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Ramon Castro
New York Mets [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 33
6' 3"
255 lbs.

Player Profile

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

White Sox Depth Chart (updated: 08-09)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
C 7 Ramon Castro 25 57 .238 6 3 8 0 .307 .422 0.8
1   2009 Total 25 57 .238 6 3 8 0 .307 .422 0.8

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 NYN MLB 144 13 7 0 4 12 15 40 0 0 -1.2 .238 .322 .389 -.104 .238 .326 .397 .254 1.2 34-C 3 0.9
2007 NYN MLB 157 24 6 0 11 31 10 39 0 0 -3.2 .285 .331 .556 .217 .294 .344 .580 .303 12.9 37-C -2 1.3
2008 SLU A+ 24 6 1 0 2 5 3 2 0 0 0.1 .350 .417 .700 -.122 .238 .292 .429 .251 0.0 6-C 1 0.2
2008 NYN MLB 157 15 7 0 7 24 13 34 0 0 -0.9 .245 .312 .441 -.032 .252 .318 .455 .263 4.7 39-C 1 0.8


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/8/09 1:15 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 257 38 13 0 13 40 25 52 0 0 -2.0 .289 .361 .526 .208 .293 .365 .551 .304 22.9 63-C -1 2.9
75o 245 33 12 0 12 37 23 51 0 0 -1.9 .276 .348 .497 .135 .280 .352 .521 .292 17.7 61-C -1 2.4
60o 232 29 11 0 10 34 21 50 0 0 -1.7 .263 .335 .469 .062 .267 .338 .491 .279 12.8 58-C -1 1.9
50o 225 26 11 0 9 32 20 49 0 0 -1.7 .255 .327 .452 .019 .259 .330 .474 .272 10.1 56-C -1 1.7
40o 216 23 10 0 9 29 19 48 0 0 -1.6 .246 .318 .432 -.031 .250 .321 .453 .263 7.2 54-C -1 1.4
25o 188 16 8 0 6 23 16 45 0 0 -1.3 .220 .291 .376 -.175 .224 .294 .394 .235 0.0 48-C -1 0.6
10o 172 13 7 0 5 19 14 42 0 0 -1.1 .206 .276 .345 -.253 .210 .279 .362 .219 -3.1 44-C -1 0.3
Weighted Mean 218 26 10 0 9 32 20 47 0 0 -1.6 .259 .331 .461 .018 .263 .334 .483 .275 12.7 55-C -1 1.7

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

21%

48%

31%

29%

1.09

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 33) 218 26 10 0 9 32 20 47 0 0 -1.6 .259 .331 .461 .018 .263 .334 .483 .275 12.7 55-C -1 1.7
2010 (age 34) 156 16 7 0 7 23 14 34 0 0 -1.0 .251 .324 .448 -.016 .252 .322 .463 .268 5.9 41-C -1 1.1
2011 (age 35) 178 19 8 0 7 27 16 41 1 0 -0.8 .253 .326 .443 -.015 .254 .325 .458 .268 4.8 46-C -1 0.9
2012 (age 36) 190 20 8 0 8 27 17 41 0 0 -0.6 .247 .318 .441 -.036 .248 .317 .456 .265 3.0 48-C -2 0.5
2013 (age 37)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 38)
-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 39)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .275 .349 .483
vs RHP .254 .323 .444
Split +.021 +.026 +.039
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 9.5 -1.0 1.7 $2,750,000 9.6 14.1
2010 5.8 -1.0 1.1 $1,625,000 3.9 6.8
2011 6.6 -1.0 0.9 $1,475,000 3.0 6.0
2012 6.2 -2.0 0.5 $1,050,000 1.2 2.2
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --
Peak 4.7 $5,350,000 20.2 33.5


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .292 .272 .235 .275
2010 .280 .257 .241 .268
2011 .292 .272 .232 .268
2012 .281 .271 .240 .265
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 29% 0% 21%
2010 58% 19% 11%
2011 61% 41% 13%
2012 74% 57% 8%
2013 85% 76% 5%
2014 88% 81% 5%
2015 88% 84% 4%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

