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Bengie Molina
San Francisco Giants [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 34
5' 11"
225 lbs.

Player Profile

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Giants Depth Chart (updated: 03-19)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
C 6 Bengie Molina 70 489 .276 49 15 69 0 .314 .427 17.1
1   2010 Total 70 489 .276 49 15 69 0 .314 .427 17.1

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 TOR MLB 458 44 20 1 19 57 19 47 1 1 -4.0 .284 .319 .467 -.033 .271 .309 .454 .259 15.7 96-C -6 1.2
2007 SFN MLB 517 38 19 1 19 81 15 53 0 0 -3.6 .276 .298 .433 -.073 .274 .298 .437 .249 15.0 123-C 5 2.3
2008 SFN MLB 569 46 33 0 16 95 19 38 0 0 -7.0 .292 .322 .445 .007 .294 .320 .455 .266 24.7 127-C 6 3.6


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 11:24 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 466 58 28 1 14 70 23 41 1 1 -4.3 .311 .349 .476 .119 .311 .349 .491 .284 31.6 110-C 3 4.7
75o 420 43 23 0 11 59 19 37 1 1 -3.7 .289 .325 .437 .004 .288 .325 .450 .264 17.2 100-C 2 3.1
60o 406 39 22 0 10 56 18 36 0 1 -3.5 .282 .318 .426 -.029 .282 .318 .439 .258 13.6 97-C 1 2.7
50o 391 35 21 0 10 52 16 35 0 1 -3.3 .275 .311 .414 -.064 .275 .311 .427 .252 9.9 93-C 1 2.3
40o 374 31 19 0 9 48 15 33 0 0 -3.1 .268 .303 .401 -.103 .268 .302 .413 .244 6.1 90-C 0 1.8
25o 344 25 17 0 7 42 13 31 0 0 -2.7 .255 .289 .379 -.168 .255 .288 .390 .231 0.3 83-C 0 1.1
10o 286 16 13 0 5 31 10 26 0 0 -2.1 .232 .263 .338 -.286 .232 .263 .349 .206 -7.6 70-C -2 0.1
Weighted Mean 389 35 21 0 10 53 16 35 0 1 -3.2 .276 .312 .415 -.063 .276 .311 .428 .251 12.3 93-C 1 2.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

12%

37%

33%

24%

0.79

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 34) 389 35 21 0 10 53 16 35 0 1 -3.2 .276 .312 .415 -.063 .276 .311 .428 .251 12.3 93-C 1 2.4
2010 (age 35) 302 24 16 0 8 41 13 26 0 0 -2.2 .274 .308 .415 -.087 .270 .303 .422 .250 6.4 73-C -1 1.4
2011 (age 36) 285 23 16 0 8 37 14 24 0 0 -1.5 .278 .317 .431 -.047 .274 .312 .438 .258 5.9 70-C -1 1.1
2012 (age 37) 227 15 12 0 6 31 10 21 0 0 -1.0 .264 .301 .404 -.121 .260 .297 .411 .243 2.0 57-C -1 0.7
2013 (age 38)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 39)
-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 40)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .290 .332 .444
vs RHP .271 .303 .396
Split +.020 +.029 +.048
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 6.5 1.0 2.4 $3,275,000 9.4 11.0
2010 4.6 -1.0 1.4 $1,750,000 2.3 5.5
2011 6.8 -1.0 1.1 $1,750,000 3.6 5.7
2012 1.9 -1.0 0.7 $1,250,000 1.3 3.4
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --
Peak 5.9 $6,075,000 16.0 26.6


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .264 .252 .231 .251
2010 .268 .253 .223 .250
2011 .280 .253 .230 .258
2012 .270 .244 .222 .243
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 24% 0% 12%
2010 54% 14% 8%
2011 70% 41% 12%
2012 79% 54% 4%
2013 89% 70% 8%
2014 93% 81% 1%
2015 93% 84% 3%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

