -.040 -.079

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 11.0 -3.0 1.9 $2,975,000 9.8 15.5
2010 12.5 -3.0 2.1 $3,075,000 8.3 12.4
2011 10.1 -4.0 1.7 $2,575,000 5.7 9.5
2012 11.9 -4.0 1.7 $3,025,000 7.1 11.1
2013 8.8 -3.0 1.6 $2,825,000 5.4 10.3
2014 9.1 -3.0 1.4 $2,725,000 5.0 9.2
2015 9.5 -4.0 1.2 $2,550,000 4.0 7.9
Peak 10.3 $11,950,000 41.3 67.9


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .289 .272 .247 .272
2010 .294 .267 .245 .273
2011 .289 .268 .249 .271
2012 .292 .273 .250 .277
2013 .288 .263 .231 .269
2014 .293 .274 .233 .269
2015 .290 .269 .235 .269


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 25% 0% 45%
2010 27% 5% 42%
2011 32% 10% 40%
2012 41% 11% 46%
2013 42% 9% 39%
2014 47% 22% 43%
2015 56% 30% 37%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

53

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Joe Garagiola 1952 53 11 Dann Bilardello 1985 37
2 Ed Herrmann 1972 49 12 Frank House 1956 37
3 Ron Hodges 1975 47 13 Mike Macfarlane 1990 36
4 Eddie Taubensee 1994 47 14 Danny Heep 1983 36
5 Joe Ginsberg 1952 47 15 Bob Schmidt 1959 36
6 Duke Sims 1967 46 16 Steve Nicosia 1981 36
7 Rick Wilkins 1993 42 17 Greg Myers 1992 35
8 Jerry Willard 1986 41 18 Rube Walker 1952 35
9 Mike Sweeney 1999 40 19 Marc Hill 1978 34
10 Dave Duncan 1971 38 20 Dave Nilsson 1995 34

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2008

Montero was another in the club's cadre of rookie disappointments. His power was pure park fiction, and his value as a platoon player isn't much when he's only reaching base against right-handers at a .291 clip. Montero also struggled to contain the running game, and, since he's not the most polished receiver around, every weakness behind the plate gets magnified. If he's only the new Greg Myers, that's valuable, but his projection should help his believers keep their faith.

2007

Montero went hitless in his big league debut, but so did the rest of the D`backs against Anibal Sanchez that night. By then Montero had already proven that his big year in Lancaster in 2005 wasn`t just a park illusion. More importantly, Montero has improved his defense to the point that it`s no longer a reason to keep him out of the lineup. His arm isn`t so great that he`ll win between-innings accuracy contests, but it`s not Piazza-poor, either. He probably won`t get much better than this, but with Johnny Estrada now in Milwaukee, he and Chris Snyder will form a productive, low-cost catching tandem for a few years.

2006

Montero broke out in 2005, though the usual organization-wide caveats apply, as he hit .404/.445/.718 at home and "just" .307/.371/.553 on the road. But even with the Lancaster boost, his High-A season was pretty impressive, resulting in a Cal League batting title. He had the usual/expected slump after being promoted to Double-A, so the permanence of his offensive gains are in doubt. He improved his defense in 2005, to the point where he was no longer a liability behind the plate. With neither Chris Snyder nor Koyie Hill doing much to inspire confidence, he could be on the organization`s radar sooner than you think. Like, now.


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