<< PECOTA Home Player Search     
');// -->

Ryan Hanigan
Cincinnati Reds [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 27
6'
195 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
Baseball Prospectus DT Player Card
baseball-reference Player Card

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 CHT 2A 390 45 14 1 4 29 50 41 4 1 -2.3 .321 .418 .405 .166 .271 .357 .359 .256 0.4 44-1B -2 2.0
2006 CHT 2A 150 17 2 0 0 14 19 23 0 0 0.6 .246 .347 .262 -.101 .227 .315 .242 .208 -7.2 23-C 3 0.5
2006 LOU 3A 19 2 0 0 0 1 6 2 0 0 0.3 .154 .421 .154 -.133 .154 .421 .154 .252 -0.6 0.1
2007 CHT 2A 247 30 14 1 3 27 41 30 0 2 0.4 .299 .420 .426 .188 .265 .374 .377 .270 9.6 55-C 2 2.9
2007 LOU 3A 150 16 5 0 1 9 14 15 0 0 -0.5 .252 .333 .315 -.099 .237 .313 .321 .226 -2.5 31-C 10 1.3
2007 CIN MJ 11 3 1 0 0 2 1 2 0 0 0.7 .300 .364 .400 .031 .300 .364 .400 .269 0.5 0.1


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 11:15 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 409 58 22 1 6 41 56 52 2 2 -0.4 .284 .385 .410 .047 .280 .381 .404 .276 18.2 97-C 2 4.3
75o 378 45 18 1 5 35 47 51 2 1 -0.4 .265 .360 .371 -.062 .261 .356 .365 .256 7.5 91-C 1 3.2
60o 366 41 17 1 4 33 43 50 2 1 -0.4 .258 .350 .357 -.104 .254 .346 .351 .247 3.8 88-C 0 2.8
50o 354 37 16 1 4 31 40 49 2 1 -0.3 .250 .340 .342 -.145 .247 .336 .337 .239 0.3 85-C 0 2.4
40o 347 35 15 1 3 30 39 49 2 1 -0.3 .247 .335 .335 -.166 .243 .331 .329 .234 -1.3 84-C 0 2.2
25o 328 29 13 1 3 26 34 47 2 1 -0.3 .236 .320 .313 -.228 .233 .317 .308 .221 -5.9 79-C -1 1.6
10o 297 22 10 1 1 22 27 44 2 1 -0.3 .221 .298 .282 -.319 .218 .295 .277 .200 -11.5 72-C -2 0.8
Weighted Mean 358 38 16 1 4 31 41 49 2 1 -0.3 .253 .343 .347 -.131 .249 .340 .341 .240 3.6 86-C 1 2.8

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

15%

40%

32%

26%

0.80

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 27) 358 38 16 1 4 31 41 49 2 1 -0.3 .253 .343 .347 -.131 .249 .340 .341 .240 3.6 86-C 1 2.8
2009 (age 28) 333 35 14 1 5 30 37 46 2 1 -0.3 .254 .342 .354 -.125 .246 .333 .342 .241 1.5 80-C 0 1.8
2010 (age 29) 292 28 12 1 4 28 32 41 1 1 -0.2 .250 .340 .357 -.126 .243 .331 .345 .241 1.0 71-C 0 1.4
2011 (age 30) 304 31 13 1 4 28 33 41 2 1 -0.2 .261 .347 .360 -.102 .253 .338 .348 .245 1.8 74-C 1 1.2
2012 (age 31) 262 24 9 1 4 23 31 37 1 1 -0.1 .247 .343 .341 -.143 .240 .334 .329 .238 0.1 64-C -1 0.7
2013 (age 32)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 33)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .269 .362 .375
vs RHP .248 .334 .333
Split +.021 +.029 +.042
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.4 2.4 2.8 $4,125,000 4.5 4.3
2009 0.3 1.5 1.8 $2,500,000 2.0 5.4
2010 0.3 1.1 1.4 $1,900,000 1.3 4.4
2011 0.3 1.0 1.2 $2,050,000 2.6 4.7
2012 0.1 0.6 0.7 $1,100,000 0.5 2.5
2013 0.1 0.5 0.7 $1,150,000 1.0 1.0
2014 0.2 0.6 0.8 $1,450,000 1.3 1.4
Peak 8.7 $9,275,000 11.9 22.2


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .256 .239 .221 .240
2009 .266 .244 .214 .241
2010 .263 .240 .218 .241
2011 .273 .249 .224 .245
2012 .260 .232 .215 .238
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 26% 0% 15%
2009 38% 22% 15%
2010 61% 35% 11%
2011 64% 52% 14%
2012 76% 65% 13%
2013 81% 69% 8%
2014 83% 70% 8%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

53

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong!
Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Jeff Horn 1992 40 11 Dan Rohrmeier 2003 33
2 Brad King 1979 36 12 Joe Astroth 1971 33
3 Michel Hernandez 1981 36 13 Tim Marx 1982 33
4 Bert Heffernan 1970 36 14 Darryl Kennedy 1960 33
5 Doug Newstrom 1973 35 15 Pedro Lopez 2007 32
6 Erik Pappas 1992 35 16 Mike LaValliere 1975 32
7 Brian Loyd 1975 34 17 Hunter Bledsoe 1969 32
8 Paul Ellis 1975 34 18 Rick Dempsey 2000 31
9 Ellie Rodriguez 1957 34 19 Alex Andreopoulos 1979 30
10 Bo Robinson 1998 33 20 Mike Colangelo 2005 30

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2006

Hanigan improved offensively in his first action in Double-A last year, making himself into a marginal prospect. That`s faint praise considering that the Reds` stockpile of catching prospects is something like the nuclear arsenal of Belarus--impressive on paper but functionally unusable.


Baseball Prospectus Home  |  Terms of Service  |  Privacy Policy  |  Contact Us
Copyright © 1996-2008 Prospectus Entertainment Ventures, LLC.