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Pedro Feliz
Philadelphia Phillies [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Third Base
Bats R
Age 34
6' 1"
210 lbs.

Player Profile

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Phillies Depth Chart (updated: 06-30)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
3B 7 Pedro Feliz 80 278 .260 29 8 35 0 .311 .407 4.7
1   2009 Total 80 278 .260 29 8 35 0 .311 .407 4.7

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 SFN MLB 644 75 35 5 22 98 33 112 1 1 -1.0 .244 .281 .428 -.148 .241 .281 .422 .239 -8.3 155-3B 17 2.1
2007 SFN MLB 590 61 28 2 20 72 29 70 2 2 -5.0 .253 .290 .418 -.120 .252 .292 .423 .242 -2.0 136-3B 25 3.1
2008 PHI MLB 463 43 19 2 14 58 33 54 0 0 -0.8 .249 .302 .402 -.113 .249 .304 .414 .247 0.6 109-3B 5 0.9


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 10:19 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 395 53 21 1 14 55 29 53 1 1 -1.8 .290 .344 .472 .077 .290 .345 .479 .280 18.9 94-3B 5 2.8
75o 375 45 19 1 12 51 26 51 0 1 -1.6 .276 .329 .442 -.002 .276 .329 .449 .265 11.1 90-3B 5 2.1
60o 360 40 17 1 11 47 24 49 0 1 -1.5 .266 .317 .420 -.060 .266 .318 .426 .254 5.7 86-3B 5 1.5
50o 351 37 16 1 10 45 23 48 0 1 -1.5 .260 .311 .407 -.092 .260 .311 .414 .248 3.0 85-3B 5 1.2
40o 336 32 15 1 9 42 21 46 0 1 -1.4 .250 .300 .386 -.149 .250 .300 .392 .237 -1.6 81-3B 5 0.7
25o 313 26 13 1 7 37 19 43 0 0 -1.2 .236 .284 .356 -.226 .236 .284 .361 .221 -7.1 76-3B 4 0.1
10o 265 17 9 0 4 28 14 36 0 0 -1.0 .211 .255 .301 -.369 .211 .255 .306 .187 -14.9 65-3B 4 -0.8
Weighted Mean 338 35 16 1 9 44 22 46 0 1 -1.4 .260 .311 .407 -.087 .260 .311 .414 .247 5.8 82-3B 5 1.3

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

33%

55%

26%

37%

1.23

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 34) 338 35 16 1 9 44 22 46 0 1 -1.4 .260 .311 .407 -.087 .260 .311 .414 .247 5.8 82-3B 5 1.3
2010 (age 35) 308 31 14 1 9 39 21 43 0 0 -1.0 .260 .311 .407 -.111 .256 .307 .407 .248 2.1 75-3B 3 0.8
2011 (age 36) 206 17 10 1 6 26 14 28 0 0 -0.5 .257 .308 .405 -.120 .254 .304 .406 .246 0.9 52-3B 1 0.4
2012 (age 37) 270 27 13 1 8 35 21 37 0 0 -0.4 .266 .325 .428 -.055 .262 .320 .428 .259 2.1 66-3B 1 0.5
2013 (age 38)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 39)
-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 40)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .274 .331 .432
vs RHP .255 .302 .392
Split +.020 +.029 +.040
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 -5.2 5.0 1.3 $2,225,000 8.2 5.2
2010 -4.6 3.0 0.8 $1,300,000 2.6 3.1
2011 -3.5 1.0 0.4 $900,000 1.0 1.7
2012 -0.6 1.0 0.5 $1,125,000 2.3 1.7
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --
Peak 3.4 $3,850,000 15.6 13.8


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .265 .248 .221 .247
2010 .266 .246 .222 .248
2011 .266 .239 .211 .246
2012 .282 .254 .232 .259
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 37% 0% 33%
2010 48% 21% 23%
2011 77% 45% 21%
2012 83% 67% 16%
2013 90% 75% 10%
2014 91% 85% 6%
2015 97% 93% 6%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

