<< PECOTA Home Player Search     
');// -->

Ryan Doumit
Pittsburgh Pirates [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats B
Age 27
6' 1"
220 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
Baseball Prospectus DT Player Card
baseball-reference Player Card

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Pirates Depth Chart (updated: 04-24)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
RF 5 Ryan Doumit 15 103 .268 46 12 47 4 .339 .458 15.4
C 7 Ryan Doumit 40 260 .268 46 12 47 4 .339 .458 15.4
2   2008 Total 55 363 .268 46 12 47 4 .339 .458 15.4

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 IND 3A 188 41 11 0 12 35 16 36 1 3 1.5 .345 .415 .630 .501 .305 .372 .551 .301 20.6 35-C -2 2.1
2005 PIT MJ 257 25 13 1 6 35 11 48 2 1 -0.5 .255 .324 .398 -.034 .258 .320 .412 .254 6.1 48-C 2 1.8
2006 PIR 0R 16 1 0 0 0 0 1 4 0 0 -0.1 .000 .125 .000 -.751 .133 .188 .133 .000 -7.7 -0.2
2006 ALT 2A 17 4 3 0 0 4 0 1 0 0 0.1 .333 .412 .533 .392 .312 .353 .500 .288 1.2 0.1
2006 IND 3A 24 3 1 1 0 7 2 4 0 0 -0.1 .318 .375 .455 .251 .273 .333 .409 .257 0.5 0.1
2006 PIT MJ 178 15 9 0 6 17 15 42 0 0 -0.6 .208 .322 .389 -.113 .212 .320 .397 .252 -2.2 23-1B -2 0.8
2007 IND 3A 67 15 4 0 4 20 8 12 3 2 -0.6 .415 .493 .717 .824 .333 .418 .667 .340 11.7 13-C -1 1.1
2007 PIT MJ 279 33 19 2 9 32 22 59 1 2 -0.5 .274 .341 .472 .085 .279 .348 .486 .279 11.1 35-RF -3 1.5


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 9:24 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 323 54 21 1 15 43 28 61 3 2 -0.2 .303 .377 .541 .223 .298 .374 .550 .305 26.0 78-C -9 3.6
75o 300 44 18 1 12 38 25 59 3 2 -0.2 .284 .356 .495 .110 .279 .354 .503 .287 16.3 73-C -9 2.6
60o 285 37 17 1 10 35 23 57 3 2 -0.1 .271 .343 .465 .037 .266 .340 .473 .274 10.7 70-C -9 2.1
50o 276 34 16 1 9 34 22 55 3 2 -0.1 .264 .335 .449 -.004 .259 .332 .456 .267 7.7 68-C -9 1.8
40o 268 31 15 1 8 32 21 54 3 2 -0.1 .258 .328 .433 -.042 .253 .325 .440 .260 5.2 66-C -9 1.5
25o 242 24 12 1 6 28 18 51 3 2 -0.1 .238 .307 .388 -.153 .234 .305 .394 .240 -1.5 60-C -9 0.8
10o 193 13 9 0 3 20 13 43 3 1 -0.1 .206 .271 .311 -.341 .202 .268 .316 .201 -9.6 49-C -9 0.0
Weighted Mean 277 35 16 1 10 36 22 55 3 2 -0.1 .268 .339 .458 .019 .263 .337 .465 .270 11.7 68-C -9 2.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

17%

42%

34%

28%

0.93

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 27) 277 35 16 1 10 36 22 55 3 2 -0.1 .268 .339 .458 .019 .263 .337 .465 .270 11.7 68-C -9 2.0
2009 (age 28) 244 29 14 1 8 33 20 52 2 1 -0.1 .266 .339 .453 .011 .257 .332 .452 .269 7.1 60-C -10 1.4
2010 (age 29) 210 24 12 1 8 29 18 44 2 1 -0.1 .267 .340 .461 .023 .258 .332 .460 .270 7.3 53-C -9 1.3
2011 (age 30) 246 29 13 1 8 33 19 48 2 1 -0.1 .268 .339 .452 .010 .260 .331 .451 .268 5.5 61-C -11 1.0
2012 (age 31) 229 26 13 1 8 30 18 45 2 1 -0.1 .270 .339 .449 .008 .261 .331 .449 .267 4.2 57-C -11 0.8
2013 (age 32) 246 29 14 1 8 32 22 47 2 1 -0.1 .270 .341 .453 .017 .261 .334 .452 .270 3.7 61-C -12 0.7
2014 (age 33) 243 28 13 1 8 31 22 47 1 1 -0.1 .269 .339 .448 .004 .260 .331 .447 .267 2.2 60-C -11 0.5

