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Raul Chavez
Toronto Blue Jays [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 36
5' 11"
210 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
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Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Blue Jays Depth Chart (updated: 08-09)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
C 9 Raul Chavez 35 75 .240 6 1 7 0 .262 .322 -2.0
1   2009 Total 35 75 .240 6 1 7 0 .262 .322 -2.0

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 BOW AA 213 18 10 0 2 21 11 19 0 0 -2.4 .255 .290 .337 -.604 .169 .199 .224 .119 -30.7 44-C 4 -1.5
2006 BAL MLB 29 1 0 0 0 0 1 4 0 0 0.2 .179 .207 .179 -.644 .179 .207 .179 .072 -3.6 9-C 1 -0.2
2007 SWB AAA 316 29 14 0 4 31 11 39 1 0 0.3 .221 .265 .310 -.503 .185 .221 .263 .158 -33.9 69-C 2 8-3B 2 -1.3
2008 IND AAA 91 9 5 1 3 13 4 11 0 0 0.5 .306 .352 .494 -.082 .256 .297 .442 .250 1.0 21-C 5 0.9
2008 PIT MLB 122 12 4 0 1 10 4 14 0 0 0.0 .259 .287 .319 -.277 .259 .287 .310 .208 -1.8 31-C 3 0.1


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/8/09 12:03 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 182 20 9 0 4 19 10 28 0 0 -0.6 .256 .300 .382 -.142 .257 .301 .391 .240 1.1 47-C 2 1.0
75o 174 17 8 0 3 17 9 27 0 0 -0.5 .243 .284 .356 -.216 .244 .285 .364 .225 -1.9 45-C 2 0.7
60o 163 13 7 0 2 15 7 26 0 0 -0.5 .226 .263 .321 -.313 .227 .264 .329 .203 -5.5 42-C 2 0.3
50o 156 11 6 0 2 14 6 25 0 0 -0.4 .217 .251 .303 -.365 .218 .253 .310 .190 -7.1 41-C 2 0.1
40o 151 10 6 0 2 13 6 25 0 0 -0.4 .210 .243 .289 -.403 .211 .244 .296 .180 -8.2 40-C 2 0.0
25o 109 4 3 0 0 6 2 19 0 0 -0.3 .173 .195 .214 -.614 .174 .196 .219 .098 -11.3 30-C 1 -0.6
10o 71 1 2 0 0 3 1 13 0 0 -0.2 .153 .168 .172 -.731 .154 .169 .176 .024 -9.3 22-C 1 -0.5
Weighted Mean 131 8 5 0 1 11 5 21 0 0 -0.4 .214 .247 .296 -.364 .215 .248 .303 .184 -6.4 35-C 3 0.2

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

48%

57%

33%

65%

1.15

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 36) 131 8 5 0 1 11 5 21 0 0 -0.4 .214 .247 .296 -.364 .215 .248 .303 .184 -6.4 35-C 3 0.2
2010 (age 37) 147 11 6 0 2 13 6 22 0 0 -0.3 .229 .264 .323 -.293 .233 .268 .335 .204 -2.7 39-C 2 0.2
2011 (age 38) 147 10 6 1 2 13 7 25 0 0 -0.2 .216 .257 .300 -.346 .220 .261 .311 .192 -2.7 39-C 1 0.1
2012 (age 39)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 40)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 41)
-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 42)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .229 .267 .324
vs RHP .210 .241 .285
Split +.020 +.026 +.038
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 -6.2 3.0 0.2 $400,000 -3.4 0.4
2010 -4.6 2.0 0.2 $575,000 -1.3 1.1
2011 -6.0 1.0 0.1 $450,000 -1.7 0.3
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --
Peak 0.6 $525,000 0.4 2.8


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .225 .190 .098 .184
2010 .232 .199 .097 .204
2011 .240 .217 .153 .192
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 65% 0% 48%
2010 77% 47% 45%
2011 84% 62% 29%
2012 92% 71% 24%
2013 97% 84% 16%
2014 97% 91% 9%
2015 100% 94% 7%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

29

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Danny Sheaffer 1997 50 11 Pat Borders 1999 32
2 Gary Bennett 2008 48 12 Dan Wilson 2005 32
3 Steve Lake 1993 42 13 Jim Hegan 1956 31
4 Jeff Newman 1984 41 14 Brad Ausmus 2005 31
5 Mike Difelice 2005 39 15 Tim Laker 2006 31
6 Tom Pagnozzi 1998 37 16 John Flaherty 2004 30
7 Del Crandall 1966 34 17 Manny Sanguillen 1980 30
8 Bo Diaz 1989 33 18 Mike Guerra 1949 30
9 Buddy Rosar 1950 33 19 Joe Oliver 2001 29
10 Clyde McCullough 1953 32 20 Bob Boone 1984 28

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

A third-string catcher, Raul Chavez is the kind of `just in case` guy who doesn`t help at the plate, but behind it is an improvement on just about anybody but the Gold Glove winners. He`ll try to move up to second-string with the Yankees.

2006

There`s absolutely nothing to recommend Chavez for a major league roster over literally dozens of guys bouncing around the minors--well, almost nothing. Roy Oswalt likes throwing to him, which means he draws an MLB paycheck and pension rather than selling insurance. Not that there`s anything wrong with selling insurance, other than that there`s no such thing as an `Insurance Annie.`

2005

Chavez didn't hit enough to force the Astros into addressing the Ausmus problem, and spent the year as a virtually empty roster spot. His presence is less about not exploiting the free-talent market than it is the organization's obsession with catch-and-throw guys.

2001

That Raul Chavez has gotten cups of coffee with three different teams in the last four years despite a complete lack of offense in the minors is testament to his formidable defensive reputation. That he has yet to play in more than 14 major-league games in a season suggests that there’s only room for one Mike Matheny in baseball. Chavez is a reasonable insurance policy as a Triple-A catcher, nothing more.

2000

A good defensive backstop, he got contact lenses last winter and had his best offensive season in years. If he ponies up a few more bucks and undergoes laser surgery, maybe he'll hook on somewhere as a backup.

1999

Hits like a great defender. One of many possibilities for the job Wilson's caddy.

1998

A catcher who hits this bad better be a damn good defensive player. As usual, his defensive reputation grows the more his offensive contributions tumble. His entire career depends on how much he impresses management with his abilities behind the plate.

1997

Chavez was acquired along with Dave Veres in the Sean Berry deal. Pay close attention, folks: it’s not every day that you see a team trade for a backup catcher. A defensive specialist, but you knew that, right? If he didn’t have a good defensive reputation, he probably would never have been signed.

1996

Chavez was thrown into the Berry deal, but with Tim Laker out for the year, the Expos may be thinking of using him as Fletcher's backup. For their sake, I hope not.


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