<< PECOTA Home Player Search     
');// -->

Chris Coste
Philadelphia Phillies [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 35
6' 1"
215 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
Baseball Prospectus DT Player Card
baseball-reference Player Card
tsn.ca Player Card

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Phillies Depth Chart (updated: 04-24)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
C 8 Chris Coste 30 193 .259 19 4 23 1 .306 .393 1.7
1   2008 Total 30 193 .259 19 4 23 1 .306 .393 1.7

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 SWB 3A 562 73 26 1 20 89 40 85 3 4 -5.6 .292 .351 .466 .112 .265 .321 .420 .255 17.1 91-3B 2 3.6
2006 SWB 3A 161 12 8 0 2 14 9 28 1 1 0.7 .177 .236 .272 -.332 .204 .256 .313 .197 -13.4 25-1B 5 0.1
2006 PHI MJ 213 25 14 0 7 32 10 31 0 0 -0.4 .328 .376 .505 .233 .323 .371 .490 .293 16.5 49-C -6 2.2
2007 CLR 1C 10 3 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0.2 .400 .400 .500 .400 .400 .400 .500 .308 1.3 0.1
2007 REA 2A 116 14 5 0 5 31 5 13 0 0 0.0 .287 .319 .472 .095 .257 .284 .422 .242 1.1 19-C 2 0.8
2007 OTT 3A 102 8 5 0 0 10 10 14 0 0 0.5 .233 .317 .289 -.158 .220 .304 .275 .208 -6.9 16-1B 3 0.2
2007 PHI MJ 137 15 3 0 5 22 4 20 0 0 0.7 .279 .311 .419 -.039 .279 .316 .434 .256 3.6 27-C 0 1.3


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 8:36 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 270 41 14 1 9 36 17 40 2 1 -0.5 .296 .345 .473 .073 .291 .343 .463 .273 12.2 66-C -7 2.1
75o 252 33 12 1 7 32 15 39 1 1 -0.4 .276 .325 .431 -.036 .272 .322 .422 .254 5.2 62-C -7 1.5
60o 238 27 10 1 6 29 13 38 1 1 -0.4 .261 .308 .399 -.119 .257 .306 .390 .238 0.4 59-C -6 1.0
50o 231 25 10 0 6 27 12 37 1 1 -0.4 .254 .301 .384 -.158 .250 .299 .376 .231 -1.6 57-C -6 0.8
40o 222 22 9 0 5 26 11 36 1 1 -0.4 .247 .292 .367 -.202 .243 .290 .359 .222 -3.8 56-C -6 0.6
25o 204 17 7 0 4 22 10 34 1 1 -0.3 .230 .274 .331 -.295 .226 .272 .324 .202 -7.8 51-C -5 0.2
10o 154 8 4 0 1 14 6 28 1 0 -0.2 .194 .234 .253 -.491 .191 .233 .248 .149 -12.8 40-C -4 -0.4
Weighted Mean 192 19 8 0 5 23 10 31 1 1 -0.4 .259 .306 .393 -.134 .255 .303 .385 .234 1.7 49-C -4 1.2

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

16%

33%

44%

52%

1.12

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 35) 192 19 8 0 5 23 10 31 1 1 -0.4 .259 .306 .393 -.134 .255 .303 .385 .234 1.7 49-C -4 1.2
2009 (age 36) 151 13 6 0 4 17 7 23 1 0 -0.2 .253 .293 .381 -.178 .245 .286 .366 .224 -1.4 40-C -4 0.4
2010 (age 37) 180 18 8 0 5 22 10 27 1 0 -0.1 .264 .312 .403 -.106 .255 .305 .387 .240 0.4 46-C -5 0.4
2011 (age 38)
-- out of baseball --
2012 (age 39)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 40)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 41)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .275 .326 .420
vs RHP .253 .297 .377
Split +.021 +.030 +.043
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.2 1.1 1.2 $1,300,000 -0.6 1.8
2009 0.0 0.4 0.4 $600,000 -2.9 0.1
2010 0.1 0.3 0.4 $575,000 -0.3 0.8
2011 0.0 0.2 0.2 $500,000 -0.6 0.2
2012 0.0 0.1 0.1 $425,000 -0.8 0.0
2013 0.0 0.0 0.1 $450,000 -0.2 0.2
2014 0.0 0.1 0.1 $500,000 0.0 0.0
Peak 2.4 $1,325,000 0.0 3.2


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .254 .231 .202 .234
2009 .252 .234 .196 .224
2010 .271 .240 .222 .240
2011
-- out of baseball --
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 52% 0% 16%
2009 75% 35% 4%
2010 87% 65% 8%
2011 90% 71% 5%
2012 96% 85% 3%
2013 97% 89% 2%
2014 97% 93% 0%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

53

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong!
Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Jamie Burke 1992 40 11 Bo Diaz 2003 33
2 Barry Lyons 1979 36 12 Pat Borders 1971 33
3 Randy Knorr 1981 36 13 Joe Girardi 1982 33
4 John Flaherty 1970 36 14 Scott Servais 1960 33
5 Sandy Alomar 1973 35 15 Mickey Owen 2007 32
6 Mike Matheny 1992 35 16 Ron Coomer 1975 32
7 Tom Pagnozzi 1975 34 17 Jerry McNertney 1969 32
8 Mike Difelice 1975 34 18 Benito Santiago 2000 31
9 Bob Scheffing 1957 34 19 Greg Pryor 1979 30
10 Shawn Wooten 1998 33 20 Rick Cerone 2005 30

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

Coste ranks right up there with the Tigers as one of the feel-good stories of 2006. Undrafted out of college, Coste spent four years in the Northern League and didn`t play his first game in the minors until age 27. He`s bounced around constantly since then, both from team to team and around the field (he`s played everywhere but center field). He`s done whatever it took to keep playing baseball, including writing a book about his long minor league odyssey; a second tome is on its way. At the risk of spoiling the fairy tale, Coste has never been nearly as a good a hitter in the minors as he was for Philadelphia last year, and cannot be expected to repeat his performance.


Baseball Prospectus Home  |  Terms of Service  |  Privacy Policy  |  Contact Us
Copyright © 1996-2008 Prospectus Entertainment Ventures, LLC.