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Adam Melhuse
Texas Rangers [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats B
Age 36
6' 2"
210 lbs.

Player Profile

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Rangers Depth Chart (updated: 04-24)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
C 9 Adam Melhuse 10 61 .206 3 0 5 0 .257 .302 -3.1
1   2008 Total 10 61 .206 3 0 5 0 .257 .302 -3.1

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 OAK MJ 102 11 7 0 2 12 5 28 0 0 1.1 .247 .284 .381 -.154 .250 .301 .406 .242 0.0 18-C 0 0.5
2006 OAK MJ 139 10 8 0 4 18 9 34 0 1 -1.2 .219 .273 .375 -.246 .220 .281 .386 .227 -4.3 22-C 2 0.7
2007 SAC 3A 8 0 2 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0.0 .375 .375 .625 .553 .125 .125 .375 .000 -1.0 0.0
2007 TEX MJ 73 6 3 0 1 7 3 18 0 0 0.4 .206 .250 .294 -.389 .206 .260 .294 .191 -4.0 14-C -3 0.1
2007 OAK MJ 30 2 1 0 0 2 4 8 0 0 -0.1 .231 .333 .269 -.240 .231 .333 .269 .221 -0.5 0.0


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 1:58 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 75 9 4 0 2 9 6 19 0 0 -0.2 .250 .312 .401 -.091 .247 .312 .411 .253 0.9 23-C -3 0.3
75o 70 7 4 0 1 8 5 19 0 0 -0.2 .232 .290 .361 -.194 .229 .289 .370 .231 -0.9 21-C -3 0.2
60o 65 5 3 0 1 7 4 18 0 0 -0.2 .215 .268 .322 -.292 .213 .268 .331 .208 -2.4 20-C -3 0.0
50o 64 5 3 0 1 7 4 18 0 0 -0.2 .211 .263 .313 -.316 .209 .263 .321 .202 -2.7 20-C -3 0.0
40o 59 4 2 0 1 6 3 17 0 0 -0.1 .198 .245 .283 -.393 .196 .245 .290 .181 -3.6 19-C -3 0.0
25o 25 1 1 0 0 1 1 8 0 0 0.0 .161 .195 .200 -.610 .159 .195 .205 .027 -2.8 11-C -1 0.0
10o 25 1 1 0 0 1 1 8 0 0 0.0 .161 .195 .200 -.610 .159 .195 .205 .027 -2.8 11-C -1 0.0
Weighted Mean 43 3 2 0 1 4 3 12 0 0 -0.1 .206 .257 .302 -.344 .204 .256 .310 .195 -2.1 15-C -1 0.3

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

27%

38%

50%

63%

1.18

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 36) 43 3 2 0 1 4 3 12 0 0 -0.1 .206 .257 .302 -.344 .204 .256 .310 .195 -2.1 15-C -1 0.3
2009 (age 37) 54 4 2 0 1 5 4 14 0 0 -0.1 .207 .265 .303 -.326 .208 .270 .317 .199 -1.1 18-C -3 0.0
2010 (age 38)
-- out of baseball --
2011 (age 39)
-- out of baseball --
2012 (age 40)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 41)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 42)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .204 .250 .308
vs RHP .207 .259 .300
Split -.003 -.008 +.008
LgAvg +.004 -.004 +.007

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.0 0.4 0.3 $500,000 -2.7 0.2
2009 0.0 0.1 0.0 $400,000 -1.5 0.0
2010 0.0 0.1 0.1 $400,000 -0.6 0.0
2011 0.0 0.0 0.0 $400,000 -0.5 0.0
2012 0.0 0.0 0.0 $425,000 0.0 0.0
2013 0.0 0.0 0.0 $450,000 0.0 0.0
2014 0.0 0.0 0.0 $450,000 -0.3 0.0
Peak 0.4 $125,000 0.0 0.3


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .231 .202 .027 .195
2009 .249 .155 .072 .199
2010
-- out of baseball --
2011
-- out of baseball --
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 63% 0% 27%
2009 85% 62% 14%
2010 93% 68% 15%
2011 99% 80% 8%
2012 100% 90% 3%
2013 100% 95% 3%
2014 100% 95% 1%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

23

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong!
Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Tim Laker 1992 40 11 Sal Butera 2003 33
2 Jeff Newman 1979 36 12 Kelly Stinnett 1971 33
3 Phil Roof 1981 36 13 Danny Sheaffer 1982 33
4 Del Rice 1970 36 14 John Mabry 1960 33
5 Mike Difelice 1973 35 15 Tom Pagnozzi 2007 32
6 Pat Borders 1992 35 16 Steve Lake 1975 32
7 Ron Tingley 1975 34 17 Mickey Livingston 1969 32
8 Chad Kreuter 1975 34 18 Bill Haselman 2000 31
9 Sal Fasano 1957 34 19 Doug Mirabelli 1979 30
10 Keith Osik 1998 33 20 Chris Cannizzaro 2005 30

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

Melhuse has only been kicking around the bigs since 2000, so it`s a bit shocking to realize he`ll be 35 when Opening Day rolls around. That`s because he didn`t make it to the Show until he was 28. Because of those 11 homers Melhuse popped as a part-timer in 2004, he gives the frisson of being a bit better than he is. He does have good power for a catcher, but you can`t play five games per week with a sub-.300 OBP unless you`re a defensive wiz--and that`s not Melhuse.

2006

Melhuse has hit the age where he`s no longer likely to qualify as a premium backup catcher. Ordinarily, that would be about as important as buying the name-brand paper towels, but there`s a chance that Jason Kendall`s offense will descend from unpleasant to unplayable this season. We`d be tempted to hedge our bets by adding a Craig Wilson or Matt LeCroy type to the roster. Actually, are there any players of that `type` except for Wilson and LeCroy?

2005

A backup catcher in the old Earl Weaver sense of the word, a guy you insert into the lineup to get some offense, and a good alternative to a catch-and-throw type who isn't hopeless at the plate. No, not Ellie Hendricks or Dave Skaggs; more like Dan Graham or Joe Nolan, as alternatives to Rick Dempsey. A handy bench player, Melhuse is unfortunately older than you might think now that he's here, and with Kendall in town, he won't be getting 257 at-bats.


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