Pete Laforest

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2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 12:54 PM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	410	63	18	1	26	67	49	119	3	1	-0.7	.253	.347	.530	.112	.249	.345	.519	.287	22.9	98-C -13	3.6
75^o	376	51	15	1	22	58	43	111	3	1	-0.6	.237	.328	.489	.014	.233	.326	.478	.270	12.5	90-C -12	2.6
60^o	365	47	15	1	21	55	41	109	3	1	-0.6	.232	.322	.475	-.018	.228	.319	.465	.264	9.5	88-C -11	2.3
50^o	351	43	13	0	19	51	38	105	2	1	-0.5	.225	.314	.459	-.057	.222	.312	.449	.257	6.0	84-C -11	2.0
40^o	337	39	12	0	18	48	36	102	2	1	-0.5	.219	.307	.444	-.094	.216	.305	.434	.250	3.0	81-C -11	1.7
25^o	295	29	9	0	14	38	29	91	2	1	-0.4	.201	.285	.399	-.202	.198	.283	.390	.229	-4.7	72-C -9	0.8
10^o	268	24	8	0	12	32	26	85	2	1	-0.4	.191	.272	.373	-.264	.188	.270	.365	.216	-8.1	66-C -8	0.4
Weighted Mean	353	44	14	0	19	53	39	106	3	1	-0.5	.227	.316	.463	-.048	.223	.314	.453	.258	9.2	85-C -11	2.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
25%	55%	26%	21%	0.80

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2008 (age 30)	353	44	14	0	19	53	39	106	3	1	-0.5	.227	.316	.463	-.048	.223	.314	.453	.258	9.2	85-C -11	2.1
2009 (age 31)	238	26	9	0	13	36	27	72	1	1	-0.3	.229	.322	.462	-.037	.222	.314	.444	.260	3.9	59-C -8	1.0
2010 (age 32)	288	32	12	0	15	43	33	85	2	1	-0.3	.220	.313	.445	-.082	.213	.306	.427	.252	2.0	70-C -10	0.8
2011 (age 33)	235	26	8	0	13	36	28	64	1	1	-0.2	.239	.332	.469	-.004	.231	.324	.451	.266	3.2	58-C -9	0.6
2012 (age 34)	-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 35)	-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 36)	-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.198	.284	.419
vs RHP	.235	.332	.509
Split	-.037	-.048	-.090
LgAvg	-.035	-.040	-.079

Valuation

Year	OWARP	DWARP	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2008	1.0	1.0	2.1	$2,900,000	3.6	4.2
2009	0.6	0.4	1.0	$1,175,000	0.3	2.3
2010	0.4	0.4	0.8	$950,000	-1.6	1.1
2011	0.4	0.2	0.6	$925,000	0.5	0.3
2012	0.2	0.1	0.3	$575,000	-0.6	0.3
2013	0.1	0.1	0.2	$500,000	-2.1	0.0
2014	0.0	0.3	0.3	$575,000	0.0	0.0
Peak			5.0	$4,300,000	0.2	8.2

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2008	.270	.257	.229	.258
2009	.280	.259	.242	.260
2010	.274	.249	.235	.252
2011	.284	.259	.234	.266
2012	-- out of baseball --
2013	-- out of baseball --
2014	-- out of baseball --

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2008	21%	0%	25%
2009	64%	29%	21%
2010	63%	35%	13%
2011	78%	55%	19%
2012	86%	71%	18%
2013	86%	77%	6%
2014	100%	93%	4%

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Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Jerry Goff	1992	40		11	Eric Anthony	2003	33
2	Andy Tracy	1979	36		12	Jeff Guiel	1971	33
3	Rich Rowland	1981	36		13	Tom Prince	1982	33
4	Russ Branyan	1970	36		14	Kevin Maas	1960	33
5	Dave Ross	1973	35		15	Hank Foiles	2007	32
6	Sal Fasano	1992	35		16	Graham Koonce	1975	32
7	Tom Wilson	1975	34		17	Ozzie Canseco	1969	32
8	Micah Franklin	1975	34		18	Ivan Cruz	2000	31
9	Kurt Airoso	1957	34		19	Tim Laudner	1979	30
10	Hal King	1998	33		20	Dustan Mohr	2005	30

Player Comments

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2006

Laforest has power but lacks plate judgment--better than Hall, who lacks both. He came to catching late and isn`t great behind the dish, which apparently precluded him from spelling Hall once or twice a week and popping a homer or two. He had a wild winter: DFA`d in November, he was claimed on waivers by the Padres, and then non-tendered. French is Laforest`s first language, making him the ideal interlocutor for mound conferences with Pepe Le Pew.

2005

If for any reason Toby Hall can't catch, the only other credible option in the organization is LaForest, and even that is a little shaky after a forgettable year in Durham. LaForest's hitting profile is similar to the aforementioned Jonny Gomes, except with a little less of everything. As for his defense...he's done all right for a converted third baseman.

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2005	DUR	3A	293	41	18	1	21	52	17	98	2	0	-1.2	.270	.318	.578	.162	.229	.280	.498	.259	8.5	31-C 1	1.5
2005	TBA	MJ	70	5	3	0	1	4	6	23	0	1	-0.1	.172	.243	.266	-.424	.175	.257	.270	.176	-5.1	15-C -1	0.0
2006	PDR	0R	18	1	0	0	0	0	3	7	0	0	-0.1	.067	.222	.067	-.683	.062	.167	.062	.000	-9.5		0.0
2007	POR	3A	354	53	6	0	29	72	54	92	2	0	-0.3	.230	.347	.544	.142	.204	.319	.478	.271	12.6	44-C -9	2.1
2007	SDN	MJ	30	7	1	0	1	3	5	8	0	0	0.4	.360	.467	.520	.448	.360	.467	.520	.343	4.2		0.3
2007	PHI	MJ	13	2	0	0	0	1	2	4	0	0	0.0	.091	.231	.091	-.701	.091	.231	.091	.044	-1.6		0.0

Historical Stats