27

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Brian Harper 1994 50 11 Gary Carter 1989 25
2 Darrin Fletcher 2001 47 12 Keith Moreland 1989 25
3 Bill Freehan 1976 33 13 Tom Pagnozzi 1997 25
4 Jeff Conine 2001 31 14 Chris Coste 2008 25
5 Bo Diaz 1988 31 15 Terry Steinbach 1997 24
6 Carlton Fisk 1982 30 16 Buddy Rosar 1949 22
7 Sandy Alomar 2001 29 17 Mike Heath 1990 22
8 Walker Cooper 1949 29 18 Dante Bichette 1998 22
9 John Flaherty 2002 27 19 Paul Lo Duca 2007 21
10 Mike Lieberthal 2006 26 20 Ron Coomer 2001 21

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2008

Molina has 152 career walks; Bonds walked 132 times last year. Nothing against Molina, who had another year off the factory line, but his was another "what's the point?" signing. He did exactly what he could be expected to do, but no one came to the park to see him, he didn't make the Giants good, and he cost millions of dollars. Replacing him with a combination of Knoedler and Rodriguez might have dropped the team's 71 wins to a mere 70. Of course, that's all because of Bonds's salary again.

2007

Molina broke up the family when he departed from Anaheim a year ago, but now that he`s off on his solo career, he`s singing a different tune than his brothers. While Molina hit more home runs last season than Jose and Yadier have in their entire respective careers, his defense has gone the other way. Bengie allowed 68 of 83 baserunners to steal successfully last season, something that was not helpful to a pitching staff that gives up more than its share of baserunners. He`ll probably lose some power in San Francisco`s home park next season, but now that he`s turned 32, the Giants probably figured they could afford to gamble.

2005

Thanks to a fractured finger and a strained calf, Molina spent about as long as the voyage of Noah's ark on the shelf (fortunately, the Molinas had come two by two). When ambulatory, he came within a few points of duplicating his career percentages. The difference between this year and last year's moderately productive season can be found in the lefty-mashing department, where the Love of Bengie dropped from a .544 slugging percentage to .398. The Angels would do well to find an Adam Melhuse type; Molina could be considerably more valuable and durable playing four days a week and being spared the toughest righties.

2003

This is not a ballplayer you want to give 450 plate appearances to. On the bright side, it gives the Angels something they don’t have: a problem that’s fairly easy to fix. Molina hits like a defensive substitute, and few teams are good enough to absorb this kind of hit to their offensive production on a daily basis. He doesn’t hit for average, doesn’t hit for power, doesn’t draw walks, and grounds into a ton of double plays. He does work well with the pitchers and he can throw, so they’ll run him out there as long as things are pretty rosy. That’s a mistake.

2002

Another in the parade of Angels hitters with high batting averages and limited secondary skills, Molina regressed in his second year as a starter. He's a reliable defensive catcher who isn't going to get much better with the bat. He’ll be the starter in Anaheim in 2002.

2001

While Ben Molina's translated statistics don't look good, consider that he was about average for his position offensively, played good defense, and is still improving. A left-handed-hitting backup would help, as Molina hit for much less power against righties. The Angels have invited Jorge Fabregas to spring training, hardly a solution.

2000

A few years ago, Molina spent as much time at other positions as behind the plate, due to questions about his defense. He’s turned himself into a fair catcher; he hasn’t hit since Double-A, though, and the last thing the Angels need is another offensive problem in the lineup. The team was very impressed with him in September, particularly his glove. He’ll have at least a share of the catching job.

1999

By paying more than about $400,000 for their catchers this year, the Angels have made a mistake. Hemphill and Molina could step in and be an effective, cheap platoon until Dewey is ready. You'll hear a lot of nonsense about the "veteran presence" a warmed-over out like Matt Walbeck supposedly provides, but when your rotation is older than dirt (Chuck Finley, Ken Hill, expected FA signing), how much presence do you need? Ask Finley, who is notorious for his lack of run support, what he'd rather have: presence or runs. Molina's probably stretched as an everyday catcher; as a platoon partner, he would be a nice surprise.

1998

Molina hasn’t gotten much notice, but is another Angel catching prospect. Started the year hurt, played moderately well at Lake Elsinore, and was called up to Midland to help when good-field, OK-hit Bret Hemphill was injured. Crushed the ball, and was kept around to DH when Hemphill returned. Will eventually reach the majors, and should be a contributor for a few years.


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