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Jeff Mathis
Anaheim Angels [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 25
6'
200 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
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Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Angels Depth Chart (updated: 04-24)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
C 8 Jeff Mathis 30 191 .238 18 4 22 1 .295 .376 0.3
1   2008 Total 30 191 .238 18 4 22 1 .295 .376 0.3

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 SLC 3A 479 78 26 3 21 73 42 85 4 3 2.5 .276 .340 .499 .003 .232 .291 .409 .240 1.2 94-C 1 2.9
2005 ANA MJ 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0.1 .333 .333 .333 -.056 .333 .333 .333 .232 0.0 0.0
2006 SLC 3A 417 62 33 3 5 45 26 75 3 1 2.4 .289 .333 .430 -.029 .251 .293 .380 .234 -1.5 83-C 2 2.1
2006 ANA MJ 63 9 2 0 2 6 7 14 0 0 -0.1 .145 .238 .291 -.463 .148 .254 .296 .195 -4.7 15-C -3 0.1
2007 SLC 3A 273 39 14 2 5 26 17 45 3 1 1.7 .244 .295 .376 -.257 .210 .264 .329 .206 -12.2 58-C 6 1.3
2007 ANA MJ 195 24 12 0 4 23 15 49 0 1 -0.4 .211 .276 .351 -.237 .212 .285 .371 .230 -3.6 53-C 0 1.3


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 1:43 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 439 59 28 2 12 55 35 86 4 2 0.5 .275 .338 .446 .031 .272 .338 .466 .280 20.9 104-C 1 4.4
75o 413 48 24 1 10 49 31 82 4 2 0.4 .257 .317 .411 -.064 .254 .317 .430 .262 10.2 98-C 0 3.4
60o 398 43 22 1 9 46 28 80 4 2 0.4 .247 .305 .392 -.117 .244 .305 .410 .251 4.7 95-C 0 2.8
50o 377 36 20 1 8 42 25 77 3 2 0.4 .234 .290 .367 -.184 .231 .289 .384 .237 -1.7 90-C 0 2.1
40o 366 33 19 1 7 40 24 75 3 2 0.4 .227 .281 .354 -.220 .225 .281 .370 .230 -4.8 88-C -1 1.8
25o 339 26 16 1 6 35 20 71 3 1 0.3 .211 .263 .324 -.301 .209 .262 .339 .211 -11.1 82-C -1 1.1
10o 258 13 10 0 3 21 12 56 2 1 0.2 .173 .216 .253 -.498 .172 .216 .264 .155 -20.8 64-C -2 -0.4
Weighted Mean 372 36 20 1 8 43 25 75 3 2 0.4 .238 .295 .376 -.161 .236 .295 .393 .242 0.7 89-C 1 3.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

46%

66%

21%

34%

1.11

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 25) 372 36 20 1 8 43 25 75 3 2 0.4 .238 .295 .376 -.161 .236 .295 .393 .242 0.7 89-C 1 3.0
2009 (age 26) 382 38 20 1 8 44 28 77 3 1 0.3 .236 .296 .372 -.166 .237 .300 .396 .241 0.0 92-C 2 2.4
2010 (age 27) 401 42 21 1 10 45 31 80 3 2 0.3 .238 .301 .381 -.144 .239 .306 .405 .246 1.8 96-C -1 2.4
2011 (age 28) 320 30 18 1 8 38 24 63 2 1 0.2 .238 .297 .383 -.148 .239 .302 .408 .244 1.2 78-C -2 2.1
2012 (age 29) 295 26 16 1 7 35 21 56 2 1 0.2 .238 .296 .378 -.156 .239 .300 .402 .243 0.6 72-C -2 1.7
2013 (age 30) 321 31 17 1 8 40 23 60 3 1 0.2 .243 .301 .387 -.134 .244 .305 .411 .248 2.0 78-C -1 1.9
2014 (age 31) 301 26 16 1 7 35 22 58 2 1 0.1 .230 .290 .366 -.187 .232 .295 .389 .237 -0.8 73-C -4 1.4

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .253 .314 .402
vs RHP .234 .287 .361
Split +.020 +.027 +.041
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.5 2.5 3.0 $4,575,000 4.5 7.8
2009 0.4 2.0 2.4 $3,850,000 4.5 10.2
2010 0.6 1.8 2.4 $4,050,000 4.1 9.8
2011 0.5 1.6 2.1 $3,575,000 3.8 8.8
2012 0.4 1.3 1.7 $2,775,000 1.8 5.7
2013 0.5 1.4 1.9 $4,100,000 4.8 8.8
2014 0.2 1.1 1.4 $2,125,000 -0.8 4.3
Peak 13.6 $17,225,000 23.5 51.1


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .262 .237 .211 .242
2009 .252 .230 .205 .241
2010 .258 .237 .216 .246
2011 .257 .231 .203 .244
2012 .255 .233 .201 .243
2013 .266 .245 .190 .248
2014 .259 .223 .190 .237


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 34% 0% 46%
2009 35% 9% 41%
2010 42% 13% 44%
2011 52% 18% 40%
2012 53% 20% 39%
2013 60% 30% 41%
2014 67% 40% 25%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

60

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong!
Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Gil Hodges 1992 40 11 Jerry Grote 2003 33
2 Andy Etchebarren 1979 36 12 Frank House 1971 33
3 Randy Hundley 1981 36 13 Jimmie Coker 1982 33
4 Eli Marrero 1970 36 14 Ben Petrick 1960 33
5 A.J. Hinch 1973 35 15 Javi Herrera 2007 32
6 Giuseppe Chiaramonte 1992 35 16 Johnny Edwards 1975 32
7 Mike Durant 1975 34 17 Bob Melvin 1969 32
8 Tommy Davis 1975 34 18 Todd Hundley 2000 31
9 John Stearns 1957 34 19 Bill Freehan 1979 30
10 Tagg Bozied 1998 33 20 Jack Fimple 2005 30

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

The Angels expected Mathis to be their catcher by now, and gave him every opportunity last April to make the job his own. It`s hard to see why they wouldn`t rather have him in, say, Seattle. Although he`s a smooth receiver, he`s not a great arm behind the plate, and his track record as a hitter is just so much Salt Lake froth. Although young, he`s just not going to develop into anything more than a nice reserve.

2006

You might think that Mathis followed up a disastrous 2004 with a solid 2005, but his offensive numbers were inflated by one of the PCL`s most hitter-friendly ballparks. Still, he recovered some of his power stroke, and some think he has reestablished himself as one of the best catching prospects in the game. This says as much about the organization`s lack of alternatives as it does about his upside. His defensive reputation remains strong, though not so much for throwing out runners as for athleticism and mobility behind the plate.

2005

That loud noise you heard was Jeff Mathis' super-prospect status imploding. Mathis got off to a hot start, then crashed hard. There was no injury. His bat simply disappeared without paying its bar tab or leaving a forwarding address. The cause is less important now than the future: Does the still-youthful Mathis re-establish himself or does he stagnate? He was extremely young for Double-A, and there's a tendency to exaggerate the effect of the most recent season on any player's record, so you can count on some rebound. He'll get plenty of time to prove himself; it's way too early to write Mathis off.


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