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Jason Kendall
Milwaukee Brewers [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 35
6'
205 lbs.

Player Profile

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Royals Depth Chart (updated: 03-19)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
C 9 Jason Kendall 60 385 .259 36 2 34 4 .341 .332 3.3
1   2010 Total 60 385 .259 36 2 34 4 .341 .332 3.3

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 OAK MLB 626 76 23 0 1 50 53 54 11 5 1.0 .295 .367 .342 -.077 .288 .365 .338 .256 14.8 140-C 4 3.0
2007 OAK MLB 312 24 10 0 2 22 12 27 3 1 -0.7 .226 .261 .281 -.378 .226 .264 .281 .191 -12.4 80-C -7 -1.5
2007 CHN MLB 202 21 10 1 1 19 19 15 0 3 -0.4 .270 .362 .356 -.091 .263 .358 .349 .249 3.0 48-C -7 -0.2
2008 MIL MLB 587 46 30 2 2 49 50 45 8 3 0.5 .246 .327 .324 -.178 .247 .328 .332 .237 0.1 148-C 11 2.5


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/8/09 12:48 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 373 53 20 1 3 30 32 34 4 2 -0.8 .295 .363 .391 .008 .297 .361 .403 .269 15.7 89-C 2 2.9
75o 342 39 16 1 2 27 28 32 4 2 -0.7 .266 .335 .347 -.122 .268 .333 .358 .245 4.0 82-C 2 1.7
60o 323 33 14 1 2 25 26 30 3 2 -0.6 .250 .319 .322 -.196 .252 .317 .332 .230 -1.7 78-C 1 1.1
50o 313 30 13 1 1 24 25 29 3 2 -0.6 .242 .311 .310 -.232 .244 .309 .319 .223 -4.3 76-C 1 0.8
40o 304 27 12 1 1 24 25 28 3 2 -0.6 .235 .304 .299 -.264 .237 .302 .308 .216 -6.4 74-C 1 0.6
25o 289 23 11 1 1 22 23 27 3 2 -0.5 .223 .292 .281 -.317 .225 .290 .289 .204 -9.7 71-C 0 0.2
10o 246 15 8 0 0 18 19 23 2 1 -0.4 .194 .262 .236 -.448 .195 .261 .242 .171 -15.7 61-C 0 -0.6
Weighted Mean 309 31 14 1 2 24 25 29 3 2 -0.6 .250 .319 .322 -.192 .252 .317 .332 .228 0.6 75-C 1 1.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

18%

34%

38%

44%

0.97

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 35) 309 31 14 1 2 24 25 29 3 2 -0.6 .250 .319 .322 -.192 .252 .317 .332 .228 0.6 75-C 1 1.1
2010 (age 36) 221 19 10 0 1 17 19 20 3 1 -0.4 .252 .324 .322 -.203 .250 .317 .327 .232 -0.4 55-C 1 0.9
2011 (age 37) 231 20 11 1 1 17 20 21 2 1 -0.2 .257 .327 .329 -.186 .255 .320 .334 .235 0.3 58-C 0 0.5
2012 (age 38) 245 21 11 1 1 17 20 23 2 1 -0.2 .246 .317 .315 -.228 .244 .311 .320 .226 -0.8 61-C -1 0.3
2013 (age 39)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 40)
-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 41)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .263 .336 .351
vs RHP .246 .311 .309
Split +.017 +.025 +.041
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 -1.7 1.0 1.1 $1,325,000 0.1 2.5
2010 -0.5 1.0 0.9 $1,175,000 -0.8 2.0
2011 0.2 0.0 0.5 $950,000 -0.5 2.2
2012 -1.9 -1.0 0.3 $725,000 -1.5 0.2
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --
Peak 3.0 $2,425,000 0.0 7.6


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .245 .223 .204 .228
2010 .255 .238 .210 .232
2011 .266 .234 .220 .235
2012 .244 .234 .205 .226
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 44% 0% 18%
2010 67% 19% 23%
2011 78% 50% 21%
2012 82% 60% 7%
2013 91% 74% 7%
2014 97% 84% 4%
2015 97% 91% 2%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

39

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Brad Ausmus 2004 55 11 Mike Matheny 2005 30
2 Tony Pena 1992 51 12 Al Evans 1951 29
3 Joe Girardi 1999 38 13 Del Crandall 1965 29
4 Mickey Owen 1951 37 14 Jim Sundberg 1986 28
5 Rick Cerone 1989 36 15 Jeff Cirillo 2004 28
6 John Wathan 1984 35 16 Brent Mayne 2003 27
7 Manny Sanguillen 1979 33 17 Sandy Alomar 2001 25
8 Buddy Rosar 1949 33 18 Phil Masi 1951 24
9 Dan Wilson 2004 31 19 Bob Boone 1982 24
10 Jerry Grote 1977 30 20 Carney Lansford 1992 23

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2008

Although Kendall performed reasonably well for the Cubs after they acquired him in mid-July, he'll best help Chicago by hurting Milwaukee as the Brewers' regular catcher this year. Kendall's only real skill is his ability to get on base by taking ball four and being hit by pitches, yet he posted a .301 OBP last season. Moreover, Kendall's throwing arm is now a major liability, as he allowed 111 of 131 baserunners to steal successfully against him last year, including 52 of 57 after returning to the NL. At age 33 and with a pair of gimpy knees, Kendall has little chance of escaping the pull of the undertow that's about to sink his career.

