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George Kottaras
Boston Red Sox [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats L
Age 26
6'
185 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
Baseball Prospectus DT Player Card
baseball-reference Player Card

Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Red Sox Depth Chart (updated: 08-09)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
C 8 George Kottaras 5 11 .234 1 0 1 0 .327 .414 0.2
1   2009 Total 5 11 .234 1 0 1 0 .327 .414 0.2

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 MOB AA 310 40 19 1 8 33 50 68 0 1 -0.9 .276 .394 .451 .034 .258 .363 .443 .280 14.4 67-C -9 1.1
2006 POR AAA 133 14 10 1 2 17 12 30 0 0 0.0 .210 .286 .361 -.336 .190 .261 .331 .205 -8.0 28-C -5 -0.8
2007 PAW AAA 334 32 22 0 9 39 32 71 1 1 -1.6 .241 .316 .408 -.203 .218 .288 .383 .233 -8.1 82-C -12 -0.8
2008 PAW AAA 462 63 18 0 22 65 64 110 0 0 1.0 .243 .348 .456 -.121 .214 .318 .407 .253 -0.3 71-C -7 0.5


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 1:01 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 461 58 26 1 17 62 56 113 1 0 -0.7 .248 .343 .446 -.015 .240 .337 .450 .273 15.5 109-C -10 2.7
75o 444 51 24 1 15 58 52 112 0 0 -0.7 .237 .330 .421 -.076 .230 .325 .425 .262 8.7 105-C -10 2.0
60o 421 42 21 1 13 52 47 109 0 0 -0.6 .221 .312 .387 -.161 .215 .307 .391 .245 0.0 100-C -10 1.0
50o 413 40 21 1 12 50 45 108 0 0 -0.6 .217 .306 .376 -.188 .210 .301 .380 .239 -2.6 98-C -10 0.7
40o 391 33 18 1 10 44 41 104 0 0 -0.5 .203 .290 .347 -.263 .198 .285 .350 .223 -9.3 93-C -10 0.0
25o 375 29 17 1 8 40 38 102 0 0 -0.5 .194 .279 .327 -.314 .189 .274 .330 .211 -13.3 90-C -10 -0.5
10o 307 16 12 0 4 27 27 90 0 0 -0.4 .163 .239 .256 -.493 .158 .235 .259 .162 -23.5 75-C -10 -1.9
Weighted Mean 404 37 20 1 11 48 44 106 0 0 -0.6 .214 .302 .370 -.170 .208 .297 .373 .235 -3.9 96-C -10 0.6

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

17%

36%

40%

20%

1.24

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 26) 404 37 20 1 11 48 44 106 0 0 -0.6 .214 .302 .370 -.170 .208 .297 .373 .235 -3.9 96-C -10 0.6
2010 (age 27) 459 42 24 1 11 54 45 118 0 0 -0.5 .211 .292 .357 -.227 .208 .291 .364 .226 -6.5 109-C -11 0.3
2011 (age 28) 447 40 21 1 10 50 44 112 0 0 -0.3 .209 .290 .345 -.248 .205 .289 .353 .221 -6.6 106-C -10 0.1
2012 (age 29) 416 38 19 1 12 49 44 105 0 0 -0.2 .205 .292 .358 -.229 .201 .291 .365 .227 -4.8 99-C -9 0.2
2013 (age 30) 455 47 25 1 13 59 47 109 0 0 -0.1 .229 .312 .391 -.136 .225 .311 .399 .245 0.4 108-C -8 0.4
2014 (age 31) 449 42 21 1 11 57 49 113 0 0 -0.1 .213 .300 .356 -.213 .209 .299 .364 .229 -2.2 106-C -8 0.1
2015 (age 32) 366 32 16 1 10 45 42 90 0 0 -0.1 .214 .304 .360 -.200 .210 .303 .368 .233 -1.3 88-C -6 0.1

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .189 .276 .325
vs RHP .220 .314 .399
Split -.031 -.038 -.074
LgAvg -.035 -.040 -.079

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 -3.9 -10.0 0.6 $400,000 -7.3 2.1
2010 -8.3 -11.0 0.3 $400,000 -9.6 1.3
2011 -9.9 -10.0 0.1 $400,000 -9.2 0.5
2012 -7.2 -9.0 0.2 $400,000 -7.7 2.2
2013 0.4 -8.0 0.4 $1,000,000 -1.0 2.1
2014 -6.7 -8.0 0.1 $400,000 -3.7 1.3
2015 -4.0 -6.0 0.1 $625,000 -2.2 1.3
Peak 1.7 $1,325,000 0.0 9.4


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .262 .239 .211 .235
2010 .255 .232 .207 .226
2011 .249 .222 .187 .221
2012 .258 .226 .196 .227
2013 .269 .237 .180 .245
2014 .261 .235 .177 .229
2015 .250 .226 .184 .233


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 20% 0% 17%
2010 29% 13% 11%
2011 45% 27% 10%
2012 49% 36% 14%
2013 71% 56% 18%
2014 75% 63% 14%
2015 78% 68% 8%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

55

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Pete LaForest 2004 52 11 Jeffrey Larish 2008 40
2 Sal Rende 1981 49 12 Alan Knicely 1981 40
3 Brad Gulden 1982 48 13 Pat Dodson 1985 39
4 Mike Hocutt 1987 46 14 George Canale 1991 38
5 Bob Skube 1983 44 15 Joey Fernandez 1992 38
6 Mario Valdez 2001 43 16 Josh Whitesell 2008 36
7 Roberto Petagine 1997 42 17 Paul Sorrento 1992 36
8 Bobby Estalella 2000 41 18 Jerry Willard 1986 36
9 Randy Johnson 1984 40 19 Eddie Gates 1981 36
10 Richie Grayum 1994 40 20 Steve Deangelis 1989 36

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2008

George Kottaras take his walks, but that's now his only skill. He is no longer a prospect.

2007

For five starts worth of a revitalized David Wells, Theo Epstein scored a nice haul with the fourth catcher to change hands between the Red Sox and Padres within a year. Kottaras` size, durability, and will to endure the daily grind of catching are all concerns, but he offers a nice mix of line-drive power and good plate discipline; his bat could support a position change if necessary. He`ll likely spend the season in Pawtucket, but could see Boston if Varitek is sidelined again.

2006

The fraternity of former hot catching prospects is fraught with disappointment--ask Matt LeCroy or Toby Hall. Kottaras resembles a young Craig Biggio more than behemoths like LeCroy or Hall, though, and he looks like he`s going to be a pretty fair defensive backstop. His 36 doubles and 69 walks last year point to some promising line-drive power and a good batting eye, traits that will serve him well at higher levels. With just 101 Double-A at-bats on his record, he won`t be a factor in the big leagues in 2006. Look for Kottaras in 2007--Doug Mirabelli is not a long-term solution behind the plate.

2005

With apologies to Josh Barfield, here's the best prospect in the system. A native Canadian grabbed out of junior college as a 20th-round pick as a draft-and-follow, Kottaras showed a precocious batting eye, intriguing doubles power and great defensive instincts behind the plate. The Padres compare him to Brad Ausmus with the glove, Jorge Posada with the bat. If you're in a deep dynasty league, feign ignorance, grab him, and you'll be gloating four years from now.


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