60

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Herb Perry 2003 61 11 Scott Brosius 2000 48
2 Ray Knight 1987 59 12 Jeff Cirillo 2003 47
3 Keith Moreland 1988 55 13 Ed Sprague 2001 47
4 Vinny Castilla 2001 55 14 Craig Paquette 2003 46
5 Gary Gaetti 1992 54 15 Clete Boyer 1971 46
6 Charlie Hayes 1999 53 16 Jeff Conine 2000 45
7 Joe Randa 2004 53 17 Pete Suder 1950 44
8 Sean Berry 2000 51 18 Bubba Phillips 1962 43
9 Aaron Boone 2007 51 19 Al Cowens 1985 41
10 Ron Coomer 2001 50 20 Ron Hansen 1972 41

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2008

As frustrating a player as Feliz is, you can't argue that he's fooling anyone. He's had the same season three years in a row, showing durability, a low batting average, a walk a week, 20 homers, and good defense. If he's batting seventh for you and you're not paying a lot of money and you get OBP from everywhere else... well, he's still only a three-win player. He was fourth on the Giants in WARP3 last year and two of those four, Feliz and Bonds, aren't coming back. Send in your season-ticket renewal checks today!

2007

Determined to pay more attention to Feliz`s power than his total inability to get to first base, the Giants have re-hired him for 2007. No team in baseball got less offense (.234 EqA) from their third basemen last year than the Giants, because no other set of third basemen were within 30 points of the dreadful .277 OBP put up by the Giants contingent. When the worst hitter at a given position files for free agency, you should let him go. By definition, there are better options. That`s the 1951 to 1966 Frank Thomas that PECOTA is comparing Feliz to, not the modern day DH; think of him as Frank Thomas the Lesser.

2006

The Giants kept insisting that Feliz would become the full package if only he got a season`s worth of plate appearances. Now they`re saying that he can`t handle the defensive yo-yoing from first to third to left and that`s why he`s yet to break out. The truth is that he can`t take a walk and he struggles against right-handed pitchers. A .295 OBP is a high price to pay for 20 home runs. With Edgar Alfonzo gone to Anaheim, Feliz will become the full-time third baseman, where his glove, at least, will make him more of an asset.

2005

In a year that started with the Giants crowing about their next star offensive player, Feliz finished the season with the same incomplete skill set and lukewarm production that make him the new Tony Batista. For all his prodigious power, Feliz shows no interest in improving his strike zone judgment, and lacks the offensive game to be an everyday first baseman. He's a useful super-utility man who's blocked from his best defensive position by Alfonzo. There are few teams in baseball more poorly constructed than the Giants; if Bonds weren't around, they'd have blown this whole thing up years ago.

2003

Heralded as the Giants third baseman of the future after his 33 HR season at homer-happy Fresno three years ago, Feliz showed a little pop in his extended major league tryout in 2001, but nothing else. Last year, it was just the “nothing else.” He may never get the playing time to prove otherwise, but it’s looking more and more like 2000 will go down as his career year.

2002

Big power numbers in the Pacific Coast League convinced the Giants that Feliz, a Jim Presley hit-alike, was ready to take over at third base. He was awful, ceding much of his playing time to Ramon Martinez in the second half. Desi Relaford should push Feliz into a platoon this year, a role in which he can succeed (1085 OPS against lefties last year, .300 with good power against them in Triple-A in 2000).

2001

A borderline prospect at third base, Pedro Feliz is a true low-OBP slugger. I was doing a local radio show on which talk turned to the Giants' farm system. We were discussing the lack of position players when a number of people called in and read me the riot act for not being high on Feliz. The reason I'm not is simple: he's a shaky defensive third baseman who has drawn a grand total of 105 unintentional walks in seven minor-league seasons. You want to be a good player in the majors? Get on base. You want to get on base while drawing less than a walk a week? Hit .350. Feliz won't.

2000

He spent a second year in Double-A with no change in performance. Feliz has a good glove at third base and can hit the occasional home run. Ultimately, though, all you need to know about Feliz is this: in two years at Shreveport, he's had 855 at-bats and walked 28 times.


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