Chris Heintz

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Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2005	ROC	3A	360	38	18	2	8	58	22	61	0	0	0.2	.304	.343	.444	.057	.270	.313	.391	.245	5.3	29-C 2	1.2
2005	MIN	MJ	26	1	3	0	0	2	1	6	0	0	0.0	.200	.231	.320	-.362	.200	.231	.320	.182	-1.2		0.0
2006	ROC	3A	406	46	22	0	3	39	23	63	0	4	-2.6	.286	.323	.369	-.017	.269	.309	.352	.230	-1.1	42-C -2	1.2
2006	MIN	MJ	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0	.000	.000	.000	-1.394	.000	.000	.000	.000	-0.3		0.0
2007	ROC	3A	184	18	8	0	1	15	11	32	0	0	-0.1	.275	.333	.341	-.067	.254	.310	.325	.225	-2.9	22-C 0	0.3
2007	MIN	MJ	61	0	0	0	0	7	3	12	0	0	0.1	.250	.288	.250	-.349	.250	.288	.250	.190	-2.5	16-C -3	0.0

EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 11:28 AM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	205	22	10	1	3	21	13	38	1	1	-0.4	.274	.323	.385	-.075	.276	.328	.406	.260	4.3	52-C -8	0.9
75^o	195	18	9	1	3	19	11	37	1	1	-0.3	.256	.303	.354	-.163	.257	.307	.373	.242	-0.2	49-C -7	0.6
60^o	187	15	8	1	2	17	10	36	1	1	-0.3	.242	.288	.330	-.231	.243	.292	.348	.227	-3.3	48-C -7	0.3
50^o	184	14	8	0	2	17	10	36	1	1	-0.3	.236	.282	.321	-.257	.238	.286	.339	.221	-4.4	47-C -7	0.2
40^o	178	12	7	0	2	16	9	35	1	1	-0.3	.227	.272	.305	-.302	.228	.275	.322	.210	-6.3	46-C -6	0.1
25^o	162	9	6	0	1	13	8	33	1	0	-0.2	.203	.245	.265	-.416	.204	.248	.279	.180	-10.3	42-C -5	-0.3
10^o	134	5	4	0	0	8	5	28	0	0	-0.2	.172	.209	.212	-.563	.173	.212	.224	.126	-13.3	36-C -4	-0.6
Weighted Mean	176	13	7	0	2	16	9	34	1	0	-0.3	.233	.278	.315	-.274	.234	.282	.332	.217	-4.8	45-C -5	0.6

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
24%	38%	37%	41%	1.01

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2008 (age 33)	176	13	7	0	2	16	9	34	1	0	-0.3	.233	.278	.315	-.274	.234	.282	.332	.217	-4.8	45-C -5	0.6
2009 (age 34)	148	10	6	0	1	14	8	30	1	0	-0.2	.237	.282	.320	-.258	.243	.290	.343	.220	-2.2	39-C -4	0.3
2010 (age 35)	155	10	5	0	1	14	8	31	1	0	-0.1	.232	.274	.301	-.300	.237	.282	.323	.210	-2.1	40-C -5	0.1
2011 (age 36)	-- out of baseball --
2012 (age 37)	-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 38)	-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 39)	-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.248	.296	.342
vs RHP	.228	.271	.303
Split	+.019	+.025	+.039
LgAvg	+.020	+.024	+.038

Valuation

Year	OWARP	DWARP	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2008	0.0	0.8	0.6	$725,000	-7.0	0.3
2009	0.0	0.3	0.3	$500,000	-3.2	0.6
2010	0.0	0.2	0.1	$425,000	-2.6	0.0
2011	0.0	0.1	0.1	$425,000	-1.0	0.0
2012	0.0	0.0	0.0	$425,000	-1.0	0.0
2013	0.0	0.0	0.0	$425,000	-0.7	0.0
2014	0.0	0.0	0.0	$450,000	-0.3	0.0
Peak			1.1	$450,000	0.0	0.9

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2008	.242	.221	.180	.217
2009	.237	.215	.174	.220
2010	.241	.223	.178	.210
2011	-- out of baseball --
2012	-- out of baseball --
2013	-- out of baseball --
2014	-- out of baseball --

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2008	41%	0%	24%
2009	73%	40%	12%
2010	85%	66%	13%
2011	93%	84%	7%
2012	96%	89%	6%
2013	100%	94%	3%
2014	100%	97%	3%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

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Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong! Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Darron Cox	1992	40		11	Ken Huckaby	2003	33
2	Mike Mahoney	1979	36		12	Carlos Hernandez	1971	33
3	Steve Lake	1981	36		13	Mark Dalesandro	1982	33
4	Mike Redmond	1970	36		14	Alex Delgado	1960	33
5	Dax Norris	1973	35		15	Pat Borders	2007	32
6	Mike Matheny	1992	35		16	Mike Stefanski	1975	32
7	Frank Charles	1975	34		17	Matt Walbeck	1969	32
8	Mike Roarke	1975	34		18	Gary Bennett	2000	31
9	Bob Melvin	1957	34		19	Brook Fordyce	1979	30
10	Hector Ortiz	1998	33		20	Sammy White	2005	30

Player Comments

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An eleven-year minor league veteran who got one at-bat in the big leagues last year, catcher Chris Heintz will be hard pressed to get another one.

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