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Jose Molina
New York Yankees [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 33
6' 2"
245 lbs.

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Yankees Depth Chart (updated: 04-24)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
C 6 Jose Molina 25 172 .240 13 2 18 1 .284 .346 -1.0
1   2008 Total 25 172 .240 13 2 18 1 .284 .346 -1.0

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 ANA MJ 203 14 4 0 6 25 13 41 2 0 -0.3 .228 .286 .348 -.200 .232 .302 .365 .236 -1.2 53-C 12 2.8
2006 ANA MJ 245 18 17 0 4 22 9 49 1 0 -1.6 .240 .273 .369 -.234 .239 .278 .374 .228 -4.8 67-C 8 2.4
2007 ANA MJ 131 9 8 0 0 10 3 30 2 1 -0.8 .224 .242 .288 -.388 .226 .250 .290 .186 -6.6 37-C 1 0.7
2007 NYA MJ 71 9 5 0 1 9 2 13 0 0 -1.1 .318 .333 .439 .072 .318 .333 .470 .274 3.9 19-C 3 1.0


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 2:14 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 214 26 11 1 5 27 12 43 2 1 -0.7 .279 .323 .427 -.016 .279 .327 .446 .269 8.2 54-C 3 2.2
75o 199 20 10 0 4 23 11 41 2 1 -0.6 .257 .301 .381 -.131 .257 .305 .398 .247 2.1 50-C 3 1.7
60o 192 17 9 0 3 22 10 40 2 1 -0.5 .247 .292 .361 -.181 .247 .295 .377 .238 -0.3 49-C 3 1.4
50o 183 15 8 0 3 20 10 39 2 1 -0.5 .236 .280 .337 -.239 .236 .284 .352 .225 -2.9 47-C 3 1.2
40o 175 13 8 0 2 18 9 37 2 1 -0.5 .225 .270 .316 -.292 .226 .273 .330 .214 -5.0 45-C 3 1.0
25o 156 9 6 0 1 15 8 34 2 1 -0.4 .203 .247 .269 -.406 .204 .250 .281 .186 -8.7 41-C 2 0.5
10o 45 0 1 0 -1 2 2 11 1 0 -0.1 .128 .169 .113 -.782 .128 .171 .117 .028 -6.7 16-C 1 0.0
Weighted Mean 170 14 8 0 3 19 9 36 2 1 -0.5 .240 .284 .346 -.218 .240 .288 .361 .229 -1.0 44-C 3 1.9

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

35%

50%

37%

45%

1.07

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 33) 170 14 8 0 3 19 9 36 2 1 -0.5 .240 .284 .346 -.218 .240 .288 .361 .229 -1.0 44-C 3 1.9
2009 (age 34) 171 14 9 0 2 18 8 37 2 1 -0.4 .247 .288 .353 -.197 .251 .296 .376 .234 -0.6 44-C 2 1.1
2010 (age 35) 144 11 7 0 2 16 7 32 1 1 -0.3 .247 .287 .360 -.189 .251 .295 .383 .235 -0.3 38-C 2 0.7
2011 (age 36) 131 9 6 0 2 13 7 29 2 0 -0.2 .235 .279 .331 -.250 .239 .286 .353 .224 -1.0 35-C 1 0.4
2012 (age 37)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 38)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 39)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .257 .307 .378
vs RHP .235 .276 .330
Split +.022 +.031 +.049
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.1 1.9 1.9 $2,600,000 2.8 3.8
2009 0.1 1.0 1.1 $1,475,000 1.8 3.9
2010 0.1 0.6 0.7 $1,075,000 1.1 2.1
2011 0.0 0.4 0.4 $600,000 -0.5 0.8
2012 0.0 0.2 0.2 $550,000 0.2 0.8
2013 0.0 0.2 0.1 $475,000 -0.2 0.2
2014 0.0 0.1 0.1 $475,000 -0.5 0.1
Peak 4.5 $4,075,000 5.3 11.6


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .247 .225 .186 .229
2009 .258 .223 .201 .234
2010 .251 .222 .189 .235
2011 .242 .218 .184 .224
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 45% 0% 35%
2009 55% 29% 28%
2010 70% 40% 27%
2011 84% 56% 25%
2012 93% 78% 18%
2013 93% 79% 18%
2014 97% 86% 11%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

40

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong!
Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Javy Lopez 1992 40 11 Carlos Hernandez 2003 33
2 Mike Difelice 1979 36 12 Don Leppert 1971 33
3 Bob Melvin 1981 36 13 John Boccabella 1982 33
4 Ebba St. Claire 1970 36 14 Sammy White 1960 33
5 Mike Matheny 1973 35 15 Russ Gibson 2007 32
6 Terry Kennedy 1992 35 16 Scott Servais 1975 32
7 Bob Montgomery 1975 34 17 Damian Miller 1969 32
8 Marc Hill 1975 34 18 Brian Johnson 2000 31
9 Pat Borders 1957 34 19 Matt Batts 1979 30
10 Bill Haselman 1998 33 20 Andy Etchebarren 2005 30

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

?Viva el ?ltimo de los Molinas por los Angeles de Los Angeles! There can be only one! Jose is a decent enough reserve with some sock and an outstanding throwing arm. The pity of the matter is that his offensive skills only shadow instead of complement Napoli`s. That doesn`t make him any less useful as a backup backstop, of course.

2006

The most accomplished defensive catcher among the Flying Molinas (over the last two seasons, we have him pegged at 47 fielding runs above replacement despite just 111.5 adjusted games at the position), as a hitter he`s the Rey Ordonez of backstops. His glove makes him a worthwhile reserve, especially if used in tandem with a starter who can hit but might not be Mickey Cochrane behind the dish.

2005

At bat, both Molinas combined weren't as productive as Gregg Zaun was by himself. That's the value of getting on base; the difference from the best defensive catcher to the worst isn't nearly as wide as the gulf created when one player uses his plate appearances effectively and the other toasts them like marshmallows. The younger Molina is a poor fit to back up his bro, given their too-similar skill sets.

2003

My God, there are two of them. Jose has a little more pop than Ben, which is among the faintest praise you’ll read in this book. The Angels would be well served to go out and find a left-handed hitting catcher with some sock, just to bring off the bench and have a different option available. No, not Jorge Fabregas.

2002

Ben's little brother is a similar player to him, but not as good at the plate, and with a stronger arm behind it. Los Dos Molinas behind the dish is a neat trick, and there are bigger stiffs around the league in reserve spots. Jose will have to compete with Fabregas for a roster spot and is unlikely to win the battle.


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