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Adam Melhuse
Texas Rangers [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats B
Age 37
6' 2"
210 lbs.

Player Profile

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 OAK MLB 139 10 8 0 4 18 9 34 0 1 -1.8 .219 .273 .375 -.240 .213 .273 .378 .222 -3.9 22-C 2 0.0
2007 TEX MLB 73 6 3 0 1 7 3 18 0 0 0.3 .206 .250 .294 -.397 .206 .250 .294 .185 -3.9 14-C -3 -0.7
2007 OAK MLB 30 2 1 0 0 2 4 8 0 0 -0.1 .231 .333 .269 -.257 .231 .333 .269 .221 -0.4 7-C 1 0.1
2008 TRI A- 15 1 1 0 0 1 2 5 0 0 -0.1 .083 .267 .167 -.865 .071 .133 .143 .000 -5.6 -0.4
2008 CSP AAA 107 14 7 0 3 16 15 22 0 0 -1.8 .311 .411 .489 -.281 .204 .299 .312 .219 -4.8 15-C -1 5-1B 0 -0.3
2008 TEX MLB 22 1 0 0 0 1 2 11 0 0 0.0 .200 .273 .200 -.476 .200 .273 .200 .159 -1.6 5-C 0 0.0
2008 COL MLB 10 2 1 0 0 1 0 4 0 0 0.0 .100 .100 .200 -.853 .100 .100 .200 .000 -1.5 -0.2


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 11:55 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 208 25 10 0 6 23 18 63 0 0 -1.2 .257 .325 .418 -.064 .253 .323 .423 .260 4.4 52-C -2 1.1
75o 192 17 8 0 4 19 16 60 0 0 -1.1 .217 .284 .337 -.269 .214 .283 .341 .218 -5.1 49-C -2 0.2
60o 189 16 8 0 4 18 15 59 0 0 -1.0 .211 .277 .324 -.304 .207 .276 .328 .210 -6.5 48-C -2 0.0
50o 183 13 7 0 3 17 14 58 0 0 -1.0 .198 .264 .298 -.367 .195 .263 .302 .195 -9.0 47-C -2 -0.3
40o 180 12 7 1 2 16 14 57 0 0 -0.9 .191 .257 .284 -.404 .188 .255 .287 .185 -10.4 46-C -2 -0.4
25o 150 6 4 1 0 10 10 50 0 0 -0.7 .150 .214 .200 -.613 .148 .212 .202 .107 -15.9 39-C -2 -1.2
10o 118 3 3 0 0 5 8 41 0 0 -0.5 .128 .190 .154 -.724 .126 .189 .156 .025 -15.5 32-C -2 -1.2
Weighted Mean 152 9 6 0 2 14 12 48 0 0 -0.9 .189 .255 .280 -.382 .186 .254 .283 .182 -10.1 40-C -2 -0.3

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

44%

58%

30%

58%

0.98

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 37) 152 9 6 0 2 14 12 48 0 0 -0.9 .189 .255 .280 -.382 .186 .254 .283 .182 -10.1 40-C -2 -0.3
2010 (age 38) 199 15 9 1 2 16 16 66 0 0 -0.4 .195 .265 .290 -.366 .195 .267 .296 .191 -4.3 50-C -2 0.0
2011 (age 39)
-- out of baseball --
2012 (age 40)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 41)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 42)
-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 43)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .185 .248 .279
vs RHP .190 .257 .280
Split -.005 -.009 -.002
LgAvg +.004 -.004 +.007

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 -8.9 -2.0 -0.3 $400,000 -10.0 0.2
2010 -10.1 -2.0 0.0 $400,000 -4.2 0.2
2011
-- out of baseball --
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --
Peak 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .218 .195 .107 .182
2010 .239 .211 .141 .191
2011
-- out of baseball --
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 58% 0% 44%
2010 75% 60% 27%
2011 88% 77% 24%
2012 96% 92% 16%
2013 96% 96% 11%
2014 96% 96% 6%
2015 100% 96% 3%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

18

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Razor Shines 1993 49 11 Mark Parent 1998 27
2 Ron Tingley 1996 40 12 Jim Sundberg 1988 27
3 Jim Leyritz 2001 39 13 Pat Borders 2000 27
4 Mike DiFelice 2006 36 14 Tom Prince 2001 25
5 Bob Jones 1987 35 15 Bob Swift 1952 22
6 Dave Hollins 2003 33 16 Sal Butera 1989 21
7 Del Rice 1960 32 17 Tony Pena 1994 21
8 Kelly Stinnett 2007 31 18 Rene Gonzales 1997 20
9 Alberto Castillo 2007 30 19 Jose Offerman 2006 19
10 Steve Yeager 1986 29 20 Woodie Held 1969 19

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

Melhuse has only been kicking around the bigs since 2000, so it`s a bit shocking to realize he`ll be 35 when Opening Day rolls around. That`s because he didn`t make it to the Show until he was 28. Because of those 11 homers Melhuse popped as a part-timer in 2004, he gives the frisson of being a bit better than he is. He does have good power for a catcher, but you can`t play five games per week with a sub-.300 OBP unless you`re a defensive wiz--and that`s not Melhuse.

2006

Melhuse has hit the age where he`s no longer likely to qualify as a premium backup catcher. Ordinarily, that would be about as important as buying the name-brand paper towels, but there`s a chance that Jason Kendall`s offense will descend from unpleasant to unplayable this season. We`d be tempted to hedge our bets by adding a Craig Wilson or Matt LeCroy type to the roster. Actually, are there any players of that `type` except for Wilson and LeCroy?

2005

A backup catcher in the old Earl Weaver sense of the word, a guy you insert into the lineup to get some offense, and a good alternative to a catch-and-throw type who isn't hopeless at the plate. No, not Ellie Hendricks or Dave Skaggs; more like Dan Graham or Joe Nolan, as alternatives to Rick Dempsey. A handy bench player, Melhuse is unfortunately older than you might think now that he's here, and with Kendall in town, he won't be getting 257 at-bats.


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