Alberto Castillo

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2005	SAC	3A	14	2	0	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0.0	.077	.143	.077	-1.011	.154	.214	.154	.065	-2.1		0.0
2005	KCA	MJ	114	13	5	1	1	14	12	21	1	0	-1.3	.210	.292	.310	-.259	.214	.310	.316	.229	-2.2	32-C 2	0.9
2005	OAK	MJ	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.0	.000	.000	.000	-1.296	.000	.000	.000	.000	-0.3		0.0
2006	NWO	3A	298	33	17	0	0	30	35	42	1	2	-0.5	.268	.356	.335	-.038	.242	.325	.315	.231	-3.8	74-C 1	1.9
2007	NOR	3A	240	24	6	0	3	24	32	34	0	0	-1.6	.271	.367	.345	.070	.257	.351	.335	.250	2.6	61-C -3	1.9
2007	BAL	MJ	36	5	2	0	1	3	3	10	0	0	-0.1	.161	.229	.323	-.398	.161	.229	.323	.196	-1.9	10-C 2	0.2

EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 7:54 AM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	217	28	9	0	4	24	23	40	1	1	-0.7	.274	.351	.398	-.011	.271	.352	.411	.273	8.0	54-C 1	2.2
75^o	201	22	8	0	3	20	20	37	1	1	-0.6	.250	.328	.354	-.124	.248	.329	.365	.251	1.9	51-C 0	1.5
60^o	194	19	7	0	3	19	19	36	1	1	-0.6	.241	.318	.336	-.170	.239	.319	.346	.241	-0.3	49-C 0	1.2
50^o	192	18	7	0	3	19	19	35	1	1	-0.5	.237	.315	.329	-.187	.235	.316	.339	.238	-1.1	49-C 0	1.1
40^o	186	17	7	0	2	18	18	35	1	1	-0.5	.229	.307	.314	-.225	.228	.307	.324	.229	-2.8	47-C -1	0.9
25^o	174	14	6	0	2	16	17	33	1	0	-0.5	.215	.292	.287	-.294	.213	.293	.295	.213	-5.5	45-C -1	0.6
10^o	42	1	1	0	0	1	3	9	0	0	-0.1	.136	.210	.134	-.670	.134	.211	.138	.030	-5.2	15-C -3	-0.3
Weighted Mean	167	15	6	0	2	15	17	31	1	0	-0.5	.236	.313	.326	-.194	.234	.314	.336	.236	-1.0	43-C 0	1.7

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
24%	55%	27%	51%	1.14

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2008 (age 38)	167	15	6	0	2	15	17	31	1	0	-0.5	.236	.313	.326	-.194	.234	.314	.336	.236	-1.0	43-C 0	1.7
2009 (age 39)	197	17	6	0	2	17	20	34	1	1	-0.2	.223	.305	.291	-.261	.225	.311	.306	.222	-1.8	50-C 2	0.5
2010 (age 40)	-- out of baseball --
2011 (age 41)	-- out of baseball --
2012 (age 42)	-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 43)	-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 44)	-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.247	.328	.347
vs RHP	.233	.307	.317
Split	+.014	+.021	+.030
LgAvg	+.020	+.024	+.038

Valuation

Year	OWARP	DWARP	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2008	0.2	1.6	1.7	$1,900,000	-0.7	1.4
2009	0.0	0.5	0.5	$650,000	-0.7	1.1
2010	0.1	0.2	0.2	$500,000	0.0	1.2
2011	0.1	0.1	0.2	$575,000	0.6	0.8
2012	0.0	0.0	0.0	$425,000	-0.3	0.0
2013	0.0	0.0	0.0	$425,000	0.0	0.0
2014	0.0	0.0	0.0	$450,000	0.0	0.0
Peak			2.7	$2,000,000	0.4	4.5

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2008	.251	.238	.213	.236
2009	.245	.220	.191	.222
2010	-- out of baseball --
2011	-- out of baseball --
2012	-- out of baseball --
2013	-- out of baseball --
2014	-- out of baseball --

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2008	51%	0%	24%
2009	84%	61%	9%
2010	95%	79%	4%
2011	94%	94%	4%
2012	99%	93%	3%
2013	100%	99%	1%
2014	100%	99%	0%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

18

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong! Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Rene Gonzales	1992	40		11	Chad Kreuter	2003	33
2	Mike Difelice	1979	36		12	Tim McCarver	1971	33
3	Brad Ausmus	1981	36		13	Jose Hernandez	1982	33
4	Todd Pratt	1970	36		14	Ron Hassey	1960	33
5	Elmer Valo	1973	35		15	Bob Boone	2007	32
6	Jeff Reed	1992	35		16	Todd Zeile	1975	32
7	Tony Pena	1975	34		17	Art Howe	1969	32
8	Bill Baker	1975	34		18	Shawn Gilbert	2000	31
9	Rick Cerone	1957	34		19	Jim Sundberg	1979	30
10	Sherm Lollar	1998	33		20	Jim Hegan	2005	30

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