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Lou Marson
Philadelphia Phillies [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 23
6' 1"
200 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
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Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 LWD A 410 44 16 5 4 39 49 82 4 0 -1.5 .243 .343 .351 -.381 .196 .270 .280 .193 -31.3 100-C 1 -0.9
2007 CLR A+ 457 68 24 1 7 63 52 80 3 1 -0.1 .288 .373 .407 -.168 .241 .318 .357 .240 -6.6 106-C -1 1.1
2008 REA AA 395 55 18 0 5 46 68 70 3 3 1.4 .314 .433 .416 .049 .286 .397 .392 .284 18.9 85-C -2 2.7


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 10:23 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 523 74 27 2 11 54 67 104 5 2 -0.2 .284 .380 .428 .073 .285 .380 .434 .286 29.8 123-C 1 4.9
75o 505 66 25 2 10 50 62 102 5 2 -0.2 .274 .367 .408 .017 .274 .367 .414 .275 22.2 119-C 1 4.1
60o 484 58 23 1 9 46 57 100 4 2 -0.1 .262 .352 .385 -.048 .262 .352 .391 .263 13.8 114-C 1 3.3
50o 476 55 22 1 8 44 55 99 4 2 -0.1 .258 .346 .377 -.073 .258 .347 .382 .258 10.9 113-C 1 3.0
40o 464 50 21 1 8 42 52 98 4 2 -0.1 .251 .338 .364 -.108 .251 .338 .370 .251 6.8 110-C 1 2.5
25o 437 42 18 1 6 37 46 94 3 2 -0.1 .237 .320 .337 -.185 .237 .320 .342 .234 -1.5 104-C 0 1.6
10o 410 34 16 1 5 32 40 91 3 2 -0.1 .224 .303 .313 -.256 .224 .303 .318 .219 -8.2 98-C 0 0.9
Weighted Mean 505 59 23 1 9 46 58 105 4 2 -0.1 .257 .345 .375 -.072 .257 .346 .381 .256 12.8 119-C 0 3.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

29%

59%

23%

8%

0.94

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 23) 505 59 23 1 9 46 58 105 4 2 -0.1 .257 .345 .375 -.072 .257 .346 .381 .256 12.8 119-C 0 3.0
2010 (age 24) 444 49 19 1 9 43 49 92 4 2 -0.1 .256 .342 .381 -.094 .253 .337 .381 .256 8.6 105-C 0 2.5
2011 (age 25) 433 47 18 1 9 41 48 87 3 2 0.0 .255 .342 .375 -.102 .251 .337 .376 .255 7.0 103-C 1 2.2
2012 (age 26) 420 47 17 1 8 40 51 84 3 2 0.0 .259 .352 .382 -.072 .256 .348 .383 .261 7.2 100-C -4 1.7
2013 (age 27) 411 47 17 1 9 40 50 78 3 2 0.1 .262 .357 .392 -.048 .259 .353 .392 .266 7.1 98-C 1 1.7
2014 (age 28) 424 45 18 1 9 41 48 85 3 1 0.1 .248 .336 .373 -.120 .244 .332 .373 .251 3.5 101-C -1 1.4
2015 (age 29) 394 41 16 1 9 38 45 82 3 1 0.1 .249 .337 .376 -.112 .246 .333 .377 .253 3.7 94-C 0 1.2

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .272 .363 .402
vs RHP .252 .336 .361
Split +.021 +.027 +.041
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 10.1 0.0 3.0 $4,350,000 13.0 14.1
2010 9.1 0.0 2.5 $3,500,000 8.6 14.0
2011 8.1 1.0 2.2 $3,325,000 7.6 12.5
2012 10.8 -4.0 1.7 $2,825,000 6.1 8.4
2013 12.5 1.0 1.7 $3,375,000 7.8 13.5
2014 6.4 -1.0 1.4 $2,650,000 4.3 9.5
2015 6.7 0.0 1.2 $2,600,000 3.8 9.1
Peak 12.4 $14,550,000 47.4 72.0


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .275 .258 .234 .256
2010 .271 .255 .233 .256
2011 .275 .254 .229 .255
2012 .281 .261 .242 .261
2013 .294 .269 .229 .266
2014 .275 .250 .222 .251
2015 .282 .248 .214 .253


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 8% 0% 29%
2010 20% 9% 22%
2011 29% 17% 25%
2012 50% 33% 33%
2013 59% 43% 35%
2014 61% 49% 26%
2015 63% 49% 25%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

45

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Russell Martin 2006 49 11 David Wiggins 1982 27
2 Jesse Levis 1991 36 12 Curtis Thigpen 2006 27
3 Phil Lombardi 1986 31 13 Justin Huber 2005 26
4 Tom Redington 1992 31 14 James Skelton 2008 25
5 Gregory Norman 1983 30 15 Glenn Borgmann 1973 25
6 Bob Henley 1996 30 16 Hector Villanueva 1987 25
7 George Kottaras 2006 29 17 Jerry Willard 1983 25
8 John Roskos 1997 28 18 Terry McGriff 1986 24
9 Chris Ashby 1997 28 19 Edgar Martinez 1986 23
10 Garrett Atkins 2002 28 20 Chuck Jackson 1986 23

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2008

"Lou Marson" just sounds like a catcher's name, a hard-nosed, bruised-knuckles catcher who runs the team from behind the plate, but even if it turns out that Marson likes cucumber sandwiches on hot days and knows all the words to "I'm Called Little Buttercup," he still has the makings of a fine major league catcher. The question is whether he will hit enough to start. The Phillies believe he will, but 2007 was the first year he showed any kind of offensive proficiency beyond the ability to draw walks. Stay tuned for early results from Double-A; if Marson keeps hitting he'll be pressing Carlos Ruiz in short order.

2007

Another contender, along with Jaramillo and Ruiz, for future Philly catching jobs, Marson only converted to catcher after being drafted--his best high school position was quarterback, but an injury cost him his chance at gridiron glory. Marson made a dramatic improvement in his K/BB ratio within the season, from 52:19 in the first half to 28:29 in the second, and, with that, he gained in average (from .210 to .267) and power (from .276 to .428). It`s that second-half kick that puts him on the radar.


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