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Damian Miller
Milwaukee Brewers [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 38
6' 3"
220 lbs.

Player Profile

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 MIL MJ 431 50 25 1 9 43 37 94 0 1 -0.1 .273 .340 .413 .025 .268 .336 .416 .262 17.0 103-C 0 3.9
2006 MIL MJ 376 34 28 0 6 38 33 86 0 0 -1.0 .251 .322 .390 -.089 .248 .320 .390 .250 2.0 95-C -1 3.0
2007 MIL MJ 206 19 9 0 4 24 14 39 1 0 0.3 .237 .296 .349 -.192 .238 .301 .351 .232 -1.3 50-C 4 1.9


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 2:05 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 217 28 12 0 6 26 18 43 1 1 -0.6 .271 .335 .430 -.024 .271 .333 .433 .261 7.6 54-C 0 2.0
75o 202 22 10 0 5 23 16 41 1 1 -0.5 .249 .313 .387 -.136 .249 .310 .390 .240 1.8 51-C -1 1.4
60o 191 18 9 0 4 21 15 39 1 0 -0.5 .233 .295 .355 -.221 .233 .293 .357 .223 -2.1 49-C -1 1.0
50o 184 16 8 0 3 20 14 38 1 0 -0.4 .223 .285 .335 -.272 .222 .283 .337 .212 -4.2 47-C -1 0.8
40o 177 14 7 0 3 18 13 37 1 0 -0.4 .214 .276 .318 -.316 .214 .274 .320 .202 -5.9 45-C -1 0.6
25o 146 8 4 0 2 13 10 32 0 0 -0.3 .179 .240 .250 -.490 .179 .238 .252 .157 -10.8 39-C -1 0.0
10o 55 1 1 0 0 3 3 13 0 0 -0.1 .119 .179 .133 -.782 .119 .177 .134 .022 -7.8 18-C -1 -0.2
Weighted Mean 155 12 6 0 3 17 12 32 1 0 -0.4 .219 .282 .329 -.289 .219 .280 .331 .207 -2.7 41-C 0 1.2

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

5%

15%

63%

60%

1.42

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 38) 155 12 6 0 3 17 12 32 1 0 -0.4 .219 .282 .329 -.289 .219 .280 .331 .207 -2.7 41-C 0 1.2
2009 (age 39) 114 8 5 0 2 12 9 26 0 0 -0.2 .230 .300 .348 -.223 .227 .293 .344 .222 -0.7 31-C -2 0.3
2010 (age 40)
-- out of baseball --
2011 (age 41)
-- out of baseball --
2012 (age 42)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 43)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 44)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .234 .302 .354
vs RHP .215 .274 .317
Split +.019 +.028 +.038
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 -0.2 1.4 1.2 $1,275,000 -3.4 1.3
2009 0.0 0.3 0.3 $525,000 -1.7 0.5
2010 0.1 0.2 0.2 $550,000 0.5 0.9
2011 0.0 0.1 0.1 $525,000 0.4 0.4
2012 0.0 0.0 0.0 $425,000 0.0 0.0
2013 0.0 0.0 0.0 $425,000 0.0 0.0
2014 0.0 0.0 0.0 $450,000 0.0 0.0
Peak 1.9 $1,225,000 0.8 3.1


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .240 .212 .157 .207
2009 .245 .229 .178 .222
2010
-- out of baseball --
2011
-- out of baseball --
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 60% 0% 5%
2009 94% 50% 3%
2010 95% 84% 6%
2011 96% 93% 1%
2012 100% 93% 0%
2013 100% 99% 0%
2014 100% 100% 0%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

28

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong!
Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Elston Howard 1992 40 11 Todd Pratt 2003 33
2 Tony Pena 1979 36 12 Bill Baker 1971 33
3 Joe Girardi 1981 36 13 Brian Jordan 1982 33
4 Jim Hegan 1970 36 14 Ray Mueller 1960 33
5 Charlie O'Brien 1973 35 15 Walt Dropo 2007 32
6 Bob Boone 1992 35 16 Tom Prince 1975 32
7 Sandy Alomar 1975 34 17 Tom Lampkin 1969 32
8 Lance Parrish 1975 34 18 Birdie Tebbetts 2000 31
9 Sherm Lollar 1957 34 19 Bill Robinson 1979 30
10 Ron Hassey 1998 33 20 Gary Carter 2005 30

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

Miller exercised his player option to return to Milwaukee just a few weeks before the Brewers traded for Johnny Estrada, which relegated Miller to reserve status right quick. If they so choose, the Brewers can put out a reasonably productive tandem, but the real advantage to having a pair like this is that if the team is out of it by the end of July, they can deal one to a contender without having to start Mike Rivera or J.D. Closser.

2006

The Brewers like to sign Wisconsin boys when possible, on the off chance that the inspiring example of a cheesehead made good might get a busload or two of fans in from Prairie du Chien or Egg Harbor on some summer night.? Miller isn`t a world-beater, but he isn`t killing the Brewers?yet. But at his age, a complete breakdown becomes a very real risk, and behind him, they`ve got nothing.

2005

In a world predisposed to overcompensate guys like Mike Matheny or Brad Ausmus, there's something nice about seeing Miller cash in, even if it has to be with the Brewers. He's a more useful version than either one, yet still not a bargain at three years, $8.75 million guaranteed.

2002

Miller’s stats dipped slightly as he played much of the year in pain from two injuries, a nagging rotator-cuff strain and a slight tear in an Achilles' tendon. Despite that, he remained above replacement level at the plate. His glove work is just adequate, not as special as the Snakes believe it is. Miller has been a good value up to now; given his age and quality, the Snakes should probably non-tender him before he gets too expensive.

2001

What does Damian Miller have to do to get respect? He threw out 40% of basestealers, has made big strides as a receiver, and can hit enough to be an asset at the bottom of the order. Yet more ink gets shed on guys like Henry Blanco or Joe Girardi, who can’t hit and who get granted defensive reputations. Miller isn't an All-Star or even a latter-day Don Slaught; he's just a good catcher, especially for a team spending lots of money in other places.

2000

Miller is a reliable backstop who won’t win any awards. His stick isn’t terrible, and other teams certainly sport catchers with less offensive potential. The Diamondbacks would be making a mistake giving Miller the first crack at the job in 2000, but he’ll keep a roster spot warm until Barajas is finished with Tucson.

1999

Cemented a nice little six-year career as a backup catcher with his 1998. Getting established is the hard thing; once you do that, you acquire the label "major leaguer" and get jobs based on that, irrespective of performance. Miller's a serviceable backup catcher who shouldn't be extended beyond that role.

1998

His age lies about midway between Terry Steinbach’s and Javier Valentin’s. By the time Steiny is ready to retire, Valentin will be ready to take his place. That doesn’t leave much opportunity for Miller, a poor hitter in any event. His Catcher ERA in limited appearances with the Twins last season was almost a run lower than Steinbach’s. Taken in the Expansion Draft by Arizona, he’s in the backup catcher mix.

1997

Miller isn’t a prospect, but as a catcher in an organization dealing with the Curse of Walbeck, he could wind up with playing time. Durant received and flubbed his opportunity, so if the Twins don’t sign Terry Steinbach, Miller has a chance.


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