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .270 .337 .438
vs RHP .267 .341 .476
Split +.002 -.004 -.038
LgAvg +.004 -.004 +.007

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 1.1 0.9 2.0 $3,450,000 7.9 9.5
2009 1.0 0.4 1.4 $1,925,000 2.4 3.2
2010 0.9 0.4 1.3 $1,975,000 2.4 4.2
2011 0.7 0.3 1.0 $1,600,000 1.6 3.2
2012 0.6 0.2 0.8 $1,150,000 0.6 2.6
2013 0.5 0.2 0.7 $1,150,000 0.9 2.6
2014 0.3 0.2 0.5 $1,050,000 0.7 2.0
Peak 7.2 $7,800,000 15.8 25.3


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .287 .267 .240 .270
2009 .285 .269 .248 .269
2010 .290 .266 .244 .270
2011 .297 .266 .238 .268
2012 .289 .262 .229 .267
2013 .295 .269 .224 .270
2014 .279 .249 .228 .267


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 28% 0% 17%
2009 38% 14% 10%
2010 43% 15% 12%
2011 61% 30% 18%
2012 64% 39% 12%
2013 74% 54% 11%
2014 81% 69% 7%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

54

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong!
Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Jason Varitek 1992 40 11 Wes Chamberlain 2003 33
2 Ben Davis 1979 36 12 Joe Charboneau 1971 33
3 Harry Chiti 1981 36 13 Bill Nahorodny 1982 33
4 John Orsino 1970 36 14 Leon Roberts 1960 33
5 Mark Brouhard 1973 35 15 Josh Bard 2007 32
6 Eddie Taubensee 1992 35 16 John Herrnstein 1975 32
7 Gene Oliver 1975 34 17 Lance Niekro 1969 32
8 Dave Duncan 1975 34 18 Todd Hundley 2000 31
9 Carl Everett 1957 34 19 Charlie Spikes 1979 30
10 Greg Norton 1998 33 20 Dante Bichette 2005 30

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

Ronny Paulino had already established himself at catcher by the time Doumit`s left hamstring forced him onto the disabled list in June. When Doumit came back two months later, there wasn`t a lot of playing time available. A position switch seems inevitable, but Doumit`s bat would be less exceptional at first base than it is behind the plate. If Doumit can stay healthy for more than two minutes at a time, he might have more value to the Pirates as a trading chip in a thin catching market. Who are we kidding? The Pirates don`t upgrade through trades. Come to think of it, they don`t upgrade.

2006

Since arriving in the high minors, Doumit has flashed solid gap-power numbers and made strides with his plate discipline. You`ll occasionally hear his defense pilloried, but for the foreseeable future the Bucs are committed to him behind the plate. Some within the organization would like to see Doumit abandon switch-hitting and bat solely from the left side, but that`s not likely to happen right away. In any event, Doumit will be the team`s regular catcher in 2006, and once he adjusts to the highest level he could be could for 50 extra-base hits per season. He`s an underrated performer.

2005

The snake-bit wonder among the Pirates clutch of interesting catchers in the system. This year, it was mono at season's start and a bum elbow that limited him to DH once he could play. He might still learn how to catch, and at only 24, it's way too early to give up on clothing him in the tools of ignorance. He had a nifty AFL, but so did just about everybody with a bat. If he doesn't log a second healthy season to go with 2003, his prospectdom's going to stall in the 'maybe' category. Still enough offensive upside to get excited.


Baseball Prospectus Home  |  Terms of Service  |  Privacy Policy  |  Contact Us
Copyright © 1996-2008 Prospectus Entertainment Ventures, LLC.