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Gerald Laird
Detroit Tigers [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 29
6' 1"
225 lbs.

Player Profile

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Tigers Depth Chart (updated: 08-09)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
C 8 Gerald Laird 65 144 .242 18 2 13 1 .301 .359 -0.3
1   2009 Total 65 144 .242 18 2 13 1 .301 .359 -0.3

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 TEX MLB 260 46 20 1 7 22 12 54 3 1 0.0 .296 .332 .473 .006 .281 .320 .463 .267 12.6 66-C 6 2.1
2007 TEX MLB 448 48 18 3 9 47 30 103 6 2 2.1 .224 .278 .349 -.253 .220 .278 .358 .223 -6.3 112-C 10 1.4
2008 OKL AAA 17 1 0 0 0 2 1 3 0 0 0.0 .000 .176 .000 -1.073 .000 .118 .000 .000 -3.5 -0.3
2008 TEX MLB 381 54 24 0 6 41 23 63 2 4 1.2 .276 .329 .398 -.029 .280 .334 .420 .257 7.1 85-C -1 1.5


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 2:02 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 368 51 21 2 12 43 26 66 5 2 0.2 .284 .341 .465 .070 .284 .343 .480 .283 20.8 88-C 3 3.7
75o 348 43 19 2 10 39 24 64 4 2 0.2 .268 .323 .432 -.019 .268 .325 .446 .267 12.4 84-C 2 2.8
60o 337 39 17 1 9 36 22 63 4 2 0.2 .260 .313 .414 -.068 .259 .315 .427 .258 8.2 81-C 2 2.4
50o 326 35 16 1 8 34 21 61 4 2 0.2 .251 .304 .396 -.116 .251 .306 .409 .249 4.2 79-C 1 1.9
40o 315 31 15 1 7 32 19 60 3 2 0.2 .243 .294 .379 -.162 .243 .296 .391 .240 0.7 76-C 1 1.5
25o 301 27 14 1 6 29 17 58 3 2 0.2 .233 .283 .358 -.218 .233 .285 .369 .228 -3.3 73-C 1 1.0
10o 253 17 10 1 3 20 13 51 2 1 0.1 .204 .248 .296 -.383 .204 .250 .305 .189 -12.6 63-C 0 -0.2
Weighted Mean 327 35 16 1 8 35 21 61 4 2 0.2 .253 .306 .399 -.100 .253 .308 .412 .250 4.7 79-C 2 1.8

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

39%

59%

20%

31%

0.86

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 29) 327 35 16 1 8 35 21 61 4 2 0.2 .253 .306 .399 -.100 .253 .308 .412 .250 4.7 79-C 2 1.8
2010 (age 30) 311 32 15 1 8 32 21 60 3 1 0.2 .243 .300 .387 -.125 .246 .306 .404 .245 2.1 75-C 1 1.4
2011 (age 31) 265 25 13 1 6 26 19 50 2 1 0.2 .242 .302 .384 -.127 .245 .308 .401 .245 1.6 65-C 0 1.0
2012 (age 32) 237 21 12 1 5 24 16 45 2 1 0.2 .240 .299 .376 -.144 .243 .305 .393 .241 0.7 59-C 1 0.9
2013 (age 33) 257 24 13 1 6 27 17 48 2 1 0.2 .246 .300 .389 -.121 .249 .305 .406 .245 1.4 63-C -1 0.7
2014 (age 34) 244 24 12 1 6 29 16 44 2 1 0.2 .250 .308 .397 -.091 .253 .314 .415 .251 2.2 61-C 2 0.8
2015 (age 35) 255 24 12 1 5 27 18 49 2 1 0.2 .249 .308 .375 -.122 .252 .314 .392 .245 0.9 63-C 0 0.5

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .269 .326 .427
vs RHP .248 .297 .383
Split +.022 +.029 +.044
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 4.9 2.0 1.8 $2,625,000 8.1 8.4
2010 3.0 1.0 1.4 $1,975,000 4.6 7.2
2011 2.5 0.0 1.0 $1,575,000 2.7 6.3
2012 1.4 1.0 0.9 $1,550,000 2.4 5.1
2013 2.6 -1.0 0.7 $1,425,000 2.0 4.5
2014 3.9 2.0 0.8 $1,975,000 4.0 6.0
2015 2.4 0.0 0.5 $1,325,000 1.4 2.8
Peak 6.6 $7,000,000 23.9 37.6


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .267 .249 .228 .250
2010 .265 .246 .214 .245
2011 .265 .238 .211 .245
2012 .258 .235 .212 .241
2013 .261 .237 .217 .245
2014 .267 .239 .212 .251
2015 .264 .234 .217 .245


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 31% 0% 39%
2010 42% 11% 30%
2011 54% 20% 32%
2012 63% 32% 20%
2013 69% 43% 20%
2014 74% 51% 20%
2015 80% 61% 15%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

54

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Phil Roof 1970 44 11 Robert Machado 2003 39
2 Bob Boone 1977 44 12 Paul Casanova 1971 39
3 Rod Barajas 2005 44 13 Nelson Santovenia 1991 39
4 Matt Batts 1951 43 14 Dick Billings 1972 38
5 Ron Karkovice 1993 43 15 Ernie Whitt 1982 38
6 Jim Hegan 1950 41 16 Ray Katt 1956 38
7 Tom Pagnozzi 1992 40 17 Jeff Newman 1978 38
8 Barry Foote 1981 40 18 Andy Allanson 1991 37
9 John Orsino 1967 40 19 Joe Oliver 1995 37
10 Bill Haselman 1996 39 20 Bob Kearney 1986 36

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2008

Laird's last two seasons followed a familiar pattern: a catcher has a really good season as a backup, one that seems out of line with his expected performance, gets a starting job, and goes back to hitting as poorly as he did in the first place. It wasn't the first time it had happened, and it won't be the last. Laird can settle in as the backup once again now that the Rangers have Jarrod Saltalamacchia, but if he tries to impress the pitchers in the bullpen with his reminiscences of the golden summer of 2006, he'll quickly find out they've heard it all before.

2007

We sometimes find ourselves in danger of over-using the term `lefty-masher,` but Laird deserved that sobriquet in 2006, pounding southpaws for 34 hit in 85 at-bats for .400/.414/.600 rates. His performance against right-handers was a mirror image at .241/.291/.405. As this suggests, Laird is the kind of hitter who would greatly benefit from being a little less eager to chase bad pitches, because the overall offensive package isn`t going to carry him past the point of being a poor man`s Paul Lo Duca. He`s a good defender, and, with Barajas out of the way, he`ll finally get a shot to play regularly, but, as long as he`s so dependent on batting average and on seeing the right pitchers, he`s always going to be pushed towards a reserve role whenever someone flashier catches his manager`s eye.

2006

For a player who`s always been more about defense than offense, Laird had a heck of a season with the bat while watching "highlights" of Rod Barajas and Sandy Alomar Jr. doing his job in Texas. Alomar is finally out of the picture, so at the very least, Laird should be the backup backstop in 2006. Once Barajas turns back into a pumpkin, Laird will likely enjoy a reign just slightly longer, what with Taylor Teagarden waiting in the wings.

2005

Laird must think he's on some sort of reality show. He was the cognoscenti's sleeper pick for a breakout year by a rookie catcher. Then he hurt his ankle, and, upon his return, suffered a very bad and very lingering thumb injury that pretty much torpedoed his season. He's supposed to be ready for spring training, where he can rub his eyes in amazement that the Rangers would rather go into the season with Barajas and Alomar as their catching corps. It's one of those things that's beyond comprehension, like Clay Aiken or Scott Stapp having a singing career.


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