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Bryan Corey
Boston Red Sox [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Pitcher
Throws R
Age 34
6'
170 lbs.

Player Profile

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Most Comparable Pitchers | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Red Sox Depth Chart (updated: 04-24)
Pos Name IP GS ERA WHIP H BB HR SO W L SV VORP
Long Bryan Corey 35 0 4.70 1.50 38 14 3 24 1 1 0 3.6

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2005 ABQ 3A 3 6 0 44 1 60.0 78 20 44 11 42% .344 -28 1.63 7.65 8.13 8.47 12.3 3.4 4.6 1.8 -18.0 -0.9
2006 FRI 2A 1 0 7 13 0 17.1 16 6 19 0 55% .340 1 1.29 2.11 4.24 4.24 9.0 3.7 6.4 0.0 2.6 0.7
2006 OKL 3A 0 0 8 12 0 15.0 8 2 16 0 51% .242 20 0.67 0.60 2.55 1.88 5.0 1.3 7.5 0.0 5.9 1.1
2006 PAW 3A 0 0 0 3 0 5.1 7 2 4 2 65% .333 -71 1.76 7.06 24.23 14.54 16.6 4.2 6.2 6.2 -4.3 -0.2
2006 BOS MJ 1 0 0 16 0 21.7 20 7 15 1 45% .297 2 1.25 4.56 3.20 3.74 7.5 2.5 5.8 0.4 3.8 0.7 0.5
2006 TEX MJ 1 1 0 16 0 17.3 15 8 13 0 37% .288 3 1.33 2.60 2.88 2.50 7.0 3.5 6.0 0.0 6.9 -0.1 0.9
2007 PAW 3A 6 8 3 58 0 68.3 57 20 67 6 53% .288 -2 1.13 3.69 4.36 4.68 8.4 3.0 6.5 1.1 6.7 2.6
2007 BOS MJ 1 0 0 9 0 9.3 6 4 6 0 64% .300 -1 1.07 1.94 3.17 2.45 7.4 4.9 6.1 0.0 4.3 0.4 0.4


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/17/08 8:02 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
90o 4 2 2 51 3 59.0 55 23 42 4 49% .283 0 1.32 3.23 3.45 3.21 7.9 3.1 5.8 0.6 16.8 1.6 2.2
75o 3 3 2 47 3 55.0 55 22 39 5 49% .297 -3 1.40 3.89 3.93 3.85 8.5 3.3 5.8 0.7 11.3 1.1 1.6
60o 3 3 1 45 3 51.7 55 21 37 5 48% .308 -5 1.47 4.45 4.34 4.39 9.0 3.4 5.9 0.8 7.2 0.7 1.2
50o 3 3 1 42 3 49.0 55 21 35 5 48% .318 -6 1.54 4.95 4.70 4.87 9.5 3.5 5.9 0.9 4.0 0.4 0.9
40o 2 3 1 41 3 47.7 55 20 34 5 48% .323 -7 1.57 5.22 4.90 5.13 9.7 3.5 5.8 0.9 2.3 0.3 0.7
25o 2 3 1 39 2 44.7 54 20 32 5 48% .333 -9 1.64 5.76 5.29 5.64 10.2 3.6 5.9 1.0 -0.7 0.0 0.4
10o 1 2 0 30 2 34.3 49 17 24 5 47% .369 -17 1.91 7.95 6.84 7.73 12.0 4.0 5.8 1.3 -9.4 -0.8 -0.5
Weighted Mean 3 3 1 44 3 50.7 55 21 36 5 48% .313 -5 1.50 4.70 4.51 4.64 9.2 3.4 5.9 0.8 5.2 0.6 1.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

26%

49%

20%

22%

0.90

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2008 (age 34) 3 3 1 44 3 50.7 55 21 36 5 48% .313 -5 1.50 4.70 4.51 4.64 9.2 3.4 5.9 0.8 5.2 0.6 1.0
2009 (age 35) 3 3 1 43 2 48.3 53 20 34 5 49% .311 -7 1.50 4.80 4.47 4.75 9.2 3.4 5.8 0.9 3.0 0.5 0.6
2010 (age 36) 3 3 1 45 2 51.3 52 20 36 5 49% .297 -5 1.41 4.31 4.04 4.29 8.6 3.2 5.8 0.8 4.0 0.8 0.7
2011 (age 37) 3 2 1 41 2 46.0 46 17 32 4 48% .294 -4 1.38 4.14 3.91 4.11 8.5 3.1 5.8 0.8 3.0 0.8 0.5
2012 (age 38)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 39)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 40)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHB .252 .348 .412
vs RHB .252 .330 .366
Split +.000 +.018 +.045
LgAvg +.009 +.034 +.039

Valuation

Year WARP MORP Mean VORP Upside
2008 1.0 $1,875,000 5.4 3.3
2009 0.6 $1,250,000 3.1 2.7
2010 0.7 $1,500,000 4.0 3.2
2011 0.5 $1,225,000 3.0 2.4
2012 0.3 $900,000 1.8 1.2
2013 0.2 $650,000 0.9 0.2
2014 0.1 $575,000 0.6 0.3
Peak 3.3 $4,450,000 17.3 13.1


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 3.85 4.87 5.64 4.64
2009 3.87 5.00 6.29 4.75
2010 3.39 4.37 5.73 4.29
2011 3.00 4.33 5.51 4.11
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 22% 0% 26%
2009 48% 31% 20%
2010 59% 49% 21%
2011 71% 61% 16%
2012 82% 68% 18%
2013 86% 79% 12%
2014 96% 85% 9%

Most Comparable Pitchers

Similarity Index

65

Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend
1 Terry Clark 1995 72 11 Greg Harris 1990 53
2 Donn Pall 1996 65 12 Stu Miller 1962 52
3 Matt Herges 2004 61 13 Ricky Bottalico 2004 51
4 Don Elston 1963 59 14 Tom Gorman 1959 50
5 Anthony Telford 2000 59 15 Mike DeJean 2005 50
6 Mike Marshall 1977 58 16 Danny Patterson 2005 50
7 Jim Dougherty 2002 58 17 Tom Hume 1987 50
8 Randy St._Claire 1995 58 18 Curt Leskanic 2002 50
9 Mark Williamson 1994 55 19 Matt Whiteside 2002 49
10 Shigetoshi Hasegawa 2003 55 20 Jerry Reed 1990 48

Player Comments

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2007

Corey puts the journey in journeyman. Drafted by Detroit as an infielder in 1993, he accumulated just five major league innings while passing through eight organizations plus the Yomiuri Giants before signing with Texas last year. Flipped to the desperate-for-relief Sox at the deadline and used in low-leverage roles, he gained Terry Francona`s favor for his ability to handle lefties (.225/.282/.352 in 71 AB), but whether he can repeat that is unknown.


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