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Alex Cora
Boston Red Sox [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Second Base
Bats L
Age 32
6'
200 lbs.

Player Profile

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Red Sox Depth Chart (updated: 04-24)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
2B 2 Alex Cora 10 76 .245 15 1 14 2 .291 .331 -2.5
SS 9 Alex Cora 15 95 .245 15 1 14 2 .291 .331 -2.5
2   2008 Total 25 171 .245 15 1 14 2 .291 .331 -2.5

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 CLE MJ 157 11 5 2 1 8 5 18 6 0 1.1 .205 .250 .288 -.359 .215 .265 .299 .209 -5.8 22-SS 5 1.0
2005 BOS MJ 116 14 3 2 2 16 6 12 1 2 0.5 .269 .310 .394 -.083 .275 .327 .402 .252 0.3 24-2B -3 1.0
2006 BOS MJ 264 31 7 2 1 18 19 29 6 2 0.7 .238 .312 .298 -.272 .236 .315 .296 .224 -5.4 49-SS 8 1.5
2007 BOS MJ 232 30 10 5 3 18 7 23 1 1 0.5 .246 .298 .386 -.143 .246 .298 .401 .242 -0.6 34-2B 2 1.6


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 8:30 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 220 31 12 2 2 23 13 23 3 1 0.4 .291 .343 .409 .002 .283 .339 .418 .268 8.0 55-2B 0 1.9
75o 206 24 10 2 2 20 11 22 3 1 0.4 .266 .315 .367 -.120 .258 .312 .375 .245 1.5 52-2B 0 1.3
60o 198 21 9 2 1 19 10 22 2 1 0.3 .254 .302 .347 -.178 .247 .298 .354 .233 -1.2 50-2B 0 1.0
50o 193 19 8 2 1 18 9 22 2 1 0.3 .246 .292 .333 -.217 .239 .289 .340 .225 -3.0 49-2B 0 0.8
40o 187 17 7 2 1 17 8 21 2 1 0.3 .235 .281 .316 -.267 .229 .278 .323 .214 -5.1 48-2B 0 0.6
25o 175 14 6 1 1 15 7 21 2 1 0.3 .219 .261 .288 -.348 .213 .259 .294 .194 -8.1 45-2B 0 0.3
10o 134 6 3 1 0 9 4 18 2 1 0.2 .174 .209 .213 -.562 .170 .207 .217 .126 -13.0 36-2B -1 -0.4
Weighted Mean 181 17 7 2 1 16 9 20 2 1 0.3 .245 .291 .331 -.222 .238 .288 .339 .223 -2.7 46-2B 1 1.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

20%

41%

40%

42%

1.06

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 32) 181 17 7 2 1 16 9 20 2 1 0.3 .245 .291 .331 -.222 .238 .288 .339 .223 -2.7 46-2B 1 1.4
2009 (age 33) 180 18 7 1 2 18 9 20 2 1 0.2 .255 .301 .347 -.177 .252 .303 .361 .232 -0.7 46-2B 0 0.7
2010 (age 34) 207 23 10 2 2 18 10 22 3 1 0.1 .257 .305 .350 -.166 .254 .306 .364 .235 -0.2 52-2B -1 0.5
2011 (age 35)
-- out of baseball --
2012 (age 36)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 37)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 38)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .226 .270 .291
vs RHP .251 .301 .354
Split -.025 -.031 -.063
LgAvg -.035 -.040 -.079

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.0 1.4 1.4 $1,475,000 -1.3 1.3
2009 0.1 0.6 0.7 $775,000 -0.3 1.2
2010 0.1 0.4 0.5 $650,000 0.0 0.9
2011 0.0 0.2 0.2 $500,000 -1.1 0.1
2012 0.0 0.1 0.1 $450,000 -0.8 0.1
2013 0.0 0.0 0.0 $450,000 -0.2 0.0
2014 0.0 0.0 0.0 $450,000 -0.5 0.0
Peak 2.9 $1,725,000 0.0 3.6


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .245 .225 .194 .223
2009 .248 .228 .195 .232
2010 .253 .223 .199 .235
2011
-- out of baseball --
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 42% 0% 20%
2009 64% 35% 22%
2010 77% 60% 20%
2011 84% 70% 12%
2012 95% 82% 6%
2013 97% 91% 6%
2014 98% 93% 4%

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

After coming over from the Indians in a mid-2005 trade, Cora hit well enough that some thought he might win the starting job at short. Then the Sox signed Alex Gonzalez, relegating Cora to the backup role. Despite a shortage of at-bats, he hit well enough through the first four months of the season (.293/.383/.358), but turned into an offensive cipher from August 1 onward (.179/.227/.232). Still a reasonably adept fielder, the Red Sox brought him back on a two-year contract.

2006

The Indians gave Cora a two-year deal last year to play short, but the emergence of Jhonny Peralta sent him to the bench and then to the Red Sox, who could afford such a luxury on the second team. As a utility man, Cora`s as good as you are going to find, but if he hits like he did in 2004, he`s a borderline candidate to start, and with the departure of Renteria that just might happen. After last year, the Red Sox might be looking for defense first at the position, so Cora`s bat might not be a hindrance.

2005

Bounced back after a rough 2003. He's worth at least a win with the glove, so a season like 2004 makes him a valuable player. Still, he probably played a bit over his head—his 18 HBPs added a lot to his on-base percentage and likely won't be replicated—and the Dodgers non-tendered him after signing the more potent Jeff Kent. Even a half-step below his '04 output, Cora will still make a decent signing, for the right price.

2003

Take the best computer program you can find, mate it with the wisdom of the world’s greatest psychic, and even that love child will still be wrong from time to time in this business. Why? Sh...er, stuff happens. Two causes of said stuff: small sample size and the fate of balls in play. Alex Cora went from everyday shortstop to part-time player, digging in just 293 times last year. Combine that nugget with a contact hitter who challenges the defense to make plays, and occasionally you get a 74-point spike in batting average, and related gains everywhere else. The Dodgers will still give Cesar Izturis every chance to be their starting shortstop for the next five years, meaning Cora will either be gone or in a utility role by Opening Day.

2002

Cora is best suited for a bench role. He's quick enough to play shortstop and second base, has enough of an arm to play third base, and the one thing he can do at the plate is make contact. He makes a terrible regular and could lose his job to Cesar Izturis this spring. Explain again how this team stayed in contention until the final couple weeks of the season?

2001

Left-handed-hitting everyday shortstops are fairly rare. Mike Caruso was the regular for about two seasons with the White Sox, who also employed Ozzie Guillen for ten years. Bill Spiers had one year with the Brewers, and you have to go back to Ernest Riles and Craig Reynolds. Cora is a passable stopgap; the Dodgers need something more to win.

2000

Joey’s little brother is a much better defensive player than he was, but he can’t hit and isn’t likely to learn anytime soon. If you had to have a guy like this on the roster, you’d be better off with Juan Castro, who is a fantastic defender and an even worse hitter. Even if something were to happen to Mark Grudzielanek, the Dodgers would be better off moving Jose Vizcaino to shortstop and playing Bocachica or Adam Riggs. In other words, forget Cora.

1999

A left-handed-hitting Juan Castro. Cora's no prospect, but he advanced through the system thanks to a good glove. It's hard to say he has a role as a bench player in Los Angeles, but if he improves his hitting or his base-stealing, he should be able to be a fifth infielder someday. Hey, it pays well.


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