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Brian McCann
Atlanta Braves [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats L
Age 24
6' 3"
210 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
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Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Braves Depth Chart (updated: 04-24)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
C 6 Brian McCann 80 545 .282 64 19 78 3 .345 .472 29.8
1   2008 Total 80 545 .282 64 19 78 3 .345 .472 29.8

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 MIS 2A 198 27 13 2 6 26 25 26 2 3 -0.2 .265 .359 .476 .176 .234 .313 .415 .253 3.5 43-C 1 1.5
2005 ATL MJ 204 20 7 0 5 23 18 26 1 1 -1.8 .278 .345 .400 .016 .271 .342 .398 .259 7.6 50-C -2 1.7
2006 ROM 1B 8 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0.0 .286 .375 .286 .008 .286 .375 .286 .246 0.0 0.0
2006 ATL MJ 492 61 34 0 24 93 41 54 2 0 -4.7 .333 .388 .572 .362 .332 .388 .575 .321 54.8 114-C -1 7.3
2007 ATL MJ 552 51 38 0 18 92 35 74 0 1 -3.7 .270 .320 .452 .024 .273 .325 .468 .270 22.8 127-C -1 5.3


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 1:54 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 523 75 35 1 24 92 48 66 4 2 -1.9 .314 .380 .548 .248 .312 .377 .559 .309 52.3 123-C 0 7.2
75o 503 63 32 1 20 80 44 64 3 1 -1.8 .295 .359 .503 .137 .293 .357 .514 .291 37.2 119-C 0 6.0
60o 491 57 30 1 18 73 41 63 3 1 -1.7 .285 .348 .479 .075 .282 .346 .488 .280 29.2 116-C 1 5.3
50o 484 54 29 1 17 69 40 63 3 1 -1.6 .278 .341 .464 .038 .276 .339 .473 .274 24.6 114-C 1 4.9
40o 478 51 28 1 16 66 39 62 3 1 -1.6 .273 .336 .452 .009 .271 .333 .461 .269 21.1 113-C 1 4.7
25o 462 44 25 1 13 58 36 61 2 1 -1.5 .260 .321 .420 -.070 .258 .318 .429 .254 11.7 109-C 1 3.9
10o 448 39 23 1 11 51 33 59 2 1 -1.4 .248 .308 .394 -.137 .246 .306 .402 .241 4.4 106-C 1 3.2
Weighted Mean 540 65 32 1 19 79 45 70 3 2 -1.6 .282 .345 .472 .059 .279 .342 .482 .275 30.0 127-C 1 5.2

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

13%

36%

28%

11%

0.81

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 24) 540 65 32 1 19 79 45 70 3 2 -1.6 .282 .345 .472 .059 .279 .342 .482 .275 30.0 127-C 1 5.2
2009 (age 25) 563 73 33 1 21 88 49 69 3 2 -1.7 .290 .356 .489 .105 .283 .348 .489 .283 32.4 132-C 1 5.5
2010 (age 26) 554 73 34 1 21 87 49 66 3 2 -1.7 .295 .362 .497 .132 .288 .354 .498 .288 35.1 130-C 1 5.7
2011 (age 27) 526 65 32 1 20 81 46 63 3 1 -1.7 .288 .353 .487 .098 .282 .345 .488 .282 30.6 124-C 0 5.2
2012 (age 28) 480 57 28 1 19 75 44 58 3 1 -1.5 .283 .353 .485 .090 .276 .345 .486 .281 27.2 113-C -2 4.5
2013 (age 29) 483 57 28 1 19 75 46 59 3 1 -1.5 .284 .354 .483 .090 .277 .346 .484 .281 26.8 114-C -3 4.5
2014 (age 30) 481 58 27 1 19 77 43 57 3 1 -1.4 .295 .359 .496 .125 .288 .351 .496 .287 26.5 114-C -3 4.3

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .259 .318 .438
vs RHP .291 .360 .507
Split -.033 -.041 -.069
LgAvg -.035 -.040 -.079

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 2.3 2.9 5.2 $12,275,000 27.1 34.4
2009 2.8 2.6 5.5 $14,250,000 29.5 42.6
2010 3.0 2.6 5.7 $16,375,000 32.4 47.4
2011 2.7 2.5 5.2 $15,250,000 27.0 38.1
2012 2.4 2.1 4.5 $13,600,000 22.0 30.6
2013 2.4 2.1 4.5 $14,475,000 21.9 32.9
2014 2.3 2.0 4.3 $15,250,000 22.5 33.1
Peak 30.5 $69,400,000 160.0 226.0


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .291 .274 .254 .275
2009 .306 .282 .265 .283
2010 .313 .289 .271 .288
2011 .304 .283 .261 .282
2012 .298 .281 .261 .281
2013 .301 .280 .261 .281
2014 .308 .287 .266 .287


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 11% 0% 13%
2009 16% 1% 20%
2010 14% 5% 26%
2011 16% 5% 15%
2012 23% 3% 19%
2013 20% 6% 19%
2014 37% 16% 22%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

44

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong!
Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Ed Herrmann 1992 40 11 Gary Carter 2003 33
2 Matt Nokes 1979 36 12 Brad Fullmer 1971 33
3 Del Crandall 1981 36 13 Ed Kranepool 1982 33
4 Ray Fosse 1970 36 14 Tim McCarver 1960 33
5 Dave Nilsson 1973 35 15 Clay Dalrymple 2007 32
6 Earl Williams 1992 35 16 Joe Torre 1975 32
7 Johnny Bench 1975 34 17 B.J. Surhoff 1969 32
8 Justin Morneau 1975 34 18 Paul Konerko 2000 31
9 Bill Freehan 1957 34 19 Ted Simmons 1979 30
10 Milt May 1998 33 20 Mike Scioscia 2005 30

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

Most of 2005`s `Baby Braves` entered their terrible twos in 2006, but McCann was the gifted child, already annotating his leatherbound copy of Hop on Pop. He finished second to Joe Mauer in VORP among major league catchers; the two of them will vie for the top of the charts as long as they each remain behind the plate. McCann added some lift to his swing in 2006, pulling on more pitches and raising his line drive and fly ball rates to the level of other star major league hitters. Given his offensive profile, his .338 BABIP is not a fluke. As long as the power spike holds, he may become the Braves` most valuable property.

2006

When injuries claimed both Estrada and Perez, McCann got called up and never looked back. He homered in his second game, and made such an impression on starter John Smoltz that he soon became his personal catcher. By August he was carrying the bulk of the catching load and drawing high marks for handling a staff in flux all season and holding his own with the stick. Though he didn`t flash a lot of it at the major-league level, he`s got plenty of power, as anybody who tuned into the Division Series--when he homered twice--could tell you. The surprise was his plate discipline; between Mississippi and Atlanta, he drew an unintentional walk for every 9.9 at-bats, compared to once every 15.4 coming into the year. The Braves liked what they saw and dealt Estrada, so the job is McCann`s to lose.

2005

McCann mans a key position and boasts a light-tower stroke. Normally, we'd be higher on a guy who slugs nearly .500 in Myrtle Beach at age 20, but there's cause for dampened enthusiasm. First, it's highly doubtful he'll stick at catcher; Jarrod Saltalamacchia is ahead of him on the depth charts, and the Braves privately don't care for McCann's defense. Second, his swing is long, his bat is a bit on the slow side, and he has sub-optimal plate discipline. In other words, it'll be surprising if those power numbers hold up at the higher levels.


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