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Ryan Jorgensen
Minnesota Twins [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 30
6' 2"
220 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
Baseball Prospectus DT Player Card
baseball-reference Player Card

Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 LOU AAA 269 25 9 0 8 30 31 57 1 0 -3.1 .213 .315 .357 -.352 .179 .272 .306 .206 -18.3 70-C 0 -0.3
2007 LOU AAA 279 29 16 0 2 26 21 52 1 0 -1.9 .237 .292 .325 -.464 .188 .238 .267 .173 -26.8 71-C -2 -1.5
2007 CIN MLB 15 3 0 0 2 6 0 5 0 0 0.2 .200 .200 .600 -.079 .200 .200 .600 .252 0.3 0.0
2008 ROC AAA 225 27 12 0 8 25 18 54 0 0 -0.4 .247 .314 .429 -.288 .203 .262 .361 .216 -10.6 60-C -2 -0.3


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 10:54 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 278 27 13 1 8 31 22 73 1 0 -1.1 .233 .298 .381 -.145 .235 .302 .399 .245 1.9 68-C 1 1.5
75o 273 24 12 1 7 29 21 73 1 0 -1.1 .220 .284 .356 -.213 .222 .288 .373 .231 -2.5 67-C 1 1.0
60o 266 21 11 0 6 26 20 72 1 0 -1.0 .205 .268 .326 -.293 .206 .272 .342 .214 -7.3 65-C 1 0.5
50o 260 19 10 0 5 24 19 72 1 0 -0.9 .193 .256 .304 -.352 .195 .260 .319 .201 -10.8 64-C 1 0.1
40o 256 17 9 0 5 23 18 72 1 0 -0.9 .185 .247 .288 -.395 .187 .251 .302 .190 -13.2 63-C 0 0.0
25o 248 15 8 0 4 21 17 71 1 0 -0.8 .171 .232 .262 -.465 .173 .236 .274 .170 -16.9 61-C 0 -0.6
10o 211 8 5 0 2 10 13 66 1 0 -0.6 .131 .188 .184 -.673 .132 .190 .192 .079 -24.5 53-C 0 -1.6
Weighted Mean 249 17 9 0 5 23 18 69 1 0 -0.9 .188 .250 .294 -.374 .189 .254 .308 .192 -12.3 62-C 1 0.2

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

39%

50%

34%

33%

1.28

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 30) 249 17 9 0 5 23 18 69 1 0 -0.9 .188 .250 .294 -.374 .189 .254 .308 .192 -12.3 62-C 1 0.2
2010 (age 31) 259 17 9 0 5 24 18 73 1 0 -0.6 .181 .245 .288 -.390 .185 .251 .306 .188 -9.6 64-C 2 0.1
2011 (age 32) 233 15 8 0 4 22 17 65 1 0 -0.4 .184 .251 .287 -.378 .188 .257 .305 .192 -5.5 58-C 0 0.1
2012 (age 33) 155 9 5 0 3 13 12 43 0 0 -0.2 .184 .256 .290 -.364 .188 .263 .307 .195 -3.3 41-C -1 0.0
2013 (age 34)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 35)
-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 36)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .204 .268 .321
vs RHP .184 .244 .283
Split +.020 +.024 +.039
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 -9.6 1.0 0.2 $400,000 -11.6 0.3
2010 -10.9 2.0 0.1 $400,000 -8.3 1.3
2011 -9.1 0.0 0.1 $400,000 -4.7 0.3
2012 -5.6 -1.0 0.0 $400,000 -3.5 0.3
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --
Peak 0.4 $300,000 0.0 2.9


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .231 .201 .170 .192
2010 .219 .189 .165 .188
2011 .221 .201 .156 .192
2012 .224 .207 .159 .195
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 33% 0% 39%
2010 51% 30% 21%
2011 69% 51% 17%
2012 83% 61% 17%
2013 92% 81% 14%
2014 95% 87% 10%
2015 96% 91% 9%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

64

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Danny Ardoin 2004 66 11 Joe Depastino 2003 52
2 B.J. Waszgis 2000 58 12 Bobby Hughes 2001 52
3 Randy Knorr 1999 58 13 Keith McDonald 2003 51
4 Blake Barthol 2003 57 14 Kevin Brown 2003 51
5 Mike Berger 1992 56 15 Mike Basso 1994 51
6 Ron Tingley 1989 56 16 Mark Strittmatter 1999 50
7 Creighton Gubanich 2002 55 17 Mike Rivera 2006 49
8 Brandon Harper 2006 54 18 Mike Hubbard 2001 49
9 Brandon Marsters 2005 53 19 Corky Miller 2006 49
10 A.J. Hinch 2004 53 20 Guillermo Rodriguez 2008 48

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