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Mike Koplove
Philadelphia Phillies [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Pitcher
Throws R
Age 32
5' 11"
175 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
Baseball Prospectus DT Player Card
baseball-reference Player Card
ESPN Player Card

Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Most Comparable Pitchers | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA DEF ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2006 TUC AAA 5 0 0 48 0 65.0 63 24 49 4 58% .304 -13 1.34 3.60 4 5.55 9.8 3.6 4.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.7
2006 ARI MLB 0 0 0 2 0 3.0 5 2 1 0 50% .455 -12 2.33 3.00 -1 0.00 16.9 6.8 3.4 0.0 1.1 0.2 0.1
2007 BUF AAA 4 2 14 51 0 54.0 49 22 44 3 51% .297 -16 1.31 2.50 6 4.68 9.5 4.1 5.0 0.9 5.1 0.0 1.7
2007 CLE MLB 0 0 0 5 0 6.0 6 2 4 0 37% .316 -1 1.33 6.00 0 4.76 9.5 3.2 4.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
2008 LVG AAA 2 1 9 41 0 54.7 43 18 46 5 50% .252 -17 1.12 3.46 9 5.24 6.5 2.9 4.9 1.0 2.2 0.0 0.9


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/10/09 3:33 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA DEF ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
90o 4 2 1 24 5 56.7 52 22 40 5 49% .274 6 1.31 3.17 0 3.29 8.2 3.1 5.4 0.8 15.5 1.6 2.1
75o 3 3 1 22 5 50.7 52 22 35 5 49% .293 2 1.44 4.10 0 4.26 9.1 3.4 5.3 0.9 8.1 0.9 1.3
60o 3 3 1 21 5 48.7 52 21 33 5 49% .300 0 1.50 4.48 0 4.66 9.4 3.5 5.3 1.0 5.6 0.7 1.0
50o 3 3 1 21 5 46.7 51 21 31 6 49% .307 -1 1.55 4.83 0 5.02 9.8 3.6 5.2 1.0 3.4 0.5 0.8
40o 2 3 0 20 4 45.0 51 21 30 6 49% .312 -2 1.59 5.11 0 5.31 10.0 3.7 5.2 1.1 1.8 0.3 0.6
25o 2 3 0 19 4 40.3 49 20 27 6 49% .326 -6 1.71 5.94 0 6.16 10.9 4.0 5.1 1.2 -2.4 -0.1 0.1
10o 1 2 0 15 3 31.3 44 18 20 6 49% .355 -13 1.97 7.75 0 8.03 12.6 4.5 4.9 1.5 -8.7 -0.7 -0.6
Weighted Mean 3 2 1 20 4 44.7 48 20 30 5 49% .301 0 1.51 4.56 0 4.74 9.5 3.5 5.3 1.0 4.7 0.6 0.8

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

14%

23%

45%

30%

0.92

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA DEF ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2009 (age 32) 3 2 1 20 4 44.7 48 20 30 5 49% .301 0 1.51 4.56 0 4.74 9.5 3.5 5.3 1.0 4.7 0.6 0.8
2010 (age 33) 3 3 1 22 5 49.3 53 21 35 5 49% .306 0 1.50 4.70 0 4.92 9.6 3.4 5.4 1.0 2.8 0.5 0.5
2011 (age 34) 2 2 1 20 4 41.7 47 20 29 4 50% .316 -1 1.59 4.82 0 5.02 10.0 3.8 5.5 0.9 1.4 0.4 0.3
2012 (age 35)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 36)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 37)
-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 38)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHB .254 .377 .413
vs RHB .245 .319 .364
Split +.010 +.058 +.050
LgAvg +.009 +.034 +.039

Valuation

Year WARP MORP Mean VORP Upside
2009 0.8 $1,325,000 4.2 3.5
2010 0.5 $1,025,000 2.4 2.6
2011 0.3 $775,000 1.2 1.7
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --
Peak 2.1 $2,250,000 10.2 9.9


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 4.26 5.02 6.16 4.74
2010 4.14 4.85 6.13 4.92
2011 4.02 5.32 6.66 5.02
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 30% 0% 14%
2010 50% 36% 12%
2011 72% 53% 8%
2012 78% 68% 7%
2013 85% 80% 10%
2014 92% 86% 6%
2015 95% 88% 6%

Most Comparable Pitchers

Similarity Index

65

Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend
1 Jeff Innis 1995 62 11 Stew Cliburn 1989 55
2 Ken Sanders 1974 60 12 Clem Labine 1959 55
3 Dick Hyde 1961 58 13 Emil Kush 1949 51
4 Brandon Villafuerte 2008 58 14 Anthony Telford 1999 50
5 Milo Candini 1950 57 15 Marc Wilkins 2003 50
6 Tom Edens 1994 57 16 Lee Gardner 2007 49
7 Jason Childers 2007 57 17 Bob Humphreys 1968 49
8 Fred Beene 1975 55 18 Dave Heaverlo 1983 49
9 Matt Herges 2003 55 19 Richard Batchelor 2000 49
10 Duke Maas 1961 55 20 Joe Klink 1994 48

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2008

After nine years in Arizona's system, Mike Koplove needed just one with Cleveland to prove that he's not much more than a Triple-A arm. He'll prove it to the Dodgers this spring.

2007

Mike Koplove is still trying to figure out why he fell out of favor after a nice 2004 season; leaving Phoenix should help him find a better park in which to pitch and a chance to stick in a right-handed situational role.

2005

His peripheral ERA only went up by about 3/4th of a run, rather than the nearly two runs of his actual ERA, so he was probably a little lucky in 2003, and a little unlucky—or hurt, given he had his shoulder scoped after the '03 season—in 2004. Still a serviceable reliever, someone to soak up some innings and keep the team in the game, or come in to face a particular righty. He'll need full health and a halt to that falling strikeout rate to provide real value.

2003

One of Arizona’s seemingly endless supply of guys that throw from funky angles. Anaheim loves bullpen guys with movement rather than velocity, Oakland loves scooping up the ubiquitous bargains from the Rule 5 draft and a snoozing Kenny Williams, and the Snakes love guys that look like they might release the ball near the fifth row of box seats. Koplove is a good bet to be successful in his role—a right-handed setup guy to come in and get righties out, despite the fact that lefties only hit .174 against him last season. He’ll provide 60–80 innings of quality relief.

2002

A sidearmer with a hard-breaking slider, Koplove slipped onto the playoff roster for the first two rounds without making an appearance. His motion doesn’t put much strain on his arm, so he’s able to pitch in back-to-back games when it’s needed. If the Snakes retool their major-league roster, Koplove will probably find a place in the bullpen this year. He could use a year of Triple-A to refine his control.

2001

If there’s one neat thing about the Snakes' organization, it’s that they love sidearmers. Mike Koplove rarely tops 90 mph and has a slider, so throwing sidearm is a sensible adaptive choice. I don’t know if you could build a good major-league bullpen with too many sidearmers; it has long been assumed that one of their assets is the difference between them and almost everyone else. Koplove had a very good AFL campaign, so he might get fast-tracked.


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