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Donny Lucy
Chicago White Sox [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 25
6' 3"
210 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
Baseball Prospectus DT Player Card
baseball-reference Player Card

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Projected Playing Time

 White Sox Depth Chart (updated: 04-24)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
C 7 Donny Lucy 5 32 .227 3 0 3 0 .288 .340 -0.6
1   2008 Total 5 32 .227 3 0 3 0 .288 .340 -0.6

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 KAN 1B 211 25 5 0 1 22 21 41 6 3 0.0 .264 .353 .309 -.068 .209 .274 .241 .186 -16.0 47-C -4 0.1
2006 WNS 1C 381 48 17 1 7 32 33 67 12 3 1.5 .262 .341 .383 -.009 .223 .283 .332 .218 -13.1 93-C 3 2.0
2006 BIR 2A 69 2 1 0 0 3 4 15 1 0 -0.3 .283 .358 .300 .017 .258 .324 .274 .220 -1.8 12-C -3 0.2
2007 BIR 2A 326 42 17 0 6 27 30 59 13 1 -0.1 .269 .343 .390 .049 .247 .311 .365 .244 -0.3 82-C -4 2.1
2007 CHR 3A 78 5 3 0 0 3 3 25 0 0 0.4 .200 .231 .240 -.419 .187 .218 .227 .130 -8.9 19-C 1 0.0
2007 CHA MJ 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 0.0 .200 .200 .200 -.622 .200 .200 .200 .077 -1.7 0.0


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/18/08 1:27 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 433 55 21 1 10 45 34 96 11 3 0.0 .258 .322 .399 -.070 .254 .321 .403 .259 8.3 103-C -1 3.2
75o 404 44 18 1 8 39 30 94 10 3 0.0 .240 .303 .365 -.160 .237 .301 .369 .241 -0.8 96-C -2 2.3
60o 382 37 15 1 7 35 27 91 9 3 0.0 .228 .288 .341 -.224 .225 .287 .344 .227 -6.6 91-C -2 1.6
50o 372 34 14 1 7 33 25 90 9 3 0.0 .222 .282 .330 -.253 .220 .281 .333 .221 -8.9 89-C -3 1.3
40o 362 32 14 1 6 31 24 89 9 3 0.0 .217 .276 .321 -.278 .215 .275 .323 .215 -10.9 87-C -3 1.1
25o 342 27 12 1 5 28 22 86 8 2 0.0 .207 .264 .300 -.332 .205 .263 .303 .203 -14.6 82-C -3 0.6
10o 314 22 10 1 4 23 19 82 8 2 0.0 .195 .250 .276 -.397 .192 .249 .278 .186 -18.3 76-C -3 0.1
Weighted Mean 375 36 15 1 7 35 26 90 9 3 0.0 .227 .288 .340 -.228 .224 .286 .343 .226 -6.7 90-C -3 1.9

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

39%

66%

15%

17%

0.96

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 25) 375 36 15 1 7 35 26 90 9 3 0.0 .227 .288 .340 -.228 .224 .286 .343 .226 -6.7 90-C -3 1.9
2009 (age 26) 308 26 12 1 5 27 22 74 6 2 0.0 .225 .285 .328 -.250 .225 .288 .337 .220 -5.8 75-C -3 1.0
2010 (age 27) 327 30 13 1 7 31 22 73 6 2 0.0 .238 .293 .353 -.194 .238 .297 .363 .232 -2.3 79-C -3 1.2
2011 (age 28) 327 31 14 1 7 30 22 69 6 2 0.0 .241 .297 .363 -.171 .242 .301 .374 .236 -0.9 79-C -4 0.9
2012 (age 29) 301 28 12 1 6 28 21 67 6 2 0.0 .240 .299 .355 -.180 .241 .303 .365 .235 -1.1 73-C -1 1.0
2013 (age 30) 291 27 12 1 7 29 20 63 5 2 0.0 .237 .296 .369 -.168 .238 .300 .380 .238 -0.6 71-C -4 0.8
2014 (age 31) 226 18 8 1 4 20 15 48 4 1 0.0 .232 .290 .341 -.219 .233 .293 .351 .227 -1.7 56-C -3 0.7

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .242 .305 .365
vs RHP .223 .281 .327
Split +.020 +.025 +.038
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.0 2.0 1.9 $2,200,000 -6.5 2.4
2009 -0.2 1.2 1.0 $1,150,000 -6.4 1.6
2010 0.1 1.1 1.2 $1,375,000 -2.5 1.4
2011 0.1 0.8 0.9 $1,175,000 -1.2 1.4
2012 0.1 0.8 1.0 $1,275,000 -0.2 1.5
2013 0.1 0.6 0.8 $1,075,000 -1.0 1.0
2014 0.0 0.7 0.7 $1,075,000 -1.7 1.5
Peak 6.8 $5,025,000 0.0 9.3


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .241 .221 .203 .226
2009 .234 .219 .198 .220
2010 .246 .221 .203 .232
2011 .248 .225 .206 .236
2012 .258 .228 .200 .235
2013 .246 .236 .208 .238
2014 .251 .223 .194 .227


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 17% 0% 39%
2009 48% 19% 40%
2010 49% 34% 38%
2011 66% 44% 36%
2012 67% 48% 33%
2013 67% 54% 33%
2014 79% 55% 27%

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