Sal Fasano

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2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 9:52 AM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	152	22	7	0	7	24	9	37	2	1	-0.3	.261	.328	.477	.043	.259	.329	.482	.280	7.1	40-C -1	1.6
75^o	140	17	6	0	6	20	7	35	1	1	-0.3	.241	.303	.427	-.079	.240	.304	.431	.257	2.5	37-C -1	1.1
60^o	133	14	6	0	5	18	7	34	1	0	-0.3	.229	.287	.396	-.155	.227	.288	.400	.241	0.0	35-C -1	0.8
50^o	131	13	6	0	4	17	6	33	1	0	-0.3	.225	.283	.388	-.174	.224	.284	.392	.237	-0.6	35-C -1	0.8
40^o	127	12	5	0	4	17	6	33	1	0	-0.3	.220	.276	.375	-.206	.219	.278	.379	.231	-1.6	34-C -1	0.7
25^o	110	8	4	0	3	12	5	29	1	0	-0.2	.197	.245	.317	-.349	.196	.246	.320	.196	-5.1	30-C -1	0.3
10^o	86	4	3	0	1	7	3	24	0	0	-0.1	.173	.210	.257	-.503	.173	.211	.260	.148	-7.1	25-C -1	0.0
Weighted Mean	105	10	4	0	4	13	5	27	1	0	-0.2	.224	.282	.385	-.181	.223	.283	.389	.236	-0.5	29-C 0	1.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
25%	43%	33%	54%	1.14

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2008 (age 36)	105	10	4	0	4	13	5	27	1	0	-0.2	.224	.282	.385	-.181	.223	.283	.389	.236	-0.5	29-C 0	1.1
2009 (age 37)	127	12	5	0	3	15	7	34	1	0	-0.2	.213	.277	.351	-.240	.216	.283	.362	.224	-1.5	34-C -2	0.4
2010 (age 38)	-- out of baseball --
2011 (age 39)	-- out of baseball --
2012 (age 40)	-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 41)	-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 42)	-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.240	.301	.413
vs RHP	.220	.274	.369
Split	+.020	+.026	+.044
LgAvg	+.020	+.024	+.038

Valuation

Year	OWARP	DWARP	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2008	0.1	1.0	1.1	$1,200,000	-0.7	1.6
2009	0.0	0.4	0.4	$550,000	-2.2	0.2
2010	0.0	0.2	0.2	$450,000	-0.5	0.4
2011	0.0	0.1	0.1	$475,000	0.2	0.6
2012	0.0	0.0	0.0	$425,000	-0.2	0.1
2013	0.0	0.0	0.0	$425,000	0.0	0.1
2014	0.0	0.0	0.0	$450,000	0.0	0.0
Peak			1.9	$1,075,000	0.0	2.9

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2008	.257	.237	.196	.236
2009	.243	.223	.201	.224
2010	-- out of baseball --
2011	-- out of baseball --
2012	-- out of baseball --
2013	-- out of baseball --
2014	-- out of baseball --

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2008	54%	0%	25%
2009	69%	45%	10%
2010	93%	71%	9%
2011	96%	89%	4%
2012	95%	93%	3%
2013	97%	95%	2%
2014	100%	96%	1%

25

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong! Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Ryan Thompson	1992	40		11	Gary Carter	2003	33
2	John Flaherty	1979	36		12	Jerry McNertney	1971	33
3	Mike Difelice	1981	36		13	Ron Tingley	1982	33
4	Ray Murray	1970	36		14	Ray Mueller	1960	33
5	Steve Yeager	1973	35		15	Bob Scheffing	2007	32
6	Doug Mirabelli	1992	35		16	Charlie O'Brien	1975	32
7	Kelly Stinnett	1975	34		17	Frank Thomas	1969	32
8	Del Rice	1975	34		18	Jim Hegan	2000	31
9	Tim Laker	1957	34		19	Terry Steinbach	1979	30
10	Mickey Livingston	1998	33		20	Walt Dropo	2005	30

Player Comments

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2007

Sal Fasano displayed a winning personality with the Yankees, but little else of merit; Posada has been exceptionally durable, missing time only for scheduled days off and minor injuries since 2001. Still, that accounts for 25 to 31 games caught by backups each year. In that time, the reserves have hit roughly .219/.253/.340 in 810 plate appearances. There has got to be a better way.

2006

Had an astonishingly good run, stepping up when injuries made him the starting catcher, popping homers at an unprecedented rate. He also gave up stolen bases at an unprecedented rate, gutting his fielding rating. Signed with the Phillies, where he`s not exactly the perfect reserve behind Mike Lieberthal, but he`ll do.

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2005	OTT	3A	49	6	3	0	4	12	2	15	0	0	0.3	.267	.327	.600	.223	.261	.306	.565	.282	3.7	11-C 2	0.5
2005	BAL	MJ	174	25	3	0	11	20	9	41	0	0	0.6	.250	.310	.475	.028	.259	.328	.513	.280	8.0	47-C -8	1.3
2006	CLR	1C	12	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	-0.1	.083	.083	.083	-.829	.167	.167	.167	.000	-2.2		0.0
2006	REA	2A	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0	.000	.000	.000	-1.080	.000	.000	.000	.000	-1.1		0.0
2006	PHI	MJ	149	9	8	0	4	10	5	47	0	1	-0.8	.243	.284	.386	-.172	.241	.282	.383	.225	-2.6	41-C -1	0.8
2006	NYA	MJ	57	3	4	0	1	5	2	14	0	0	-0.3	.143	.222	.286	-.510	.143	.236	.265	.179	-4.7	17-C 0	0.1
2007	SYR	3A	163	18	4	0	8	14	6	33	1	0	-1.4	.262	.337	.455	.066	.250	.313	.453	.262	5.2	37-C 2	1.7
2007	TOR	MJ	49	5	3	0	1	4	2	19	0	0	0.5	.178	.229	.311	-.420	.178	.229	.311	.183	-2.8	14-C -1	0.0

Historical Stats