24

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Gene Oliver 1968 43 11 Jeff Newman 1982 23
2 Mark Parent 1995 35 12 Todd Pratt 2000 22
3 Javy Lopez 2004 30 13 Mike Macfarlane 1997 22
4 Joe Oliver 1998 28 14 Jeff Conine 1999 22
5 Gus Triandos 1963 27 15 Eduardo Perez 2003 22
6 Ozzie Virgil 1990 25 16 Charles Johnson 2004 21
7 Bill Haselman 1999 25 17 Pete Incaviglia 1997 21
8 Carlton Fisk 1981 25 18 Bob Brenly 1987 20
9 Doug Mirabelli 2004 25 19 Steve Bilko 1962 20
10 John Ellis 1981 24 20 Lance Parrish 1989 20

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2008

Castro had his best season with the bat in 2007. In his three seasons with the Mets, he's smacked 23 home runs in roughly a full season of play (479 at-bats). In this catching-deprived world, there are less productive backstops with starting jobs, and the Mets will keep Castro in an understudy roll to one of them: new acquisition Brian Schneider.

2007

Castro did a great job of subbing for Mike Piazza in 2005, but last year he careened from one disaster to another. Lo Duca being more durable than Piazza, Castro was already in for a reduction in playing time, but nature took him all the way to the limit. After a strained left quad put him on the DL, Castro tore up a knee while preparing for a rehab appearance. He underwent surgery, missing just over eight weeks. Castro is eligible for free agency after this season; some team may yet be tempted enough by his power to offer him a starting job.

2005

Sexual assault charges stemming from a 2003 incident followed Castro all year long until a plea agreement ended the issue in November. Whether it was the charges, an early-season slump or an injured toe that did it, 2004 was a lost year. The Mets have signed him to a minor league deal; he'd make a fine backup for Mike Piazza in New York, but he has to beat out Vance Wilson and Jason Phillips, or just one of them on a three-catcher roster.

2003

Castro sprained his elbow and hit the DL on May 19, and with Mike Redmond grabbing the top backup job in the meantime and Charles Johnson packing his bags, he may be several million dollars lighter for it. Left alone to start, Castro could easily hit 20 bombs in 2003, and with his relative youth that would net him a multiyear contract somewhere. For now, he’s behind Redmond on the depth chart.

2002

The Fish were able to sneak Castro through waivers in April, raising questions as to whether anybody in MLB actually watches the waiver wire. Whatever chance Castro had at a career with the Marlins died when Charles Johnson passed on exercising his out clause. Hopefully, Castro will be traded this spring and allowed to win the starting job for which he's been qualified for two years. He'd be worth two or three wins to a team like the Cardinals.

2001

Ramon Castro was handed a starting job in spring training but was overmatched offensively and sent to Calgary. There, Cannons’ hitting coach Sal Rende improved Castro's balance by opening up his stance. However, when he was recalled in late July, he reverted to lunging at pitches. Castro is a strong catch-and-throw receiver whose over-aggressiveness at bat won’t allow him to be as good as he could be. The Charles Johnson signing makes Castro trade bait.

2000

The nominal catcher of the future hasn’t shown as much offensive development as you’d like to see, but reached the majors last August anyway. Castro is a good defensive catcher who will hit enough to be a starter right now and is young enough to improve. He should be up to stay.

1999

The prize for trading Jay Powell to the Astros, Castro is a top-notch defensive catcher: he was gunning almost half of opposing thieves at Jackson, and his gamecalling has improved since he learned to “habla.” He’s got a Bo Diaz-sized case of the slows on the bases, which for a player this young is surprising. Only an elbow injury kept him from a September callup in ’98, but he’s expected to be 100% in camp. He should be the Marlins’ starting catcher by ’00.

1998

Since being the highest-selected Puerto Rican amateur, expectations have been high. They also aren’t unjustified, as 1997 was finally the kind of year the Astros were expecting. Castro is agile and has a cannon behind the plate. There’s talk that he could move up quickly if he hits at Double-A.

1997

Young catching prospect with a good mix of offensive skills. He’s still young enough that lots of bad things can happen to him, but there’s so much to like here it’s easy to envision him in the Dome, or Northern Virginia, in 1999.


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