<< PECOTA Home Player Search     
BP Premium

Username

Password

Remember Me?


Jose Molina
New York Yankees [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 34
6' 2"
245 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
Baseball Prospectus DT Player Card
baseball-reference Player Card
ESPN Player Card

Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Yankees Depth Chart (updated: 08-09)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
C 8 Jose Molina 30 66 .236 7 1 6 0 .281 .334 -1.4
1   2009 Total 30 66 .236 7 1 6 0 .281 .334 -1.4

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 ANA MLB 245 18 17 0 4 22 9 49 1 0 -1.3 .240 .273 .369 -.251 .232 .269 .366 .222 -4.5 67-C 8 1.0
2007 ANA MLB 131 9 8 0 0 10 3 30 2 1 -0.8 .224 .242 .288 -.422 .224 .242 .280 .178 -7.2 37-C 1 -0.4
2007 NYA MLB 71 9 5 0 1 9 2 13 0 0 -1.2 .318 .333 .439 -.052 .303 .319 .409 .253 3.3 19-C 3 0.5
2008 NYA MLB 297 32 17 0 3 18 12 52 0 0 0.1 .216 .263 .313 -.337 .216 .263 .317 .204 -11.4 83-C 11 0.7


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/8/09 1:09 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 204 23 12 1 4 20 12 37 1 1 -1.1 .275 .329 .406 -.012 .280 .334 .432 .266 7.7 52-C 3 1.8
75o 193 19 10 1 3 19 10 36 1 1 -1.0 .255 .304 .371 -.122 .259 .309 .395 .246 2.3 49-C 2 1.2
60o 182 15 9 1 2 17 8 35 1 1 -0.9 .236 .280 .338 -.226 .240 .285 .359 .225 -2.2 47-C 2 0.7
50o 178 13 9 1 2 17 8 35 1 0 -0.9 .229 .272 .326 -.263 .233 .276 .346 .217 -3.7 46-C 2 0.5
40o 175 12 9 0 2 16 7 35 1 0 -0.8 .225 .265 .317 -.290 .228 .270 .337 .211 -4.8 45-C 2 0.4
25o 158 8 7 0 1 14 5 33 1 0 -0.7 .201 .235 .276 -.419 .205 .239 .293 .180 -9.1 41-C 1 0.0
10o 136 5 6 0 0 11 3 29 1 0 -0.5 .177 .202 .233 -.555 .180 .206 .248 .139 -12.1 36-C 1 -0.6
Weighted Mean 171 12 9 0 2 17 7 33 1 0 -0.9 .229 .271 .325 -.274 .233 .276 .346 .217 -3.4 44-C 2 0.6

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

40%

62%

27%

52%

1.04

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 34) 171 12 9 0 2 17 7 33 1 0 -0.9 .229 .271 .325 -.274 .233 .276 .346 .217 -3.4 44-C 2 0.6
2010 (age 35) 154 10 7 0 2 15 6 30 1 0 -0.5 .223 .261 .319 -.283 .230 .269 .343 .210 -3.2 40-C 2 0.4
2011 (age 36) 137 9 6 0 2 13 6 27 0 0 -0.4 .231 .272 .322 -.252 .238 .281 .347 .217 -1.6 36-C 2 0.3
2012 (age 37)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 38)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 39)
-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 40)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .245 .293 .356
vs RHP .224 .264 .311
Split +.021 +.029 +.045
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 -2.9 2.0 0.6 $800,000 -1.6 1.0
2010 -3.5 2.0 0.4 $700,000 -1.4 1.0
2011 -2.2 2.0 0.3 $750,000 -0.5 1.2
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --
Peak 1.3 $1,100,000 0.0 3.7


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .246 .217 .180 .217
2010 .233 .206 .158 .210
2011 .239 .213 .188 .217
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 52% 0% 40%
2010 68% 25% 39%
2011 82% 45% 37%
2012 90% 71% 25%
2013 93% 79% 20%
2014 99% 84% 14%
2015 100% 93% 10%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

29

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Pat Borders 1997 43 11 Ray Noble 1953 30
2 Mike Difelice 2003 39 12 Scott Servais 2001 29
3 Mike Matheny 2004 37 13 Phil Roof 1975 28
4 Bill Haselman 2000 37 14 Joe Oliver 1999 27
5 Mickey Grasso 1954 32 15 Johnny Edwards 1972 26
6 Ray Murray 1951 32 16 Steve Decker 1999 26
7 Sammy White 1962 31 17 Andy Etchebarren 1977 25
8 Danny Sheaffer 1995 31 18 Terry Kennedy 1990 25
9 Mike Roarke 1964 30 19 Ken Huckaby 2005 24
10 Jeff Newman 1982 30 20 Matt Batts 1955 24

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2008

Molina's struggles with Anaheim over the first half of the season stretched even Mike Scioscia's tolerance for this good-field, no-hit catcher. The Yankees found that one team's trash is another's treasure given their lack of even a replacement-level backup for Jorge Posada. In other words, Mike Napoli is to Jose Molina as Jose Molina is to Wil Nieves. Molina even had a nice small-sample hot streak after arriving in New York. Re-signed to a two-year deal, Molina is an acceptable backup given the very limited population of quality reserves at his position.

2007

?Viva el ?ltimo de los Molinas por los Angeles de Los Angeles! There can be only one! Jose is a decent enough reserve with some sock and an outstanding throwing arm. The pity of the matter is that his offensive skills only shadow instead of complement Napoli`s. That doesn`t make him any less useful as a backup backstop, of course.

2006

The most accomplished defensive catcher among the Flying Molinas (over the last two seasons, we have him pegged at 47 fielding runs above replacement despite just 111.5 adjusted games at the position), as a hitter he`s the Rey Ordonez of backstops. His glove makes him a worthwhile reserve, especially if used in tandem with a starter who can hit but might not be Mickey Cochrane behind the dish.

2005

At bat, both Molinas combined weren't as productive as Gregg Zaun was by himself. That's the value of getting on base; the difference from the best defensive catcher to the worst isn't nearly as wide as the gulf created when one player uses his plate appearances effectively and the other toasts them like marshmallows. The younger Molina is a poor fit to back up his bro, given their too-similar skill sets.

2003

My God, there are two of them. Jose has a little more pop than Ben, which is among the faintest praise you’ll read in this book. The Angels would be well served to go out and find a left-handed hitting catcher with some sock, just to bring off the bench and have a different option available. No, not Jorge Fabregas.

2002

Ben's little brother is a similar player to him, but not as good at the plate, and with a stronger arm behind it. Los Dos Molinas behind the dish is a neat trick, and there are bigger stiffs around the league in reserve spots. Jose will have to compete with Fabregas for a roster spot and is unlikely to win the battle.


Baseball Prospectus Home  |  Terms of Service  |  Privacy Policy  |  Contact Us
Copyright © 1996-2009 Prospectus Entertainment Ventures, LLC.