2007

Let`s first dispense with the obvious: Kendall wasn`t worth his $11.5-million salary in 2006, and he really won`t be worth his $13-million salary in 2007, the last season covered by his six-year, $60-million contract. On the plus side, the Pirates are on the hook for a good chunk ($5 million) of Kendall`s `07 income, his .367 on-base percentage last season ranked fourth among the nine MLB catchers who played enough to qualify for the batting title, and the A`s rave about Kendall`s work behind the plate. That isn`t to say Kendall is worth even the $8 million the A`s will spend on him this season. His OPS ranked ninth among those nine regular catchers, he threw out only 24 percent of larcenous baserunners, and he`s totaled exactly one home run in the last two seasons. The day his contract expires should be one of relief in the Oakland front office.

2006

Kendall triggered a host of PECOTA`s red flags entering last season. With his batting average-heavy offensive profile, declining speed, and his position, the system figured that there was about a 25% chance he`d have a year this bad or worse. Unsurprisingly, there isn`t much optimism about his rebound chances. Kendall is durable at least, but one wonders if that isn`t part of the problem. He`d surely be among the career leaders in Catcher Abuse Points.

2005

So a big sigh of relief, he's no longer the big contract Littlefield inherited, and Kendall can get on with playing somewhere consequential in the standings. With Oakland, it won't matter if he bats first or second; neither he nor Kotsay run enough to create distractions for the other, so Ken Macha can play platoon percentages or fuss about having Kotsay having the 'hole' to take advantage of with Kendall on base. He should profit from seeing his catching workload decrease to 120 games behind the plate while soaking up some DH at-bats, which might prolong his career to the point where he'll be a serious Hall of Fame candidate.

2003

Kendall’s offensive drop-off is alarming. He’s stopped taking walks, he no longer hits for power, and he doesn’t run as well as he did before his ankle injury despite being a top-of-the-order hitter. Obviously, his career is in crisis in tandem with the Pirates’ budget: it’s not Kendall’s defense that has kept him in the majors, and the Bucs would love to unload his $10 million/ year contract. That’ll be tough, with both his ironclad no-trade clause and struggles to get on base and hit the ball with authority clouding the picture. Lloyd McClendon is planning on using Kendall as a leadoff hitter in 2003; maybe that will force him to start taking some pitches again.

2002

Kendall played the whole year with a bum thumb (not the same as having your thumb up your bum) and easily had his worst year in the majors. He had surgery to correct the problem in October and should be fine for spring training. This was his age 27 year, so don’t be surprised if he rebounds and has a performance spike all at once. The left-field experiment is over.

2001

He’s doomed to second-string All-Star status as long as Mike Piazza is behind the plate, but Jason Kendall has firmly landed himself on the list of the best players in baseball and is just entering his power peak. Signing him for $60 million over six years was an excellent decision. Considering where the market went after he signed, Kendall might be a bargain at $10 million per year.

2000

Kendall was on pace for a career year in all categories when his foot fell off in a freak play in early July. He took the brace off in mid-September and is expected to be at full strength by the start of spring training, but his days as a prolific and high-percentage basestealer may be over.

1999

The best story on the Pirates. Kendall took huge steps forward at the plate, on the bases, in the field, and in the clubhouse, becoming the team's unquestioned leader and occasional mouthpiece. He's a player you lock up long-term and build around, and the Pirates are trying to do just that.

1998

More power, more walks and a much better year behind the plate. The Pirates have only signed one young player to a long-term contract so far, and they picked a great one.

1997

He managed a rare feat for the Pirates: retaining the offensive performance he showed in the minors. His 1996 was a carbon copy of 1995. He showed steady improvement through the minors, and I’d expect him to resume an upward climb towards .300. His defense was puzzling: he was among the best at stopping baserunners at Carolina in ’95, but surrendered more stolen bases than any catcher but Piazza while committing 18 errors. He’s tough to strike out and easy to hit, with a 76-to-44 strikeout to HBP ratio over the last three years.

1996

Probably the best prospect in the organization. Catcher, still young, doing all the right things, and getting a bit better at everything each year. Probably needs a little over a year in AAA, or perhaps a September callup. Will be a very good one, I think. Probably will not retain all of the gains he made with the bat in 1995, but won't slip very much, and that's still a darn good trend. Probably the only Pirate hitting prospect with any star potential, really.


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