<< PECOTA Home Player Search     
');// -->

Chris Heintz
Minnesota Twins [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 33
6' 1"
205 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
Baseball Prospectus DT Player Card
baseball-reference Player Card

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 ROC 3A 360 38 18 2 8 58 22 61 0 0 0.2 .304 .343 .444 .057 .270 .313 .391 .245 5.3 29-C 2 1.2
2005 MIN MJ 26 1 3 0 0 2 1 6 0 0 0.0 .200 .231 .320 -.362 .200 .231 .320 .182 -1.2 0.0
2006 ROC 3A 406 46 22 0 3 39 23 63 0 4 -2.6 .286 .323 .369 -.017 .269 .309 .352 .230 -1.1 42-C -2 1.2
2006 MIN MJ 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 .000 .000 .000 -1.394 .000 .000 .000 .000 -0.3 0.0
2007 ROC 3A 184 18 8 0 1 15 11 32 0 0 -0.1 .275 .333 .341 -.067 .254 .310 .325 .225 -2.9 22-C 0 0.3
2007 MIN MJ 61 0 0 0 0 7 3 12 0 0 0.1 .250 .288 .250 -.349 .250 .288 .250 .190 -2.5 16-C -3 0.0


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 11:28 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 205 22 10 1 3 21 13 38 1 1 -0.4 .274 .323 .385 -.075 .276 .328 .406 .260 4.3 52-C -8 0.9
75o 195 18 9 1 3 19 11 37 1 1 -0.3 .256 .303 .354 -.163 .257 .307 .373 .242 -0.2 49-C -7 0.6
60o 187 15 8 1 2 17 10 36 1 1 -0.3 .242 .288 .330 -.231 .243 .292 .348 .227 -3.3 48-C -7 0.3
50o 184 14 8 0 2 17 10 36 1 1 -0.3 .236 .282 .321 -.257 .238 .286 .339 .221 -4.4 47-C -7 0.2
40o 178 12 7 0 2 16 9 35 1 1 -0.3 .227 .272 .305 -.302 .228 .275 .322 .210 -6.3 46-C -6 0.1
25o 162 9 6 0 1 13 8 33 1 0 -0.2 .203 .245 .265 -.416 .204 .248 .279 .180 -10.3 42-C -5 -0.3
10o 134 5 4 0 0 8 5 28 0 0 -0.2 .172 .209 .212 -.563 .173 .212 .224 .126 -13.3 36-C -4 -0.6
Weighted Mean 176 13 7 0 2 16 9 34 1 0 -0.3 .233 .278 .315 -.274 .234 .282 .332 .217 -4.8 45-C -5 0.6

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

24%

38%

37%

41%

1.01

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 33) 176 13 7 0 2 16 9 34 1 0 -0.3 .233 .278 .315 -.274 .234 .282 .332 .217 -4.8 45-C -5 0.6
2009 (age 34) 148 10 6 0 1 14 8 30 1 0 -0.2 .237 .282 .320 -.258 .243 .290 .343 .220 -2.2 39-C -4 0.3
2010 (age 35) 155 10 5 0 1 14 8 31 1 0 -0.1 .232 .274 .301 -.300 .237 .282 .323 .210 -2.1 40-C -5 0.1
2011 (age 36)
-- out of baseball --
2012 (age 37)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 38)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 39)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .248 .296 .342
vs RHP .228 .271 .303
Split +.019 +.025 +.039
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.0 0.8 0.6 $725,000 -7.0 0.3
2009 0.0 0.3 0.3 $500,000 -3.2 0.6
2010 0.0 0.2 0.1 $425,000 -2.6 0.0
2011 0.0 0.1 0.1 $425,000 -1.0 0.0
2012 0.0 0.0 0.0 $425,000 -1.0 0.0
2013 0.0 0.0 0.0 $425,000 -0.7 0.0
2014 0.0 0.0 0.0 $450,000 -0.3 0.0
Peak 1.1 $450,000 0.0 0.9


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .242 .221 .180 .217
2009 .237 .215 .174 .220
2010 .241 .223 .178 .210
2011
-- out of baseball --
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 41% 0% 24%
2009 73% 40% 12%
2010 85% 66% 13%
2011 93% 84% 7%
2012 96% 89% 6%
2013 100% 94% 3%
2014 100% 97% 3%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

57

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong!
Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Darron Cox 1992 40 11 Ken Huckaby 2003 33
2 Mike Mahoney 1979 36 12 Carlos Hernandez 1971 33
3 Steve Lake 1981 36 13 Mark Dalesandro 1982 33
4 Mike Redmond 1970 36 14 Alex Delgado 1960 33
5 Dax Norris 1973 35 15 Pat Borders 2007 32
6 Mike Matheny 1992 35 16 Mike Stefanski 1975 32
7 Frank Charles 1975 34 17 Matt Walbeck 1969 32
8 Mike Roarke 1975 34 18 Gary Bennett 2000 31
9 Bob Melvin 1957 34 19 Brook Fordyce 1979 30
10 Hector Ortiz 1998 33 20 Sammy White 2005 30

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

An eleven-year minor league veteran who got one at-bat in the big leagues last year, catcher Chris Heintz will be hard pressed to get another one.


Baseball Prospectus Home  |  Terms of Service  |  Privacy Policy  |  Contact Us
Copyright © 1996-2008 Prospectus Entertainment Ventures, LLC.